Epoxy resins

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Milton strengthened on Monday into a powerful Category 4 hurricane, and it is expected to continue strengthening before making landfall by midweek near Tampa, Florida, a major fertilizer hub that was drenched by an earlier major hurricane. That earlier hurricane, Helene, made landfall on September 26 far to the north of Tampa. However, Tampa still saw storm surges of 6-10 feet (1.8-3.0 meters), according to AccuWeather, a meteorology firm. Tampa and other ports along Florida's Gulf Coast had shut down because of Helene. AccuWeather estimates that Hurricane Helene caused $225 billion to $250 billion of damage and economic loss in Florida and the southeastern US. As of September 30, fertilizer companies were assessing the damage caused by Hurricane Helene. A week later, they will now prepare for another major hurricane that will pose a greater risk. AccuWeather is warning that, due to Milton, the Tampa Bay region could be hit by a storm surge of 10-15 feet, wind gusts of 120-140 miles/hour (193-225 miles/hour) and more than 2 feet (60 cm) of rain. "Milton may be a historic, once-in-a-lifetime storm for Floridians," said Jon Porter, AccuWeather chief meteorologist. "Milton has the potential to become one of Florida's most damaging and costly hurricanes." For Tampa, the magnitude of Milton's storm surge will depend on its path, according to AccuWeather. If it makes landfall south of Tampa, it will cause dangerous, but not extreme, storm surges. If landfall is north of Tampa, parts of the Bay could suffer from storm surges of 20 feet, AccuWeather said. FERTILIZER HUB, PHOSPHATES AT RISKTampa is an important hub for the US fertilizer industry, hosting corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Near Tampa is Florida's phosphate mining operations in Bone Valley, which covers parts of Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee and Polk counties. In all, Florida has 27 phosphate mines, of which nine are active, according to the Florida Department of Environmental Protection. For chemicals, there is some epoxy resin, phenolic resin and unsaturated polyester resin production in Lakeland and Kathleen, Florida. Both are near Tampa. Milton will make landfall far from Pensacola, Florida, which has plants that make nylon and thermoset resins. PORT TAMPA BAY REMAINS OPENPort Tampa Bay remains open to inbound and outbound vessel traffic, but it has set Port Condition X-RAY. That means gale force winds that could disrupt maritime operations could occur in the next 48 hours. SeaPort Manatee, a deepwater port on Tampa Bay, also set Port Condition X-Ray. It handled bulk, breakbulk and container traffic. RAIL STILL RECOVERING FROM HELENEOn October 4, railroad company CSX warned customers to expect delays despite progress in restoring power and clearing trees. Disruptions to operations are concentrated in the Carolinas. Railroad company Norfolk Southern said it has already started monitoring Hurricane Milton, although its lines are operating as scheduled. POTENTIAL FOR DISRUPTION TO GULF OILHurricane Helene disrupted US oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico even though it passed through the eastern portion of the body of water. Hurricane Milton could have the same potential as it approaches the US. RECONSTRUCTION DEMAND FOR CHEMSFor hurricanes in general, reconstruction can translate to increased demand for many chemicals and polymers. The white pigment titanium dioxide (TiO2) is used in paints. Solvents used in paints and coatings include butyl acetate (butac), butyl acrylate (butyl-A), ethyl acetate (etac), glycol ethers, methyl ethyl ketone (MEK) and isopropanol (IPA). Blends of aliphatic and aromatic solvents are also used to make paints and coatings. For polymers, expandable polystyrene (EPS) and polyurethane (PU) foam are used in insulation. Polyurethanes are made of methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI), toluene diisocyanate (TDI) and polyols. High density polyethylene (HDPE) is used in pipe. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) is used to make cladding, window frames, wires and cables, flooring and roofing membranes. Unsaturated polyester resins (UPR) are used to make coatings and composites. Vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) is used to make paints and adhesives. Thumbnail shows the forecasts path of Hurricane Milton. Image by the National Hurricane Center.

