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INTERVIEW: German biofuels producer Verbio develops ethenolysis-based renewable chemicals project

LONDON (ICIS)–German biofuels producer Verbio is pushing into renewable chemicals with a €80 million -100 million commercial-scale ethenolysis project that will use rapeseed-based biodiesel to produce specialty chemicals. Strategic move to renewable chemicals; 17,000 tonnes/year of 1-decene, 32,000 tonnes/year of methyl 9-decenoate, (9-DAME); Produced from renewable rapeseed methyl ester (RME), using ethenolysis and innovative metathesis catalysts. Ethenolysis is a chemical process in which terminal olefins are degraded. In chemical terms, it is a cross metathesis. The "VerBioChem" project, adjacent to Verbio’s bio-refinery at the Bitterfeld chemicals production hub in Saxony-Anhalt state, is expected to be commissioned in 2025, Andreas Kohl, the company's head of specialty chemicals and catalysts, told ICIS. Regular production at the "first-of-its-kind" commercial-scale ethenolysis  plant should start in 2026, he said. Groundbreaking is scheduled for May. “To our knowledge, it will be the only plant worldwide to operate an ethenolysis process,” he said. 1-decene is mainly used to produce polyalphaolefins (PAO), which are used as group IV lubricants, Kohl said. The 1-decene market is estimated at about 500,000-700,000 tonnes/year, according to Kohl.  Producers of fossil-based 1-decene include INEOS, ExxonMobil, and Chevron Phillips Chemical (CPChem), among others. 9-DAME has applications in surfactants, lubricants, polymers and other specialty markets. While 9-DAME is currently not available on the market in larger quantities, Verbio sees it as a “platform molecule” for use in solvents, surfactants and lubricants, Kohl said. The Bitterfeld plant might also produce C18 diacids in various forms in the medium term, he said. Verbio has been in contact for a couple of years with partners and on request supplies customers with kilogram samples of 1-decene and 9-DAME from a pilot plant, he added. UNIQUE CATALYSTSThe company has developed a unique in-house process for ethenolysis, based on proprietary metathesis catalysts from its 100%-owned subsidiary, XiMo, Kohl said. The process allows the use of ethylene “as kind of a scissor” to split the biodiesel, he said. XiMo specializes in metathesis catalysts, specifically of "Schrock-type" tungsten, molybdenum and ruthenium complexes, he said. Richard Schrock, one of the founders of XiMo, was co-winner of the 2005 Nobel Prize in chemistry for his work on developing the olefin metathesis method in organic synthesis. To serve the ethenolysis plant’s captive needs, as well as the wider chemical industry, XiMo is investing in new capacity close to Budapest, Hungary The 10 tonne/year of metathesis catalyst project in Hungary, which will proceed parallel with the ethenolysis project in Bitterfeld, is due to be in production in 2026. XiMo’s metathesis catalysts “represents a new tool for the chemical industry", for use in industrial processes in the renewable, polymer, flavors and fragrances, agrochemicals and various other markets, Kohl said. STRATEGIC SHIFT TO CHEMICALS Verbio's biofuels are mainly sold into the energy market, “but this is not necessarily the future for us”, Kohl said. While the company has existing biodiesel-linked chemicals production (phytosterol and glycerin), it decided several years ago to expand in renewable chemicals in a bigger way – driven by an ambition to add more value to biodiesel, reduce Verbio's dependence on the biofuels energy market, and help "defossilize" the chemical industry, he said. “We want to become much more independent of the political decisions that are influencing the biofuels market, and chemicals will be a major part of the company in the future,” Kohl said. Although the chemical industry keeps working to reduce its carbon footprint, most of its products are based on carbon and will continue to be so, he said. The challenge, therefore, is to defossilize the industry, which means getting away from fossil-based carbon, leaving three main sources of carbon: carbon capture; recycling; and biomass, Kohl said. “Biomass is a very versatile, a very interesting source of carbon, and it is here today” as companies are already producing chemicals from biomass, he said. Verbio, with its expertise in biomass, is well positioned to expand in renewable chemicals, he said. With the ethenenolysis plant, Verbio will start to serve the chemical industry “with unique, renewable and biobased molecules with a low CO2 footprint”, Kohl said. “This will enable our customers to take a big step towards climate neutrality, saving CO2, attacking scope three emissions, and it will help to defossilize the chemical industry,” he said. The carbon footprint of the new ethenolysis plant will be “at least” about 70-80% lower than that of a fossil-based 1-decene plant, he said. Verbio is undertaking the project’s basic engineering and execution in-house, rather than contracting it out, he noted. FOOD VERSUS CHEMICALS Rapeseed (known as canola in North America) is readily available in Germany as it is part of crop rotation, Kohl said. While using rapeseed for chemical production could trigger debates similar to the “food versus fuels” controversy, it is important to realize that only about 40% of the mass of rapeseed is oils, he said. The remaining 60% is a protein-sugar fraction that is needed in cattle feed “to close the protein gap” and thus supports the food sector. If Germany did not have the rapeseed protein, it would have to import even more soya from South America, he said. He also noted that the use of biomass to make biofuels and other renewable products has been found to stabilize the overall agricultural market in Europe and provide farmers with sustainable income, thus keeping them in business. Verbio at a glance: Sales for the 12 months ended 30 June 2023: €1.97 billion. Employees: about 1,200. Operations in Germany, Poland, Hungary, India, US and Canada. Production of biodiesel and bioethanol: nearly 930,000 tonnes. Production of biomethane: 1.08 GWH. Existing chemical production: phytosterol and biodiesel glycerol (glycerin) CEO: Claus Sauter Headquarters: Zorbig, near Leipzig, Germany Source: Verbio Thumbnail photo source: Verbio Interview article by StefanBaumgarten.

