Welcome to the Shell –
ICIS Company Portal

This page has been set up for Shell employees to provide access and information to your ICIS subscription

Shell’s Subscription


In order to access ICIS reports, please follow the pre-approval process below via the EIS Shell internal system. At Shell, you have access to the following reports upon approval from your line manager.

Welcome


Welcome to the Shell – ICIS Company partnership page. This page is to ensure that Shell employees are able to efficiently access the ICIS intelligence you require to make the best decisions, in some of the world’s most critical markets.

Within this page you will be able to navigate to ICIS ClarityTM platforms and access key data and analytics included within our partnership as well as our Insights Hub, where you will be able to view our latest thought-leadership pieces and register for upcoming events. The ICIS team are here to help as an extension of your team to ensure you have the insight you need in our continually changing world.

If you do require any assistance, please don’t hesitate to reach out to your Dedicated ICIS team.

In order to access ICIS reports, please follow the pre-approval process below via the EIS Shell internal system. At Shell, you have access to the following reports upon approval from your line manager.

Global Licences

       
       

ICIS Chemical Price Reports (incl. Base Oils)


  • If you are already personally registered for this service, you can login here (you should use your same username/password as other ICIS services and you must use your own login details and not a colleague’s)
  • If you’re not registered but would like access, click here
  • For general information about ICIS Chemical reports (including Base Oils), contact us, read below and visit here
       

ICIS price reports provide independent, objective and trusted intelligence for the global chemical markets. Alongside energy and fertilizer reports, chemical price reports in all major trading regions are available through the ICIS Clarity™ which also hosts news, allows comparisons of prices against feedstocks or other commodities in a common currency, pricing history from before 2000 in some cases, forward curves and more (see below).

  • ICIS provides pricing information and analysis for more than 110 product markets
  • ICIS price assessments are widely quoted as benchmarks in contracts
  • ICIS information is collected from market participants by its global network of reporters, delivering more coverage of established and emerging markets, including China and Asia, than any other
  • Click here to see all covered chemical commodities
       

N.B. Regularly published Forecast Pricing reports for major chemical product families are also available from ICIS – please see ‘ICIS Consulting Services’

With subscriptions to ICIS Chemical reports, Shell’s users are not limited to only reading reports but through the ICIS Clarity™ also have:

  • daily market news, updates or force majeure announcements
  • instant price alerts for relevant price settlements and deals done during the day;
  • up to 30 years of price history to download in excel, graph or table and in any currency you require;
  • build your own pricing formula using the ICIS number as a reference.
       
       

ICIS Energy Price Reports (incl. Gas, LNG, Power & Coal)


  • If you are already registered for this service, you can login here (using your same username/password as other ICIS services)
  • If you’re not registered but would like access, visit Shell’s EIS platform for approval here
  • For general information about ICIS Energy reports, please read below or contact us

Alongside chemical and fertilizer reports, energy price reports in all major trading regions are available to Shell users through the ICIS Clarity™

For the gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), power, carbon and coal sectors, ICIS Energy (previously known as ICIS Heren) provides robust and independent market data, price assessments, indices, news and analysis.

Especially known in Shell for the ICIS European Spot Gas Markets (ESGM) report, the ICIS European Daily Electricity (EDEM) report, Global LNG Markets Weekly & LNG Markets Daily report (for these reports, follow the links above) ICIS covers many other aspects too.

       

Energy Price History

Price history for ICIS Energy reports is available from ICIS but is not part of Shell’s global subscription so please contact Shell’s account manager here at ICIS.

       

Focus on China

ICIS has focused China Gas & China LNG data and analysis including pipeline gas and LNG markets by province and demand sub segments. For China’s Oil & Refinery sector, ICIS provides an end-to-end solution for China’s dynamic oil market – crude/petroleum, gasoline/naphtha, gasoil and much more.

ICIS is the market intelligence leader for Chinese energy markets and publishes Chinese-language reports. These are not part of Shell’s global subscription so please contact Shell’s account manager here at ICIS.

       

N.B.

*Advanced Power Price Forecasts for some major countries are also available from ICIS – please see the ICIS ‘Consulting Services’ page on EIS.

*For coverage of Carbon and Emissions, please see the dedicated ICIS ‘Carbon Analytics’ page.