07-Oct-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–The three-day strike by US Gulf and East Coast dock workers has been suspended until 15 January to allow negotiations to resume, according to a joint statement from the union and ports. The International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) said they have reached a tentative agreement on wages and will extend the current contract while they continue to negotiate other outstanding issues. “Effective immediately, all current job actions will cease, and all work covered by the master contract will resume,” the statement read. The union went on strike on 1 October as negotiations were stalled. The union was seeking a 77% increase over the next six years and commitments against any kind of automation at the ports – full or semi – that would replace jobs or historical work functions. The USMX was offering about a 50% increase. IMPACTS TO CHEM MARKETS The strike had already had some impacts on the US chemicals industry, with polyethylene (PE) exports to Brazil being put on hold. The polyvinyl chloride (PVC) industry is concerned as all US Gulf PVC exports move out of one of the impacted East Coast ports. In the polyethylene terephthalate (PET) market, imports of PET resins have already been diverted to the US West Coast in anticipation of the work stoppage. Thumbnail image shows a container ship. Photo by Shutterstock

03-Oct-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–In only its third day, a strike by dock workers at US Gulf and East Coast ports is leading to idled trucks and growing numbers of container ships queuing outside of the ports. TRUCKING A trucking trade group, the American Trucking Associations (ATA), said that the strike has stopped all activity at five of the nation’s top 10 container ports and estimates that more than 60 container ships carrying nearly 500,000 containers scheduled for October delivery are now stuck in limbo. The ATA said there are 30,000 truckers registered to work just at the port of New York and New Jersey, which sees about 12,000 truck visits in a typical day. “Tens of thousands of more up and down the coasts are now sidelined by this strike,” the ATA said. The ATA said that the trucking industry is made up of small businesses with more than 95% of carriers operating 10 trucks or fewer. Todd Spencer, president of the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association, said American consumers will suffer the longer the strike goes on, but that independent drivers will also feel the pain. "The longer this labor strike drags out, the more harm is done to American consumers who rely on the trucking industry to deliver the goods they depend on,” Spencer said. “We encourage a quick resolution to this latest dispute and emphasize the need for specific discussions about how supply chain deficiencies stifle driver compensation, increase loading and unloading delays, and hurt highway safety.” CONTAINER SHIPS BACKING UP Ships are also backing up outside of the affected ports, according to publicly available ship tracking services. For example, there were about 51 vessels outside the entrance to Port Houston on 2 October, and about 65 vessels in the same area on 3 October. Alan Murphy, CEO, Sea-Intelligence, said a prolonged strike will have an impact on global capacity as carriers currently have 62 deep sea services that call on East Coast and US Gulf ports. Those vessels will have to wait at anchorage at the first port of call on their discharge schedule, Murphy said. “In addition to that there are vessels which have already commenced their discharge rotation and will have to wait at their second, third, or even fourth port of call, depending on how much of their schedule they have already completed prior to the strike taking place,” Murphy said. If the strike were to last four weeks, Murphy said that almost 7% of the global fleet will be tied up along the US East Coast, and the overall impact on the supply and demand equation will be very significant. EXCESSIVE SURCHARGES A chemical industry trade group, the Alliance for Chemical Distribution (ACD), sent a letter to US President Joe Biden criticizing excessive surcharges imposed by the carriers. In the letter, ACD President and CEO Eric Byer highlighted the excessive surcharges imposed – and profits made – by ocean shippers who strangely had direct involvement in the failed negotiations. “Neither side negotiated in good faith, effectively inviting a strike to take place,” Byer said. “For the ocean carriers, this is not surprising given the extreme profits they have been able to collect over recent years, putting them in a position to contentedly wait out a strike while the American economy loses billions of dollars a day.” Byer said that the ocean carrier member companies of the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) are levying a myriad of surcharges on shippers, ranging from hundreds of dollars to $3,000/container, citing labor disruptions as the cause. “Through these surcharges, the ocean carriers are profiting from a crisis they played a direct role in creating,” Byer said. STALLED NEGOTIATIONSMeanwhile, the two sides are not currently negotiating. The International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) is representing the dock workers, and USMX is representing the ports. USMX directors include representatives of major shipping lines, including Evergreen Shipping, Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd, Ocean Network Express, CMA/CGM, COSCO Shipping Lines, and Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC). USMX said it continues to focus on ratifying a new master contract. “Reaching an agreement will require negotiating – and our full focus is on how to return to the table to further discuss these vital components, many of which are intertwined,” USMX said. “We cannot agree to preconditions to return to bargaining – but we remain committed to bargaining in good faith to address the ILA’s demands and USMX’s concerns.” IMPACTS TO CHEM MARKETS The strike is already affecting the US chemicals industry, with PE exports to Brazil being put on hold. The polyvinyl chloride (PVC) Industry is concerned as all US Gulf PVC exports move out of one of the impacted East Coast ports. In the polyethylene terephthalate (PET) market, imports of PET resins have already been diverted to the US West Coast in anticipation of the work stoppage. Focus story by Adam Yanelli Visit the ICIS Logistics – impact on chemicals and energy topic page