13-Mar-2024

BLOG: China PX net annual average imports may fall to 700,000 tonnes in 2024-2030

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Click here to see the latest blog post on Asian Chemical Connections by John Richardson: Only a few people thought that China would reach self-sufficiency in purified terephthalic acid (PTA). I was among the few. Now China is a major PTA exporter. This followed China swinging from being the world’s biggest net importer of polyester fibres and polyethylene terephthalate (PET) resins (bottle and film grade) to being the biggest net exporter. Paraxylene (PX) could be the next shoe to drop as today’s post discusses. Given China’s total domination of global PX net imports – and the concentration of major PX exports in just a small number of countries and companies – the potential disruption to the global business is huge. The ICIS Base Case assumes China’s PX demand growth will average 1% per annum in 2024-2030 with the local operating rate at 82%. Such an outcome would lead to China’s net PX imports at annual average of 7.4m tonnes in 2024-2030. This would compare with 2023 net imports of 9.1m tonnes. Downside Scenario 1 sees demand growth the same as in the base case. But under Downside Scenario 1, I raise the local operating rate to 88%, the same as the 1993-2023 average. I also add 6.2m tonnes/year to China’s capacity, which comprises unconfirmed plants in our database. Downside 1 would result in net imports dropping to a 2024-2030 annual average of just 1.5m tonnes/year. Downside Scenario 2 again sees demand growth the same as in the base case, an operating rate of 90% and 6.2m tonnes/year of unconfirmed capacity Net imports would fall to an annual average of just 700,000 tonnes a year. As an important 26 February 2024 Financial Times article explores, China continues to build free-trade agreements with Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) and non-BRI member countries as a hedge against growing geopolitical differences with the West. We could thus see a significant shift in trading patterns as more Chinese apparel and non-apparel production moves offshore to these countries, with the overseas plants fed by China-made polyester fibres. China could thus maintain its dominance of the global polyester value chain via this offshoring process, thereby compensating for its rising labour costs. Offshoring to the developing world may also enable China to make up for any lost exports of finished polyester-products to the West due to increased trade tensions. This shift in downstream investments and trade flows could provide economic justification for just about complete PX and mono-ethylene glycols (MEG) self-sufficiency, which will be the subject of a future post. These are the only two missing pieces in China’s polyester jigsaw puzzle. Editor’s note: This blog post is an opinion piece. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent those of ICIS.