       

       

ICIS Energy Price Data via ZEMA/ OTIS/ MarketView/ Eikon


  • ICIS does not provide a login for 3rd Parties but for information about the ICIS Energy Reports available via 3rd Parties read below, contact us and/or visit here 
  • If you’re not registered but you want access, click here
       
ICIS Energy Price Data

In addition to the ICIS Clarity™, these price reports are available to Shell users on the ZEMA and/or OTIS/MarketView/Eikon platforms

For information on the ICIS Energy reports included, please contact ICIS.

  • ESGM Index
  • ESGM Index (new)
  • ESGM Monthly Index
  • ESGM Monthly Index – Futures
  • ESGM Price (Futures)
  • ESGM Price (Spot)
  • ESGM Prices
  • LMD Charter Rates
  • LMD Global DES Assessments (Futures)
  • LMD Global FOB Assessments
  • LMD ICIS Heren Pool Prices
  • LMD Month Ahead FOB Reload
  • LMD Spot LNG East Asia Index
       

       

ICIS Fertilizer Price Reports


  • If you’re already registered for this service, you can login here https://www.icis.com/Dashboard/Reports (you should use your same username/password as other ICIS services and you must use your own login details and not a colleague’s)
  • If you’re not registered but you would like access, click here
  • For general information about ICIS Fertilizer Price Reports and Forecasts please contact us, read below and/or visit here 

Alongside chemical and energy reports, fertilizer price reports are available to Shell users through the ICIS Clarity™

ICIS has a comprehensive range of products to support Shell’s requirements for fertilizer information. At ICIS Fertilizer reports, data is combined under single, globally-published reports.

ICIS also produces China-specific price reports on selected fertilizer commodities giving users access to China’s regulatory updates, domestic supply and demand situation, export activities and prices.

With subscriptions to ICIS Fertilizer reports, Shell’s users are not limited to only reading reports but through the ICIS Clarity™ also have:

  • daily market news, updates or force majeure announcements
  • instant price alerts for relevant price settlements and deals done during the day;
  • up to 30 years of price history to download in excel, graph or table and in any currency you require;
  • build your own pricing formula using the ICIS number as a reference.
       

The Market is a weekly report allowing users to find all major fertilizer groups and global hub/destination prices in one place. Rather than reading many fertilizer product reports individually, following THE MARKET can help Shell’s users save time. With more than 25 years of price history for about 90 price quotations, users can compare regional prices and see which destination/region is best to source/sell at specific times. Weekly freight and pricing all available for:

  • UREA (Prilled and Granular);
  • Nitrates (AN, CAN, UAN);
  • Ammonium Sulphates;
  • Ammonia;
  • Phosphates (DAP, MAP, TSP);
  • NPK, Phosphoric Acid and Phosphate Rock;
  • Potash (MOP, SOP)
  • Sulphur (granular and Liquid) & Sulphuric Acid
       

The Outlook – monthly ICIS price forecast reports for the global fertilizers markets.

Designed to help users to understand developments for individual fertilizers over a rolling 12-month period for supply and demand balances as well as forecasted prices. Produced in partnership with Integer Research, a provider of independent market intelligence and consultancy services to the fertilizer industry, there are 5 Outlook reports:

  • Urea Monthly Outlook;
  • Ammonia Monthly Outlook;
  • Phosphates Monthly Outlook;
  • Sulphur and Sulphuric Acid Monthly Outlook;
  • Potash Quarterly Outlook.

       

       

ICIS News & the ICB e-zine


  • If you’re already registered for this service, you can login here

ICIS News https://www.icis.com/subscriber/news

ICB e-zine https://www.icis.com/subscriber/icb

(you should use your same username/password as other ICIS services and you must use your own login details and not a colleague’s)

  • If you’re not registered but you want access, click here
  • For general information about ICIS News and the ICB e-zine services please contact us, read below and/or visit https://www.icis.com/about/news

New in 2018 for Shell employees, the ICIS News service now also includes access to the ICIS Chemical Business (ICB) e-zine. No extra sign-up is required. If you have access to ICIS News, you will also have access to the ICB.

       

ICIS News

ICIS has expert reporters and editors around the world giving Shell’s users access to breaking news stories that impact chemical, energy and fertilizer markets, influence commodity prices, and affect your daily business decisions and knowledge.