03-Oct-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Negotiations have yet to resume between union dock workers and the US Gulf and East Coast ports as a costly strike enters its second day. The International Longshoremen's Association (ILA), representing dock workers at ports from Maine to Texas, and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX), representing the ports, posted statements to their websites accusing each other of being unwilling to negotiate. “We have demonstrated a commitment to doing our part to end the completely avoidable ILA strike,” USMX said. “Our current offer of a nearly 50% wage increase exceeds every other recent union settlement, while addressing inflation, and recognizing the ILA’s hard work to keep the global economy running. We look forward to hearing from the union about how we can return to the table and actually bargain, which is the only way to reach a resolution.” The ILA responded by saying the USMX offer fails to address the demands of union labor. “They might claim a significant increase, but they conveniently omit that many of our members are operating multi-million-dollar container-handling equipment for a mere $20 an hour,” the ILA said. “In some states, the minimum wage is already $15. Furthermore, our members endure a grueling six-year wage progression before they can even reach the top wage tier, regardless of how many hours they work or the effort they put in.” One of the biggest sticking points remains the union’s steadfast stance against any kind of automation at the ports – full or semi – that would replace jobs or historical work functions. "We will not accept the loss of work and livelihood for our members due to automation,” the ILA said. “Our position is clear: the preservation of jobs and historical work functions is non-negotiable.” FMC OFFERS SERVICES With carriers already announcing congestion surcharges, the US Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) is offering assistance for enforcement and litigation services that individuals and companies could find helpful in seeking relief from current supply chain challenges. FMC regulations require that demurrage and detention fees serve as legitimate financial incentives to encourage cargo movement. Pursuant to these requirements, the FMC will scrutinize any demurrage and detention charges assessed during terminal closures. The FMC advised all regulated entities on 23 September that all statutes and regulations administered by the commission remain in effect during any terminal closures related to the strike. GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION REQUESTED Meanwhile, the American Chemistry Council (ACC) and the Alliance for Chemical Distribution (ACD) continue to request government intervention to end the work stoppage. “We urge the White House to do everything possible to prevent this major shockwave from rippling through the American supply chain and hurting US trade by working with both parties to resume contract negations,” Chris Jahn, ACC president and CEO, said. Jahn noted that about 90% of the waterborne chemical shipments that move in and out of the US flow through the East Coast and US Gulf Coast ports. Eric R Byer, president and CEO of the Alliance for Chemical Distribution (ACD) also urged President Joe Biden to act. “ACD urges the Biden Administration to swiftly intervene to resolve this strike by reopening the ports and getting both sides to reach an agreement to prevent further supply chain disruptions and avoid significant economic consequences,” Byer said. Biden, in a statement released last night, said he supports the collective bargaining process as the best way for workers to get the pay and benefits they deserve and urged USMX to return to the bargaining table with a fair offer. “Ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic and in some cases, profits grew in excess of 800% compared to their profits prior to the pandemic,” Biden said. “Executive compensation has grown in line with those profits and profits have been returned to shareholders at record rates. It is only fair that workers, who put themselves at risk during the pandemic to keep ports open, see a meaningful increase in their wages as well.” Biden also said his administration will be watching for any price gouging activity that benefits foreign ocean carriers, including those on the USMX board. IMPACTS TO CHEM MARKETS The strike is already affecting the US chemicals industry, with PE exports to Brazil being put on hold. The polyvinyl chloride (PVC) Industry is concerned as all US Gulf PVC exports move out of one of the impacted East Coast ports. In the polyethylene terephthalate (PET) market, imports of PET resins have already been diverted to the US West Coast in anticipation of the work stoppage. Focus story by Adam Yanelli Visit the ICIS Logistics – impact on chemicals and energy topic page Thumbnail image shows a container ship.