13-Mar-2024

Asia, Mideast petrochemical trades to slow down during Ramadan

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Trades for several petrochemicals in Asia and the Middle East will slow down as markets observe Ramadan starting 10 March, with demand going into a lull amid shorter working hours during the Muslim fasting month. Converters hold ample inventory GCC demand for PP to rebound after Eid ul-Fitr Gaza conflict dampens EastMed market, outlook uncertain Most markets continue to struggle with poor demand as well as high cost amid geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and Europe. From 10 March, businesses in many Muslim-majority countries will operate on reduced hours, potentially affecting production and logistics, with significant business decisions likely to be postponed. INDONESIA IMPORT QUOTA FURTHER DAMPENS SENTIMENT In Indonesia – the world’s most populous Muslim nation and the second largest polyethylene (PE) consumer in southeast Asia after Vietnam – the seasonal slowdown in demand is exacerbated by uncertainties over the government’s import quota regulations. Industry players were recently informed by Indonesia’s trade ministry that most PE and PP grades would be exempted, but some worry that this could still change before the import quotas take effect on 10 March. Many converters are currently sitting on high stocks of PE, having boosted imports in the weeks after the government announced the new rules in December, before details were fleshed out. A few of them are now willing to re-enter the import market to order new supplies. “My customers have stopped talking to me for now. It’s both Ramadan and the import quota issue," said a PE supplier. "I feel that while prices have not really dropped … the demand has clearly slowed. Most buyers have already bought enough, and they are not willing to risk buying more,” the supplier said. “Ramadan and Lebaran (Eid ul-Fitr) are slow periods of demand,” he added. Eid ul-Fitr is a Muslim festival marking the end of Ramadan. In the upstream ethylene market in southeast Asia, inquiries from Indonesia have picked up since late February as buyers stock up for April and wanted to wrap up negotiations before Ramadan. Ethylene prices have increased because of tight supply amid operating issues at Chandra Asri’s cracker as well as limited supply coming from the Middle East. MIDEAST TENSIONS WEIGH ON TRADES Demand for both PE and PP in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is expected to improve after Eid ul-Fitr, as buyers restock after Ramadan's lull. In the East Mediterranean market, sentiment is likely to remain weak amid the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza. The war, now on its eighth month, and the weak economies of Lebanon and Jordan have dampened activity in both the PE and PP markets. Market conditions may not improve if a resolution to the war cannot be found soon. Since the start of the Israel-Hamas war on 7 October, sentiment was dampened throughout the region, with buyers in Jordan and Lebanon adopting a wait-and-see approach on markets. Hopes of an Israel-Hamas ceasefire ahead of Ramadan are fading following reports of more than 100 deaths of people waiting in a food aid line in Gaza. More than 100 people were killed on 29 February after Israeli troops fired on a large crowd of Palestinians racing to pull food off an aid convoy late last month, bringing the death toll since the start of the Israel-Hamas war to over 30,000, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. A continuation of hostilities beyond the start of Ramadan is now highly likely as several key issues remain unresolved. This could inflame tensions in the region significantly, with attacks by Yemen’s Houthi militants on shipping in the Red Sea likely to escalate. In toluene diisocyanate (TDI) and polymeric methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (PMDI) markets, GCC trades recently accelerated as some customers looked to stock up on volumes following recent spikes in costs of feedstock benzene and toluene in Asia. Some northeast Asian isocyanates producers announced sharp price increases in southeast Asia, which also impacted their volume allocations to other regions like the Middle East. In March and April, when supply for both TDI and PMDI is expected to be tight to normal due to some turnarounds in Asia, demand from GCC countries will likely slow down. Most businesses in the Middle East work fewer hours during Ramadan, which will impact overall activity. Focus article by Nurluqman Suratman Additional reporting by Josh Quah, Izham Ahmad and Damini Dabholkar Thumbnail image: Welcoming Ramadhan 2024, Medan, Indonesia – 27 February 2024 (Sutanta Aditya/NurPhoto/Shutterstock)

08-Mar-2024

BLOG: Why China’s HDPE net imports could average just 700,000 tonnes per year in 2024-2030