The key item is probably the real-time element of ICIS News. The volume and the breadth of the stories along with including more about green science, sustainability and renewable energies is the other key aspect with an increase to >25,000 stories per year without sacrificing quality – plus subscribers can save their own RSS Feeds, key words and ‘breaking news’ alerts making it personally efficient for them (training is available on how to do this if necessary).

       
ICIS News provides:
  • Real-time news around the clock for all key sectors of the global chemical industry, enabling users to stay ahead of the competition and make faster, well-informed decisions.
  • Fast, in-depth reporting on the latest price movements and market trends.
  • Analytical articles from ICIS experts assessing key trends and offering deeper market insights
  • Plant and Project news – including capacity, outputs and shutdowns (also see the dedicated ICIS ‘Supply & Demand Service’ page on EIS).
  • A searchable archive of over 900,000 articles from over 10 years.
  • Customizable options allowing Shell’s users to view only the content you want to see.
       
ICIS Chemical Business (ICB) e-zine

ICB is different to the ICIS News service and is published 45 times a year (with three additional special editions). A global team of expert ICIS reporters cover all the key issues, prices trends and projects driving the world’s chemical markets – all in one digital magazine.

       

Every issue of ICB brings subscribers:

  • News in brief (condensed news items sent by the regional newsdesks)
  • Price & Market Trends: FOCUS and other longer articles – a selection of the most important stories through the week
  • Market intelligence: INSIGHT articles
       

ICB has unique content not published on ICIS news. They are:

  • Chemical Profiles – a 1-page snapshot of one chemical in a particular region: Ex: Asia benzene. These are written by the pricing editors specifically for ICB and is consistently one of the favorite sections of readers.
  • Market Outlooks – SOME but not all of these are written specifically for ICB by ICIS consultants, external consultants/authors (Paul Hodges, Nexant, etc). They tend to be more in-depth, bigger picture outlooks/analysis. Others are written by ICIS staff for ICIS news – Ex: M&A Outlook by Joseph Chang
  • Special Reports
    • Conference-related articles such as for AFPM, EPCA, APIC, NACD, etc. This is typically in-depth content written by ICIS news and pricing editors, plus freelancers specifically for ICB.
    • Other special reports on pre-selected topics (e.g. from the ICB calendar): Biobased chemicals, chemical sites, Japan, polymers technology licensing
    • The ICIS Top listings: ICIS Top 100 Chemical Distributors (most comprehensive listing of distributors in the world), ICIS Top 100 Chemical Companies, ICIS Top 40 Power Players, ICIS Top M&A listing

       

       

ICIS Supply & Demand Database


  • If you’re already registered for this service, you can login here (you should use your same username/password as other ICIS services and you must use your own login details and not a colleague’s)
  • If you’re not registered but would like access, click here
  • For general information about the Supply & Demand database, contact us, read below and visit here 

Produced by the Analytics & Consulting division of ICIS, which operates independently of the Editorial team, S&D has a separate website to the ICIS Clarity™ but uses the same login details by Shell users once they are registered.

For over 160 countries and over 130 products all forecast until 2030 (and from late Q3 2017, until 2040), the ICIS S&D service delivers an end-to-end perspective of the global energy, refining and petrochemical markets.

       

The following product types are already subscribed to Shell on a global basis:

  • Olefins and Olefin Derivatives
  • Aromatics and Aromatic Derivatives
  • Methanol
  • Polymers

The access to the following products, please contact us

  • Energy and Refining
  • Cracker Feedstock Slates
  • Petrochemical Feedstocks

       

       

Special licenses

       

ICIS Carbon Analytics


  • If you are already registered for this service, you can login here https://analytics.icis.com (you should use your same username/password as other ICIS services and you must use your own login details and not a colleague’s)
  • If you’re not registered but you want access, visit Shell’s EIS platform for approval here
  • For general information about ICIS Carbon and Emissions data, please read below, contact us and/or visit https://analytics.icis.com

The Carbon Analytics platform (formerly known as ICIS Tschach) provides Shell’s users with tools for trading and analysis in the major carbon markets globally. ICIS covers the EU Emission Trading Scheme, the North American Carbon markets and both the Pilots and the National ETS in China.