02-Oct-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Participants in the US chemical industry worry that a prolonged strike by US Gulf and East Coast dock workers will hurt exporters and lead to supply surpluses, and some carriers are already initiating port congestion surcharges that will add increased costs on top of delays to both imports and exports. As expected, dockworkers on the US East and Gulf Coasts went on strike early on Tuesday after labor union International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) rejected the latest wage offer by employers’ group United States Maritime Alliance (USMX). While the US government has said it will not intervene, some analysts, including Peter Sand, chief analyst at ocean and freight rate analytics firm Xeneta, think government intervention will be required to bring the dispute to an end. “The latest statement by the ILA suggests there is very little prospect of the two sides reaching a mutually agreeable resolution,” Sand said. “To stop trade from entering the US on such a scale for a prolonged period of time is unthinkable so the Government will need to step in for the good of its people and economy.” Kevin Swift, ICIS Senior Economist for Global Chemicals, said the strike could cost the US economy up to $5 billion/day. "This will affect imports from Germany, the Netherlands and other European nations," Swift said. "I think the effect is more on specialty chemicals than resins. Swift said the ultimate disruption and cost to the economy depends on how long the strike lasts. IMPACT TO CHEM MARKETSThe strike is already impacting US polyethylene (PE) exports. Container ships also transport polymers, such as PE and polypropylene (PP), which are shipped in pellets. A PE trader in South America told ICIS that they are halting sales of US material destined for Brazil until additional information is available since they are unable to inform clients of the estimated departure date. According to the trader, some cargoes could be delayed by 30 days. The US is the main origin of PE imports into Brazil. The polyvinyl chloride (PVC) Industry is concerned as all US Gulf PVC exports move out of one of the impacted East Coast ports. This could result in a long inventory situation and an increase in days of supply if producers and traders are unable to execute on export transactions due to the port strike. In the polyethylene terephthalate (PET) market, imports of PET resins have already been diverted to the US West Coast in anticipation of the work stoppage. But this places extra pressure on the rail and trucking industries which will need to move that material to destinations that were previously reached from the US Gulf or the East Coast. Imports of purified terephthalic acid (PTA), used to make PET, that typically come from South Korea and Mexico, could be affected by the strike. Even if some PTA gets delivered on the West Coast, it will still need to be transported to the East Coast where most PET plants are located. CARRIER SURCHARGES Market sources are telling ICIS they are seeing congestion surcharges between $1,000-3,000/FEU (40-foot equivalent unit), with some citing even higher surcharges. Sand said that extreme increases in container costs cited by ILA president Harold Daggett have not been seen yet. In a statement on 30 September, Daggett said carriers are charging $30,000/container. Sand cited Xeneta data, which is based on more than 450 million crowdsourced datapoints, showing average spot rates on the major fronthaul from Asia to US East Coast were at around $7,000/FEU on 1 October. “While average spot rates from north Europe to the US East Coast have increased 50% since the end of August, they are still only $2,800/FEU,” Sand said. Supply chain advisors Drewry also show rates from Asia to the USEC at $6,000/FEU, and rates from Asia to the USWC are at $5,500, although the rate of decline has slowed with more traffic heading that way because of the strike. Liquid chemicals that are largely transported by tankers are unlikely to be affected. But more liquid chemicals are being moved on container ships in isotanks. Focus story by Adam Yanelli Additional reporting by Stefan Baumgarten, Emily Friedman, Bruno Menini, Antulio Borneo and Kelly Coutu Visit the ICIS Logistics – impact on chemicals and energy topic page Thumbnail image shows a container ship carrying cargo on its way to Antwerp Harbour. (OLIVIER HOSLET/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock).