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Click here to see the latest blog post on Asian Chemical Connections by John Richardson. The global petrochemicals industry must prepare for the possibility that China is close to self-sufficiency in high-density polyethylene (HDPE), low-density PE (LDPE), linear-low density PE (LLDPE), polypropylene (PP), paraxylene (PX) and mono-ethylene glycols (MEG) by 2030. As I work through the products, see today’s post on HDPE where I present the following three scenarios: The ICIS Base Case: An average China HDPE operating rate of 72% in 2024-2030 and average demand growth of 3%. This would lead to net imports averaging 7.6m tonnes a year. Downside Scenario 1: An average 82% operating rate, an additional 5.2m tonnes/year of unconfirmed capacity comes on-stream, and 3% average demand growth. Annual average net imports total 3.8m tonnes. Downside Scenario 2: An average 88% operating rate, an additional 5.2m tonnes/year of unconfirmed capacity comes on-stream, and 1.5% average demand growth. Annual average net imports total just 700,000 tonnes. Why do I see these alternative outcomes as possible? As regards operating rates you can argue that China’s new HDPE capacity will be super-efficient in terms of scale and upstream integration, including perhaps advantaged supplies of crude into refineries. There is a potential “win-win” here. The oil-to-petrochemicals majors, especially Saudi Aramco, are keen to underpin crude production levels given the threats to long-term global crude demand from sustainability. China is the world’s biggest crude importer. Petrochemical operating rates in China have historically been a political as well as an economic decision. China made the decision in 2014 to push towards complete petrochemicals self-sufficiency. Our base case demand growth estimate of 3% per annum between 2024 and 2030 is perfectly reasonable and well thought-out, as it reflects the big turn of events since the “Evergrande moment” in late 2021. Growth of 3% would be hugely down from the 12% average annual growth between 1992 and 2023 during the Petrochemicals Supercycle, which was mainly driven by China. I have therefore stuck with 3% demand growth in Downside Scenario 1 while raising the operating rate to 82% for the reasons described above. But I believe we need to go further to achieve proper scenario planning. Downside Scenario 2 takes demand growth down to 1.5% and raises the operating rate to 88% – the same as the actual operating rate in 1992-2023. If Downside 2 were to happen, HDPE pricing markets would be upended. No longer would landed-China prices be as relevant as China’s import volumes would be much lower than they are today. Demand patterns in and trade flows to the world’s remaining net import regions and countries – Europe, Turkey, Africa, South & Central America, Asia and Pacific and the Former Soviet Union – would become much more important. In short, the petrochemicals world would be turned on its head. Are you prepared for all the eventualities? Editor’s note: This blog post is an opinion piece. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent those of ICIS.

08-Mar-2024

Lotte Chemical mulls 'strategic measures' for Malaysian-listed LC Titan

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–South Korean producer Lotte Chemical said on Thursday that it is exploring options for its Malaysian subsidiary, in response to local media reports that the unit is up for sale. "We are considering various strategic measures related to LC Titan [Lotte Chemical Titan] which is our subsidiary, but nothing has been decided so far," Lotte Chemical chief financial officer Seong Nak-sun said in a stock exchange filing. "We will re-announce the details within a month or when they are decided in the future," Seong added. Lotte Chemical and LC Titan could not be immediately reached for further comments on the potential sale. At 05:30 GMT, shares of the two listed companies were trading lower, with Lotte Chemical down 1.63% in Seoul, and LC Titan down 1.72% in Kuala Lumpur. According to media reports on Thursday, Lotte Chemical has already initiated the process of selling LC Titan, citing unnamed sources. "We're actively reviewing ways to optimize our portfolio, which includes considering the potential sale of LC Titan. However, a definitive decision has not yet been reached," an unnamed Lotte Chemical official was quoted by The Korea Economic Daily (KED) as saying. Lotte Chemical is approaching both domestic and international companies, along with private equity firms through investment banks, to be potential buyers for its Malaysian arm, KED reported. The Korean producer is planning to sell all outstanding shares of LC Titan traded on the Malaysian stock market, which is equivalent to 74.7% of the company, valuing the firm at around $550m based on current market capitalization, it added. LC Titan has incurred a second year of net loss, which widened to Malaysian ringgit (M$) 780.3m in 2023 as sales declined by 24% to M$7.65bn. Malaysia's LC Titan full-year financial results in thousand ringgit (M$) FY2023 FY2022 % change Sales           7,646,170         10,019,083 -23.7 Loss from operations           (868,001)         (1,041,451) -16.7 Net profit            (780,286)            (731,061) 6.7 Meanwhile, parent firm Lotte Chemical swung into a net loss last year. S Korea's Lotte Chemical full-year financial results in billion S Korean won (W) 2023 2022 % Change Sales 19,949 22,276 -10.4 EBITDA 839 185 353.5 Operating profit -333 -763 Net income -301 28 In the notes accompanying its financial results released on 7 February, Lotte Chemical had stated that that it “will pursue advancement and improvements to the business portfolio in order to actively respond to changes in the business environment of the petrochemical industry and improve profitability through efficient management of existing petrochemical businesses”. “The weak market conditions of the petrochemical industry are ongoing due to reduced demand and dropping product prices resulting from global uncertainties, as well as increased supply burdens caused by large-scale ethylene plant expansions in China,” it said. The acquisition of Malaysian company Titan Chemicals in 2010 was the Korean firm’s first foray into southeast Asia. The acquired company was rebranded Lotte Chemical Titan, and in 2017, was listed on the Malaysian bourse. LC Titan operates 12 plants at two sites in Johor, Malaysia; and holds a 40% stake in LOTTE Chemical USA based in Houston, Texas. In Indonesia, the company operates polyethylene plants, and in Q1 2022,  started construction of LOTTE Chemical Indonesia New Ethylene (LINE) Project, which will increase production capacity in Cilegon by 65% to 5.88m tonnes/year. The project is expected to produce 1m tonnes/year of ethylene; 520,000 tonnes/year of propylene; 250,000 tonnes/year of polypropylene (PP); and 140,000 tonnes/year of butadiene (BD). It is scheduled to be completed in 2025. Focus article by Nurluqman Suratman ($1 = M$4.71; $1 = W1,330) Thumbnail image: A Lotte Chemical Titan plant in Pasir Gudang, Malaysia (Source: Lotte Chemical Titan)