With the analytics provided, this is more than just carbon price data. The ICIS analysts and journalists provide reliable and sharp analysis drawn on a rigorous behavioural approach (which ICIS pioneered) and the ICIS-unique Timing Impact Model, giving a fresh perspective. ICIS additionally produce behaviour-driven price forecasts that are regularly evaluated.

Carbon Emissions:

  • EU ETS Portal
  • CA/QC Cap & Trade Portal
  • RGGI Portal
  • China ETS Portal

Click here to find out more about ICIS Carbon Analytics.

       

       

ICIS Consulting Services and Forecasting


Bespoke services

Part of the Analytics & Consulting division, ICIS consultants enable Shell businesses to address specific, long-term challenges through providing robust proprietary data, on-the-ground expertise, and strategic insight across global petrochemical, energy and fertilizers industries.

From research and due diligence, to investment analysis and portfolio optimization, a global team of experienced consultants will work alongside your team to identify challenges, mitigate risks, and help you meet your growth objectives. Click here to find out more about the ICIS Consultancy team.

Please contact please contact Shell’s account manager here at ICIS for more information and/or to be directed to the relevant ICIS consultants for your questions.

       

Regularly published Reports

  • Short-term Chemical Price Forecast Reports

Produced by the Analytics & Consulting division of ICIS, which operates independently of the Editorial team. Concise monthly reports include 12–month rolling price forecast series, supply and demand outlooks, trade, and raw materials – helping you to understand where markets are heading.

In Shell, those who receive the price forecast report will also be able to access commentary from the ICIS analysts on the ICIS Clarity™ alongside monthly price forecast curves (depending on which price forecast report you subscribe to) and up to 12-months’ worth of historical prices.

Feel free to contact us for a recent sample. Currently available:

Benzenea – Global report

    • The Benzene report includes a price forecasts for Benzene for Europe, Asia (South Korea & China separately) & the US and additionally price forecasts of the toluene blend value, the benzene-naphtha spread, a naphtha price forecast and crude oil price forecasts (WTI & Brent separately) as well as capacity and consumption forecasts by region.

Polyethyleneb – Europe, US and Asia reports

    • The PE report includes separate price forecasts for HDPE, LDPE & LLDPE and additionally price forecasts of Ethane (for the US version), Ethylene, Propylene and Naphtha, as well as capacity and consumption forecasts (the Asia and US reports also include Brent Crude Oil and WTI Crude oil respectively).

Polypropylenec – Europe, US and Asia reports

    • The PP report includes forecasts of PP’s domestic and contract prices and additionally price forecasts of Propylene, Naphtha and PP margin forecasts, major global capacity additions by project as well as capacity and consumption forecasts (the Asia and US reports also include Brent Crude Oil and WTI Crude oil respectively).

Styrenicsd – Europe report

    • The Styrenics report includes Styrene and also Polystyrene price forecasts for both General Purpose PS (GPPS) and High-Impact PS (HIPS) grades as well as capacity and consumption forecasts.

Methanole – Global report

    • The Methanol report includes forecasts of Methanol prices in China (Ex-Tank, CFR) as well as CFR SE Asia and FOB US Gulf and FOB Rotterdam. Users find that the section ‘CURRENT CTO/MTO OPERATING STATUS’ is especially useful as it has such a big impact on prices in China and also other locations. It includes updates on global methanol shutdowns alongside commentary and special interest pieces.
  • Advanced Power Price Forecasts

Produced by the Analytics & Consulting division of ICIS, which operates independently of the Editorial team. The ICIS power price forecasts provide the highest accuracy by combining deep market knowledge with advanced quantitative modelling techniques.

Besides the price forecast, Shell customers can also access demand, wind and solar forecasts used as inputs to the price modelling in the ICIS Power Analytics Platform.

Currently available:

ICIS Spot Price Forecast German Power – best in class for the hourly auctions at EPEX

ICIS Price Forecast for the EPEX Spot Intraday Auction – highly accurate price forecasts in the German day-ahead power market

ICIS Hourly Price Forward Curve (HPFC) German Power – the ICIS HPFC takes increasing renewables capacities into account

       
       

ICIS Training


For Trainings outside of the Shell:ICIS subscription can be fully optimised in-house training courses – ranging from individual courses to wider Training Partnerships, fulfilling specific training needs to wider market-defining leadership across multiple partners, suppliers and customers.