01-Oct-2024

NEW YORK (ICIS)–Celanese sees a major growth opportunity in low carbon, recycled and bio-based materials, its CEO said. In January 2024, the company announced it started running a carbon capture and utilization (CCU) project at its Clear Lake, Texas, site as part of its Fairway Methanol joint venture with Mitsui & Co. The project is expected to capture 180,000 tonnes/year of CO2 industrial emissions and produce 130,000 tonnes/year of low-carbon methanol. “We actively capture carbon off some of the major producers in Clear Lake, Texas, at our site and we take those CO2 emissions… and we recycle it back into the ATR (autothermal reformer),” said Lori Ryerkerk, CEO of Celanese, on a webinar hosted by Chemical Marketing & Economics (CME-STEM). This low-carbon methanol can then be used to produce vinyl acetate monomer (VAM), vinyl acetate ethylene (VAE) emulsions and other downstream products, she added. “We have customers like Amazon that want a lower carbon footprint product, and we are able to meet that customer need,” said Ryerkerk. The CCU unit takes CO2 emissions that were otherwise being vented into the atmosphere from both Celanese and from third parties to use as a feedstock. “The exciting thing about this project is that we started it as a way to make more methanol and have found the value is also there for being able to produce through mass balance tracking, a green product that can be certified under the ISCC carbon footprint certification system,” said Ryerkerk. In March 2024, Celanese announced that the International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) group certified its Low Carbon CCU Methanol under the ISCC Carbon Footprint Certification (CFC) system. Low Carbon CCU Methanol demonstrated a greater than 70% reduction in carbon footprint relative to a global average benchmark for fossil-based methanol production, as included in EU legislation, according to Celanese. “This is an area of growth for us – to be able to expand our green product offering,” said Ryerkerk. In Celanese’s Sustainable Solutions portfolio, those using carbon capture fall under the ECO-C label, with recycled content under ECO-R and bio-based content under ECO-B. RECYCLED AND RECYCLABLE CONTENTOn the recycled content side, Celanese in Europe recycles nylon airbags into high quality nylon which can be used by customers such as furniture giant IKEA, said Ryerkerk. IKEA has a goal of using only recycled or renewable-based plastic in all its products by 2030. “In India, we take fishing nets that are recovered from the sea, clean them, sort them and recycle them into a nylon grade which is used for furniture,” said Ryerkerk. “We have the ability to make recycled [products] across much of our portfolio now,” she added. Celanese also works with customers to develop products that are recyclable. An example is its NEOLAST fiber made from thermoplastic copolyester elastomer which can be blended with other fibers at a level anywhere from 2-40% of total fiber content. “We developed this fiber together with Under Armour to solve a problem they had with elastane (Spandex) because Spandex is energy intensive, uses solvents that aren’t very environmentally friendly, and tends to shed a lot of plastic fibers,” said Ryerkerk. “The great news is that this is recyclable. Elastanes are not. It’s solvent-free so more environmentally friendly from a production standpoint and it has better characteristics of wear – it’s more colorfast, better wicking, all these things,” she added. NEOLAST is in the very early stages of sales with Under Armour producing some products with the fiber and Celanese talking to a number of other companies interested in using it, the CEO said. “This is a long-term commitment. This has been in development for many, many years. We’ve just introduced it, and it will probably be several years yet before we really see widespread use of it,” said Ryerkerk, who noted that most of these types of new products take three to five years to develop. BIO-BASED CONTENTOther customers such as toy producer LEGO aim to use more renewable-based content. “We are able, since we start with bio-methanol and bio-ethylene – these building block chemicals – to make a bio-content material which we call ECO-B for those customers [that want to use] a non-fossil fuel feedstock,” said Ryerkerk. In H1 2024, 30% of the resin LEGO purchased was certified according to mass balance principles, which translated into an estimated average of 22% renewable sources. The company plans to “significantly increase this percentage” through the rest of 2024 and beyond. Celanese considers its ability to offer low carbon, recycled and bio-based products a unique competitive advantage. “Many of our competitors may offer one of these, but we’re probably one of the few that have the ability right now to offer all of them – and offer them in a way that is certified,” said Ryerkerk. GROWTH PROSPECTSCelanese’s Sustainable Solutions portfolio represents