07-Mar-2024

INSIGHT: Indorama flags peak oil demand in possible plant closures

HOUSTON (ICIS)–While Indorama Ventures reviews six sites for possible closure, it will consider signs that oil demand will continue growing in emerging Asia while peaking in Europe and North America – a trend that would alter the regional costs of a principal polyester feedstock, making it more attractive to import it from Asia than make it in the West. Benzene, toluene and mixed xylenes (MX) are produced in refineries, and they are among the fundamental building blocks for the chemical industry. If oil demand peaks in the West, that would discourage refiners from expanding capacity or making the expensive investments needed to maintain existing production levels. That would tighten supplies for these building blocks, affecting costs for chemicals as varies as phenol, styrene and paraxylene (PX). By contrast, oil demand has yet to peak among emerging economies in Asia. There, refiners will continue to increase capacity to meet growing demand for diesel and gasoline. Supplies of aromatics should continue growing in those regions. Indorama is taking the prospect of peak oil seriously because a key polyester feedstock, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), is made from PX, and PX is extracted from MX. If Western PTA prices become too expensive, then it would make more sense for Indorama to shut down its high-cost plants in the West and purchase the feedstock from producers in Asia that can sell material at a lower price. Indorama did not specify which plants it could close. PEAK OIL IN WEST SPELLS END OF NEW REFINERIESIndorama expects oil demand in the West will soon peak, perhaps in 2025 or 2026, said Aloke Lohia, Group CEO of Indorama. He made his comments in an interview with ICIS. His comments are backed by statistics from the Energy Information (EIA). Outside of the post-COVID rebound in 2021, gasoline demand in the US has been running below pre-pandemic levels. In 2023, it reached a summertime peak of nearly 9.60 million bbl/day. That is more in line with summer levels in 2015. Given the outlook for oil demand in the West, Indorama is betting that refiners will unlikely make the pricey investments necessary to increase capacity. "No one is looking to build a new refinery," Lohia said. Refiners could even shirk from making the investments needed to maintain existing capacity. "We believe there will be de-growth in refineries in the West and hence high cost for crude oil derivatives that has hurt our competitiveness, especially in Europe," Lohia said in prepared remarks. Actions by refiners are bearing this out. LyondellBasell plans to shut down its Houston refinery because it cannot justify the capital expenditures needed to keep the 100+ year old complex running. Although ExxonMobil recently expanded its refinery in Beaumont, Texas, the last time a refiner made a comparable investment was in 2012, when Motiva expanded its refinery in Port Arthur, Texas. Several refiners have converted existing units to process vegetable oils and similar feedstock to produce renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). LyondellBasell could convert its Houston refinery into a sustainability hub. OIL DEMAND TO CONTINUE GROWING IN EMERGING ASIAUnlike the West, Indorama expects oil demand to continue growing in emerging Asia. Governments in this part of the world have less aggressive schedules for reducing carbon emissions, with net-zero goals further out in the future, Lohia said. Reducing carbon emissions boils down to renewable electricity. Instead of producing power by burning coal and natural gas, countries would do so with renewable sources such as solar panels, wind turbines and hydropower. Renewable electricity could also be used to generate heat. Emerging economies have limited power production, and they want to use that electricity to rapidly industrialize, according to Indorama. De-carbonization and industrialization will compete for limited power generation. That will place a limit on the expansion of charging stations needed for electric vehicles (EVs). Until emerging markets build out electrical infrastructure, they will still need petroleum-based fuels. Consequently, emerging markets are giving themselves more time to reduce carbon emissions. In China in particular, some companies could rush to complete new expansion projects before decarbonization deadlines take effect, Lohia said. China already has too much capacity, so this building spree will worsen the supply glut. As it stands, crude oil processing in China reached 14.8 million bbl/day in 2023, an all-time high, according to the EIA. Growing refining capacity should increase supplies of aromatics such