The content, location and scale of in-house courses are flexible, and are delivered by market-active industry specialists.

For Training opportunities, please get in touch with us.

For access, click here

Requesting access


In order for you to gain access to ICIS subscriptions, you will need to follow the steps below:

1. Please visit your EIS Shell internal portal to request access to the ICIS subscriptions that you need. The links for each product are listed in the Shell’s Subscriptions section above. Follow the steps on the page to request approval for each product.

2. Upon approval, individual license keys will be shown.

3. Once you are provided with your individual license key click on the appropriate link below
New ICIS User Registration
Existing ICIS User (Click here if you have previously activated a subscription and require access to an additional subscription)

4. On the first screen, please enter your email address and choose a password for your account. Please note that your Shell e-mail address only will be accepted.

5. On the final screen, enter your individual license key to activate your subscription. This was provided to you on the EIS portal upon approval.

ICIS News

NPE '24: BASF Corp CEO optimistic of agreement at next UN plastic treaty talks

ORLANDO (ICIS)–BASF Corp CEO Mike Heinz is optimistic that a binding agreement could be reached during the next round of negotiations of the UN plastic waste treaty, he said on Wednesday. BASF had sent a team to the previous round that was held in Ottawa, he said. "The feedback that we received from them was cautiously optimistic." Heinz made his comments in an interview with ICIS at this year’s NPE: The Plastics Show. He also gave the keynote address at the trade show. Another reason for optimism is that all of the parties are pursuing the same objective: to prevent plastic waste from entering the environment, Heinz said. An agreement would be one that all stakeholders could live with. He acknowledged some disagreement about how to achieve that objective. Some want to curb production of plastic, he said. BASF and others want to achieve it by curbing pollution. Already, BASF and other chemical companies are incorporating recycled materials into their products. Recycling can be part of a larger sustainable production chain, under which chemical complexes rely on renewable energy to make products from recycled and renewable materials that can be recovered and reused. These materials can be used to make wind blades, electric vehicles (EVs) and other products critical to reducing emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2). Heinz summed up the path to a sustainable future as resting on three three pillars: make, use and recycle. SUSTAINABILITY VERBUNDDuring his speech and in a subsequent interview with ICIS, Heinz described what could be characterized as a Verbund based on sustainability. "This will take some time, but the good news is we already have some concrete examples on how it can be done," Heinz said. As an example, he held up a jacket made with 100% recycled nylon 6 from BASF that was sold by Inditex, the owner the clothing brand Zara. Heinz pointed to BASF's equity stakes in European wind packs. By 2030, BASF wants green energy to account for 60% of its power consumption. For chemical companies, one of the most power-hungry processes is steam cracking. BASF, SABIC and Linde are developing an e-cracker that would rely on electric furnaces to generate the heat needed to produce ethylene. The electricity could come from renewable sources, which would significantly reduce the CO2 emissions of steam cracking. Crackers can process renewable naphtha made from natural oils or pyrolysis oil produced at chemical recycling plants. It will take time for these feedstocks to become abundant, but the model is possible, and BASF is making chemicals with such feedstocks. New, renewable feedstocks can lead to new chemistries that result in materials that have better qualities than those based on petroleum.  The products can also help customers achieve their own sustainability goals. Lighter plastics can allow automobiles to travel farther on a tank of gasoline or on a battery charge. Other plastics will be critical to make EVs safe. Products can be designed to last longer, he said. When they do reach the end of their lifecycles, they can be designed to be easier to recover and recycle. STEPS NEEDED TO ACHIEVE SUSTAINABILITYDuring his keynote speech, Heinz noted that while the chemical industry is part of the problem, it can be a bigger part of the solution. Change will require passionate people, innovation and collaboration, he said. In particular, the chemical industry needs to collaborate with lawmakers and nongovernmental organizations (NGO) to come up with those solutions. Produced by Plastics Industry Association (PLASTICS), NPE: The Plastics Show takes place 6-10 May in Orlando, Florida. Interview article by Al Greenwood Thumbnail shows a plastic bottle, which can be recycled. Image by monticello/imageBROKER/Shutterstock