just around 5% of sales today but is growing double digits on a percentage basis every year, said the CEO. A stronger economic recovery would be a tailwind as these products are typically more expensive. “We’ll see what happens with the economy. Let’s be honest – most people are more interested in these things when the economy is better than when the economy is tough like it is right now,” said Ryerkerk. “But there are a lot of companies that have made commitments to go to more sustainable solutions. As our volumes grow, we’re able to make sustainable solutions more affordable for them… I think it is going to be quite some time before it is the majority of our portfolio, but that’s OK because we need time to build our capabilities as well,” she added. Focus article by Joseph Chang

27-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–More than 4 million outages were reported in the southeastern US on Friday after Hurricane Helene made landfall as a powerful Category 4 storm in northwestern Florida. The southeastern US does not have a lot of chemical production. But such widespread power outages, in addition to disruptions caused by flooding, will lower demand for plastics and chemicals more broadly. The power outages are concentrated in the US states of South Carolina, Georgia, Florida and North Carolina, according to the website poweroutage.us. Among the few chemical plants near Helene's landfall site are a crude sulphate turpentine refinery and a crude tall oil (CTO) refinery that Kraton owns in Panama City, Florida. Tall oil is a feedstock fatty acids, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Kraton has not returned requests for comment in regard to its preparations for Helene. Since Helene made landfall, it has weakened into a tropical storm, with maximum sustained wind speeds of 45 miles/hour (75 km/hour), according to the National Hurricane Center. The following map shows its projected path. Source: National Hurricane Center PORT CLOSURESInbound and outbound traffic at Port Tampa Bay ceased ahead of the storm, and the port's shipping channels were closed. Tampa is an important hub for the US fertilizer industry, hosting corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Other port closures include Panama City, St Joe, St Petersburg, Manatee and Key West on Florida's west coast, as well as Fernandina, Jacksonville and Canaveral on Florida's east coast. ENERGY DISRUPTIONS The following table shows the disruptions to US Gulf production that were caused by Helene, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Total % of US Gulf Oil, bbl/day 441,923 25.25% Gas, million cubic feet/day 363.39 19.81% Source: BSEE Total % of US Gulf Platforms evacuated 27 7.28% Rigs evacuated 1 20% Source: BSEE The Gulf of Mexico accounts for 14% of US production of crude oil and 5% of total dry gas production, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). RAIL DISRUPTIONS Railroad company CSX planned to close its TRANSFLO terminals in Tampa and Tampa Port on Thursday. Railroad company Norfolk Southern said that customers with shipments moving through the southeast and mid-Atlantic should prepare for delays. RECONSTRUCTION AND CHEM DEMANDHurricane Helene's current path could put $5.64 billion worth of housing at risk to storm surge flooding, an insurance data company said on Wednesday. Nearly 25,000 residential properties in the Tallahassee and Homosassa Springs metropolitan areas are at risk, said CoreLogic. “Helene has the potential to become a once-in-a-generation storm,” said Jon Porter, chief meteorologist for the meteorology firm AccuWeather. It estimates that most of Florida and much of the southeastern US will be exposed to winds reaching 40-60 miles/hour. AccuWeather expects that most of Florida and all of the states of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are at risk for tornados. For hurricanes in general, reconstruction can translate to increased demand for many chemicals and polymers. The white pigment titanium dioxide (TiO2) is used in paints. Solvents used in paints and coatings include butyl acetate (butac), butyl acrylate (butyl-A), ethyl acetate (etac), glycol ethers, methyl ethyl ketone (MEK) and isopropanol (IPA). Blends of aliphatic and aromatic solvents are also used to make paints and coatings. For polymers, expandable polystyrene (EPS) and polyurethane (PU) foam are used in insulation. Polyurethanes are made of methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI), toluene diisocyanate (TDI) and polyols. High density polyethylene (HDPE) is used in pipe. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) is used to make cladding, window frames, wires and cables, flooring and roofing membranes. Unsaturated polyester resins (UPR) are used to make coatings and composites. Vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) is used to make paints and adhesives. Thumbnail shows Helene before it made landfall. Image by National Hurricane Center.