as PX, the feedstock used to make purified terephthalic acid (PTA). That should depress PTA production costs. INDORAMA'S PLANGiven the global outlook for chemical feedstock produced at refineries, Indorama is considering a plan that would reduce consumption of these feedstocks at its Western operations. Instead of producing feedstock at high-cost plants, Indorama would import the material from Asia. Production lost from any closures would be offset by increasing utilization rates at Indorama's low-cost plants. The move would significantly increase Indorama's overall operating rates and lead to double-digit returns on capital employed (ROCE) for the two businesses most exposed to MX, Combined PET (CPET) and Fibers. US SHALE MAY SPARE DOMESTIC PLANTSThe calculus is less straightforward for Indorama's US operations. Critically, these operations include methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE), an octane-boosting gasoline blendstock that is made with methanol and isobutylene. In the US, both of these chemicals are made from shale-based feedstock, giving Indorama a substantial cost advantage. When gasoline prices rise, Indorama's MTBE operations can earn the company very attractive margins. Those fat MTBE margins would offset the higher costs involved with producing PTA from PX extracted from MX. MX is another octane-boosting blendstock, so its price tends to rise and fall with that for gasoline. In effect, MTBE provides Indorama with a hedge against higher MX costs for its US PET operations. MX is not the only feedstock used to make PET. The other is monoethylene glycol (MEG), a chemical made from ethylene. US ethylene producers predominantly on ethane as a feedstock, giving them a cost advantage. For Indorama's PET operations in the US, shale gas gives the company a cost advantage on the MEG side and a hedge on the PTA side. Thumbnail shows bottle made of PET. Image by monticello/imageBROKER/Shutterstock Insight article by Al Greenwood

05-Mar-2024

Indorama Ventures will divest, right-size assets and cut costs under revised strategy

LONDON (ICIS)–Fundamental long-term changes in global chemicals markets have prompted a significant review of strategy, Indorama Ventures said on Monday. The company suffered a heavy loss in 2023 against the backdrop of oversupplied markets and weak demand. Supply side pressure and weaker demand in China are among the factors that have created unprecedented industry conditions it said. It is shifting strategy to right-size operations, deleverage its business and cut costs. The company reported a 53% drop in earnings for 2023 as revenues fell by 17%, with fourth quarter EBIDTA down 46% on 8% lower sales. A net loss for the year of $310 million (from a profit of $884 million in 2022) included an asset impairment on an incomplete plant in Texas. The company said that it plans to reduce net debt by $2.5 billion to around $4.3 billion in 2026. This includes generating $800 million in cashflow from “operational improvements” and a further $1.7 billion from actions including divestments, “asset actions” and “select business listing”. The aim is to reduce its debt to EBITDA (earnings before, interest, tax, deprecation and amortisation) ratio to less than 3X. An asset optimization program is targeted at lifting the company’s operating rate from 74% to 89%, it said. This will include “moving to lower-cost facilities and right sizing manufacturing capacity”, it added. A further $450 million run rate of efficiency gains is planned to be in action by 2026. The sale of non-core assets and other “value unlocking strategies” aims to generate about $1.3 billion in cash proceeds. Indorama Ventures said that by leveraging sustainability innovation it can create an additional $350 million/year of value. Under the revised strategy the company’s Integrated Oxides and Derivative (IOD) business segment will be renamed Indovinya. Intermediate chemicals assets, including integrated purified ethylene oxide (PEO), ethylene glycol (EG) and methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) assets will move to Indorama Ventures’ Combined PET (CPET) segment. Indovinya will focus on downstream products and for Indorama Ventures markets will include home & personal care, crop solutions, coatings & solutions and energy & resources, it said. A run rate of $527 million in efficiency gains was achieved in 2023 and the roll out of a new enterprise management system in 2024 will unlock further value, it added. A $308 million non-cash impairment was taken in Q4 2023 it said on the suspension of activity on the partially completed purified terephthalic acid (PTA)-polyethylene terephthalate (PET) joint venture with Alpek in Corpus Christi, Texas.