08-May-2024

LyondellBasell launches review of European assets

LONDON (ICIS)–LyondellBasell has launched a strategic review of the bulk of its operations in Europe, the producer said on Wednesday, based on its strategy to focus on assets perceived to have long-lasting competitive advantage. The producer will conduct a review of its European olefins, polyolefins, intermediates and derivatives businesses, driven by its move announced last year to reinvest in its strongest performing operations. "At the 2023 Capital Markets Day, we stated our intent to concentrate our portfolio around businesses with long-lasting competitive advantage and to reinvest around those advantaged areas generating superior returns at meaningful scale. These criteria have not changed," said Lyondell CEO Peter Vanacker. The strategy announced at the 2023 investor day was based around three pillars: prioritizing growth spending on businesses where the company “has leading positions in expanding and well-positioned markets”, growing circular solutions earnings to $1 billion/year by 2030, and shifting from cost controls to a broader idea of value creation. Energy-intensive industries in Europe have been challenged by the sharp increase in gas prices seen since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which remain substantially above pre-war and pre-pandemic norms despite falling dramatically since the nadir of winter 2022. Described by former BASF chief Martin Brudermuller earlier this year as a “systemic” change to the European operating environment, the higher cost of operating Europe has prompted a number of reviews by large global players. BASF is looking to cut €1 billion off the annual operating costs of its Ludwigshafen, Germany, complex. The company tapped plant sale specialists International Process Plants this week to explore the sale of its Ludwigshafen ammonia, methanol and melamine units, idled in 2023 due to high production costs. Dow also announced plans to review underperforming and smaller assets. A significant proportion of any cuts had been expected to land in Europe, although the US major has not given an update on the process since it was announced in early 2023. Indorama Ventures is also currently reviewing six assets out of its "West" portfolio for potential shutdown. While global gas pricing has come down, the cost of shipping gas will always be higher than sending it through a dedicated pipeline, as was the case with the Russia-derived natural gas that made up around half of the EU’s energy consumption prior to the war. As part of its stated intent to continue developing its sustainable and circular business, investments in a commercial-scale MoReTec plant, LyondellBasell's proprietary technology to convert plastic waste into liquid raw materials, and the development of a circularity hub in the Cologne, Germany region, will continue as planned, the company said. “The company will prioritize its investments to align operations with our circularity and net zero ambitions," Vanacker added. "We understand that strategic assessments can create uncertainty for our employees and customers, but we are committed to operate our assets safely and reliably throughout this process." LyondellBasell European prodcution Product Capacity (kt) Ethylene 1,805 HDPE 1,260 LDPE 740 MTBE 810 Polypropylene 2,175 Propylene 990 Propylene Oxide 785 Styrene 680 TBA 970 Update re-leads, adds detail throughout Additional reporting by Graeme Paterson, infographics by Yashas Mudumbai

08-May-2024

PODCAST: Synthetic fuels poised to lead decarbonisation of transport sector – Zero Petroleum CEO

LONDON (ICIS)–In this latest podcast, markets editor Nazif Nazmul interviews Paddy Lowe, CEO and founder of the synthetic fuels producing company Zero Petroleum. Synthetic fuels can play a vital role in slashing emissions across the transport sector in the coming years, although the road to scaling up is fraught with obstacles, as well as opportunities. Synthetic fuels, also known as e-fuels, are derived from renewable electricity, air and water. The power-to-liquid process entails chemical conversion of energy. Energy density of synthetic fuels and compatibility with international combustion engine (ICE) vehicles could provide a long-term decarbonisation alternative to electric vehicles (EVs) and biofuels Rail, marine, aviation, agricultural sectors can utilise synthetic fuels alongside road transport Synthetic fuels gaining traction in the aviation industry in the form of e-SAF Achieving cost parity with fossil-based gasoline will still take approximately 10 more years Legislative support likely to expedite time needed to achieve economies of scale Production process reliant on sourcing vast amount of renewable energy Click here to open in a new window.