27-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–A quarter of US oil production in the Gulf of Mexico remains shut in as Helene becomes close to becoming a major hurricane. The following table shows the disruptions to US Gulf production that were caused by Helene, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Total % of US Gulf Oil, bbl/day 441,923 25.25% Gas, million cubic feet/day 363.39 19.81% Source: BSEE Total % of US Gulf Platforms evacuated 27 7.28% Rigs evacuated 1 20% Source: BSEE Hurricane Helene has maximum sustained wind speeds of nearly 110 miles/hour (175 km/hour), which is 1 mile/hour below becoming a major hurricane. It is on track to make landfall in the Big Bend, a sparsely populated region of northwestern Florida. The following map shows the forecasted path of Helene. Source: National Hurricane Center FLORIDA CHEMS AT RISKHelene could threaten Panama City, Florida, where Kraton operates a crude sulphate turpentine refinery and a crude tall oil (CTO) refinery. Tall oil is a feedstock for the production of fatty acids, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Helene's path is too far east to threaten Pensacola, which is home to some nylon and thermoset resin plants. Helene is moving on the opposite side of Texas and Louisiana in the Gulf of Mexico. Those two states are home to most of the refineries, petrochemical plants and LNG capacity of the US. Operations at those plants will not be threatened by Helene. Helene will not make landfall near Tampa Bay, an important hub for the US fertilizer industry. Tampa hosts corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Nonetheless, Helene will disrupt operations at the port of Tampa Bay. PORTS CLOSED TO TRAFFIC ALONG EASTERN GULF COASTInbound and outbound traffic has ceased among numerous ports along Florida's Gulf Coast, including Port Tampa Bay, an important entrepot. Tampa is in the region that could see a peak storm surge of 5-8 feet (1.5-2.4 meters), as shown in the following map. Source: National Hurricane Center The following table shows some of the other ports in Florida that are closed. Panama City, Florida Port St Joe, Florida St Petersburg, Florida Manatee, Florida Source: US Coast Guard The following ports are open with restrictions. Pensacola, Florida Mobile, Alabama Source: US Coast Guard RAIL DISRUPTIONS Railroad company CSX plans to close its TRANSFLO terminals in Tampa and Tampa Port on Thursday. Railroad company Norfolk Southern said that customers with shipments moving through the southeast and mid-Atlantic should prepare for delays. RECONSTRUCTION AND CHEM DEMANDHurricane Helene's current path could put $5.64 billion worth of housing at risk to storm surge flooding, an insurance data company said on Wednesday. Nearly 25,000 residential properties in the Tallahassee and Homosassa Springs metropolitan areas are at risk, said CoreLogic. “Helene has the potential to become a once-in-a-generation storm,” said Jon Porter, chief meteorologist for the meteorology firm AccuWeather. It estimates that most of Florida and much of the southeastern US will be exposed to winds reaching 40-60 miles/hour. AccuWeather expects that most of Florida and all of the states of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are at risk for tornados. For hurricanes in general, reconstruction can translate to increased demand for many chemicals and polymers. The white pigment titanium dioxide (TiO2) is used in paints. Solvents used in paints and coatings include butyl acetate (butac), butyl acrylate (butyl-A), ethyl acetate (etac), glycol ethers, methyl ethyl ketone (MEK) and isopropanol (IPA). Blends of aliphatic and aromatic solvents are also used to make paints and coatings. For polymers, expandable polystyrene (EPS) and polyurethane (PU) foam are used in insulation. Polyurethanes are made of methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI), toluene diisocyanate (TDI) and polyols. High density polyethylene (HDPE) is used in pipe. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) is used to make cladding, window frames, wires and cables, flooring and roofing membranes. Unsaturated polyester resins (UPR) are used to make coatings and composites. Vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) is used to make paints and adhesives. Thumbnail photo: Helene. (By the National Hurricane Center) (adds missing world "Gulf" in headline)

26-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Companies have shut in nearly 30% of US oil production in the Gulf of Mexico because of Hurricane Helene, which meteorologists expect will strengthen into a powerful Category 4 storm before making landfall in a sparsely populated region in northwestern Florida on Thursday. The following table summarizes the disruptions to US Gulf production that were caused by Helene, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Total % of US Gulf Oil, bbl/day 511,000 29.18% Gas, million cubic feet/day 313 16.85% Source: BSEE Total % of US Gulf Platforms evacuated 17 4.58% Rigs evacuated 1 20% Source: BSEE Given Helene's eastern path, Shell said it is ramping up production at Appomattox to normal levels. Shell has started restoring production at Stones. On Monday, bp said it had started to shut in production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse platforms. It is curtailing production its Argos and Atlantis platforms. The meteorological firm AccuWeather is warning that Helene could strengthen into a Category 4 hurricane by the time it makes landfall in the Big Bend region in northwestern Florida. A Category 4 storm qualifies as