04-Mar-2024

Korea’s S-Oil targets $2bn capex for Ulsan oil-to-chems project in '24

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–South Korean refiner S-Oil has earmarked won (W) 2.72tr ($2bn) this year for its thermal crude-to-chemical (TC2C) project called Shaheen, representing 87% of the total capital expenditure (capex) set for 2024. The full-year capex at W3.14tr was up 54% from 2023, the company said in its Q4 results presentation released in early February. Construction of Shaheen at the Onsan Industrial Complex of Ulsan City started in March 2023 and will be in full swing this year, with mechanical completion targeted by the first half of 2026. The funds that will go to the project – whose name was derived from the Arabic word for falcon – were up 86% from 2023 levels. As of end-December 2023, site preparation was 48% complete, with engineering, procurement and construction at 18.7%, according to S-Oil. “Site preparation and EPC [engineering, procurement and construction] work is under full-fledged execution with the actual progress going smoothly according to the plan,” the company said. The project will leverage on the T2C2 technology of its parent company Saudi Aramco, the world’s biggest crude exporter. Aramco owns more than 63% of S-Oil. The project is expected to yield 70% more chemicals, with a capex/operating expenditure savings pegged at 30-40% versus conventional process. Meanwhile, for upgrade and maintenance of plants in 2024, total expenses will fall by about 32% to W298bn, with just two plants due for turnaround in the year – its No 1 crude distillation unit (CDU) and its No 1 lube HDT (hydrotreatment) unit, the company said in the presentation, noting that the plan is preliminary. ICIS had reported that S-Oil will conduct maintenance at its Group I and Group II base oils units in Onsan, Ulsan for more than a month from mid-September this year. On 23 February 2024, a fire broke out at the company’s Onsan production site in Ulsan, shutting one of the three crude distillation units (CDUs) of its 669,000 bbl/day refinery, with some reduction in propylene output of the residue fluid catalytic cracker (RFCC) at the site, industry sources said. Other downstream operations at the site were not affected, but this could not be immediately confirmed with the company. Its Onsan complex can produce 910,000 tonnes/year of propylene; 187,000 tonnes/year of ethylene; 600,000 tonnes/year of benzene; and 1m tonnes/year of paraxylene (PX), according to the ICIS Supply & Demand Database. The company was planning to restart the No 3 CDU by 27 February, news agency Reuters reported, quoting unnamed sources. 2023 NET PROFIT SLUMPSS-Oil posted a 54.9% slump in net profit, with sales sliding by about 16% to as operating rates across its plants declined. in billion won (W) FY2023* FY2022 Yr-on-yr % change Revenue 35,726.7 42,446.0 -15.8 Operating income 1,354.6 3,405.2 -60.2 Net income 948.8 2,104.4 -54.9 *Revised figures from S-Oil on 26 February 2024 in billion won (W) FY2023 FY2022 Yr-on-yr % change Refining operating profit 399.1 2,344.3 -83.0 Petrochemical operating profit 203.7 -49.8 -509.0 Lube operating profit 815.7 1,110.7 -26.6 Source: S-Oil presentation, 2 February 2024 Average operating rates across the company’s plants declined and were in the  range of 75.1% to 90.4% in 2023 due to weakening global demand, with paraxylene (PX) plants registering the lowest run rate. Source: S-Oil, February 2024 2024 OUTLOOK “Regional refining markets are forecast to maintain an above average level by steady demand growth coupled with low inventory levels,” S-Oil said. Refining margins in the first quarter will likely be supported by “heating demand in winter and spring maintenance season", it said. “With uncertainties on start-up timing and pace of major new refineries, market impact is estimated to be restricted in 2H [second half] or beyond,” the company said. Paraxylene (PX) and benzene markets “are projected to be supported by firm demand growth” on the back of new downstream expansions as well as demand for gasoline blending, “amid drastically reduced capacity addition”. Polypropylene (PP) and propylene oxide (PO) markets “are likely to gradually improve in tandem with pace of China’s economic recovery, while pressures from capacity addition continues”, while for lube base oils (LBO), the product spread is projected to be solid “on limited capacity additions and sustained demand growth”, according to S-Oil. Thumbnail image: S-Oil's Residue Upgrading Complex (RUC) and the Olefin Downstream Complex (ODC) in Ulsan, South Korea (Source: S-Oil) Focus article by Pearl Bantillo ($1 = W1,334)

