Source of picture: the-office.com By John Richardson A FURTHER illustration of the Alice in Wonderland world of financial investors versus the fundamentals of real demand was provided by the Dalian Commodity Exchange earlier this week. “Some investment funds started snapping up linear low density PE (LLDPE) futures in anticipation of improvement in […]
Asian Chemical Connections
China Property Sector Dangers Grow
Source of picture: www.chinadigitaltimes.net By John Richardson HOPES for strong China chemicals and polymer demand growth in H2 partly rest on government stimulus money for infrastructure projects compensating for a weakening real-estate sector. Whether its direct consumption of chemicals and polymers, such as the obvious polyvinyl chloride (PVC) – or indirect benefits […]
China PE, PP Weakness Set To Continue
Europe and China: A two-tier market is hard to bear… Source of picture: blog.pinkcakebox By John Richardson CHINA’S polyolefin pricing is likely to remain under downward pressure over the next few months as a result of a persistent inventory overhang, new supply and weak construction and auto markets, two traders and one producer have […]
China Latest Growth, Inflation Raise Rate Rise Fears
By John Richardson CHINA’S soaring fourth-quarter GDP (gross domestic product) growth – and the release of the latest inflation statistic – has heightened fears among economists that interest-rate rises will be necessary, risking collapse in house prices if it’s not managed skilfully. Inflation rose to 1.9% in December last year from 0.6% in November, according to […]
Polyethylene Pricing Separates From Fundamentals
By John Richardson Linear-low density polyethylene (LLDPE) pricing in China has become increasingly divorced from industry fundamentals as a result of the growing role of the Dalian Commodity Exchange’s futures contract, claimed a Singapore-based polyolefin trader late last week. And the contract is setting the physical market, resulting in Dalian performing a similar role that […]
China Govt’s Next Moves Critical For World Economy
By John Richardson CHINA’S decision yesterday to increase the amount banks must set aside as reserves and two interbank interest rate rises in the space of a week are designed to tighten monetary conditions as worries grow over overheating and inflation. Lending reached Yuan 600bn ($88bn) in the first week of this year, not far […]
US Dollar Carry Trade Threat To Chemicals
Stay cool and don’t panic! Source of picture: www.wired.com By John Richardson THE growth of the carry trade US dollars – leading to a sharp depreciation of the greenback and possibly of many other unintended consequences – represents a major threat to the chemicals industry in 2010. Any corporate planner with her or […]