a major hurricane and has maximum sustained wind speeds of at least 130 miles/hour (209 km/hour) under the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. "The impacts from Helene will be widespread – not just confined to locations near landfall in the Florida Panhandle," said Jon Porter, AccuWeather chief meteorologist. "The storm surge will be life-threatening across the Florida Panhandle and southward to near Tampa." Based on the current forecast, Helene will not make landfall near Tampa Bay, an important hub for the US fertilizer industry. Tampa hosts corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Nonetheless, Helene will disrupt operations at the port of Tampa Bay. The US Coast Guard set port condition YANKEE, under which gale-force winds could disrupt maritime operations in the next 24 hours. Railroad company CSX plans to close its TRANSFLO terminals in Tampa and Tampa Port on Thursday. Railroad company Norfolk Southern said that customers with shipments moving through the southeast and mid-Atlantic should prepare for delays. Helene could threaten Panama City, Florida, where Kraton operates a crude sulphate turpentine refinery and a crude tall oil (CTO) refinery. Tall oil is a feedstock for the production of fatty acids, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Helene's path is too far east to threaten Pensacola, which is home to some nylon and thermoset resin plants. Helene is moving on the opposite side of Texas and Louisiana in the Gulf of Mexico. Those two states are home to most of the refineries, petrochemical plants and LNG capacity of the US. Operations at those plants will not be threatened by Helene. The following map shows the forecasts path of Helene. Source: National Hurricane Center THREATS FROM THE STORMAccuWeather is warning of catastrophic inland flooding from northern Georgia to western North Carolina. Strong winds could knock down power lines and cause outages that could last for days or even weeks. The major city of Atlanta, Georgia, is at risk of significant power outages and flooding. Much of Florida, Georgia and eastern Alabama are at risk of tornados on Thursday. On Friday, the threat shifts to the Carolinas, southern Virginia, eastern Tennessee and southeastern Kentucky. Thumbnail shows Hurricane Helene. Image by the National Hurricane Center.

25-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Helene strengthened into a hurricane on Wednesday while maintaining its course to make landfall in a sparsely populated region of northwestern Florida later in the week, meteorologists said. By the time Helene makes landfall in the Big Bend region of Florida, it should be a major hurricane with maximum sustained wind speeds of at least 111 miles/hour, according to the National Hurricane Center. Based on the current forecast, Helene will not make landfall near Tampa Bay, an important hub for the US fertilizer industry. Tampa hosts corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Nonetheless, Helene will disrupt operations at the port of Tampa Bay. The US Coast Guard set port condition YANKEE, under which gale-force winds could disrupt maritime operations in the next 24 hours. Railroad company CSX plans to close its TRANSFLO terminals in Tampa and Tampa Port on Thursday. Railroad company Norfolk Southern said that customers with shipments moving through the southeast and mid-Atlantic should prepare for delays. If Helene veers farther west, it could threaten Panama City, Florida, where Kraton operates a crude sulphate turpentine refinery and a crude tall oil (CTO) refinery. Helene's path is too far east to threaten Pensacola, which is home to some nylon and thermoset resin plants. Helene is moving on the opposite side of Texas and Louisiana in the Gulf of Mexico. Those two states are home to most of the refineries, petrochemical plants and LNG capacity of the US. Operations at those plants will not be threatened by Helene. FIRMS SHUT IN OIL OUTPUT IN GULFDespite Helene's eastern path, oil companies have still shut in production in the Gulf of Mexico. The following table summarizes the disruptions to US Gulf production that were caused by Helene, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Total % of US Gulf Oil, bbl/day 284,000 16.21% Gas, million cubic feet/day 208 11.20% Source: BSEE Total % of US Gulf Platforms evacuated 4 1.08% Rigs evacuated 0 0 Source: BSEE Given Helene's eastern path, Shell said it is ramping up production at Appomattox to normal levels. Shell has started restoring production at Stones. On Monday, bp said it had started to shut in production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse platforms. It is curtailing production its Argos and Atlantis platforms. THREATS OF STRONG WINDS, FLOODS IN SOUTHEASTERN USHurricane force winds could extend up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center of Helene, the National Hurricane Center said. Tropical storm force winds could extend up to 275 miles. The meteorological firm AccuWeather warned that a storm surge of 6-10 feet (1.8-3.0 meters) could threaten the Florida coast, beginning from the north of Tampa Bay to the east of Apalachicola. A storm surge of 10-15 feet is expected just east of the Big Bend region of Florida. AccuWeather warned that winds of 40-60 miles/hour could extend north across much of the southeastern US as Helene moves north on Friday. Flash floods could strike northeastern Georgia, western North Carolina, eastern Tennessee and southwestern Virginia. Thumbnail shows forecasted path of Hurricane Helene. Image by the National Hurricane Center.

25-Sep-2024