29-Feb-2024

VIDEO: China VAM market remains firm post-holiday on tighter spot supply

SINGAPORE (ICIS)– ICIS senior industry analyst Joanne Wang reviews the vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) market in China in early 2024 and shares a brief market outlook. Domestic operating rate remains low at around 70% NE Asian producers gradually shut units for maintenance Ethylene-based VAM supply to continue falling in March-April ICN

29-Feb-2024

US ONEOK to start chem feedstock projects in '25; mulls NGL terminal

HOUSTON (ICIS)–ONEOK plans to start up three major natural gas liquids (NGLs) projects in the US that will provide more feedstock to chemical companies – while its possible NGL export terminal remains in preliminary stages. NGLs such as ethane are the predominant feedstocks used by US crackers to produce ethylene. Crackers outside of the US have also been importing ethane and other NGLs to produce ethylene. ONEOK'S UPCOMING NGL PROJECTS The company plans to complete the remaining loop of the West Texas NGL pipeline to connect with its Arbuckle II pipeline. The project will allow ONEOK to ship 740,000 bbl/day of NGLs out of the Permian basin. The project should cost $520 million, and service should start in the first quarter of 2025. The following map shows the scope of the project. Source: ONEOK ONEOK plans to expand the Elk Creek Pipeline to 435,000 bbl/day of NGLs. It will allow the company to ship a total of 575,000 bbl/day of NGLs out of the Rocky Mountain region. The project should cost $355 million, and ONEOK should complete it in the first quarter of 2025. Elk Creek stretches for 900 miles (1,450 km). One end is near ONEOK's Riverview terminal in eastern Montana state, and the other end is at the company's existing Mid-Continent NGL operations in Bushton, Kansas, state. ONEOK plans to complete the MB-6 fractionator in Mont Belvieu, Texas, in the first quarter of 2025. The fractionator will have a capacity of 125,000 bbl/day. POTENTIAL NGL TERMINAL IN PRELIMINARY STAGESONEOK acknowledged on Wednesday that it filed an application with the US Army Corps of Engineers for a potential pipeline and terminal project. The project is in the preliminary stages of development, and ONEOK has yet to make a final investment decision (FID). The proposed terminal will be in Sabine Pass, Jefferson County, Texas state, according to the application. It will include four dock structures that could load very large gas carriers (VLGCs), very large ethane carriers (VLECs) and smaller vessels. The possible project will include 68 miles of two 20-inch diameter pipelines that will ship NGLs from ONEOK's NGL fractionators in Mont Belvieu to the terminal. ONEOK expects that the NGLs will be shipped to China, India and Europe, according to the application. The following map shows the site of the proposed export terminal. Source: US Army Corps of Engineers. The name of the project is the TXGC Terminal, and the applicants are TXGC Properties and TXGC Pipelines, subsidiaries of ONEOK. ONEOK did not provide more details about the proposed project. However, the terminal is a sign that companies are interested in developing more capacity to crack ethane outside of the US.

28-Feb-2024

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