08-May-2024

German industrial production falls 0.4% in March as producers lack new orders

LONDON (ICIS)–German industrial production fell 0.4% in March month on month, but output from the chemical-pharmaceuticals sector rose slightly according to statistical data released on Wednesday. Bundesbank, chem-pharma production order volume index (2021=100): March 2024 February 2024 March 2023 Q1 2024 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 92.6 91.6 85.7 90.1 84.6 86.3 Production in the energy-intensive industries, which includes chemicals, remained flat month on month in March but rose 4.8% in Q1 2024 from Q4 2023. In the automotive industry, which is an important end market for chemicals, March production rose 0.6% from February. March 2024 production +/- change from February Total output from industry, construction and energy -0.4% Industrial production -0.4% -Intermediate goods -0.6% -Capital goods 0.1% -Consumer goods -1.4% Energy -4.2% Construction 1.0% (source: Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbaden) Industrial production was down 3.4% from March 2023 while total production from industry, construction and energy was down 3.3%. LACK OF ORDERSAccording to a survey by the Munich-based research group ifo on Wednesday, a shortage of new manufacturing orders worsened in April, slowing the overall economy. In manufacturing, 39.5% of companies reported a lack of orders, up from 36.9% in ifo’s January survey. In the chemical industry the share of companies reporting a lack of orders was 46.6% in April. In related news, a labor union has threatened “massive” strikes in the building and construction sectors after a failure to reach a new collective agreement with their employers. Along with the auto sector, building and construction are important end markets for the chemicals industry.

08-May-2024

PODCAST: Decarbonized power sector offers opportunities for Europe chemicals resurgence

BARCELONA (ICIS)–Europe’s chemical industry stands to benefit in the long-term from the expansion of wind, solar and other low carbon methods of producing energy. – Growth in renewables means spot electricity prices can turn negative if demand dips – Europe electricity prices higher than pre-war as tied to price of natural gas, now mainly liquefied natural gas (LNG) –  Europe sees significant growth in solar, while wind faces delays due to supply chain issues – Decarbonizing includes reducing emissions from gas plants via carbon capture and storage (CCS) and other technologies – Challenges include grid infrastructure to transport electricity across regions with varying renewable output – Despite regulatory hurdles, there is political will for grid investment as part of the energy transition In this Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews ICIS power markets editor Andrea Battaglia, ICIS head of power analysis Matthew Jones, ICIS senior consultant Asia John Richardson and Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting. Editor’s note: This podcast is an opinion piece. The views expressed are those of the presenter and interviewees, and do not necessarily represent those of ICIS. ICIS is organising regular updates to help the industry understand current market trends. Register here . Read the latest issue of ICIS Chemical Business. Read Paul Hodges and John Richardson's ICIS blogs.

08-May-2024

PODCAST: APIC ’24 – Asia PVC shaped by ample supply, impending policy changes in India

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia's polyvinyl chloride (PVC) markets are expected to see some uncertainty in the coming months, with factors like China’s domestic demand, the impact of India’s monsoon and some policy changes expected to shape the landscape. June offers from Asian producers awaited next week SE Asian economies see healthy growth in Q1, expected to support PVC demand Low domestic demand in China encourages exports, especially to India In this chemical podcast, ICIS editors Jonathan Chou, Damini Dabholkar and analyst Lina Xu discuss recent market conditions with an outlook ahead in Asia. Visit us at Booth 13 at the Grand Ballroom Foyer at the Grand InterContinental Seoul Parnas! Book a meeting with ICIS here.

08-May-2024

PODCAST: Asia BDO pressured by slowing demand in late Q2, oversupply

SHANGHAI (ICIS)–Asia’s 1,4-butanediol (BDO) market continues to be pressured by oversupply amid slowing demand. With the first peak season in March to April ending, demand in some sectors has started to slow. In this chemical podcast, ICIS markets reporter Corey Chew reports from China on market expectations before Enmore’s 14th BDO and Derivatives Development Forum.

08-May-2024

Asahi Kasei, Mitsui, Mitsubishi to start joint study on ethylene production sites

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Japanese majors Asahi Kasei, Mitsui Chemicals and Mitsubishi Chemical on Wednesday said they have agreed to perform a joint feasibility study on feedstock and fuel conversion at their ethylene production facilities in western Japan to accelerate their carbon neutrality targets. "The joint feasibility study is expected to raise the speed and efficiency of the transition to carbon neutrality of the companies’ ethylene production facilities and each company’s petrochemical products," they said in a joint statement. The three companies will study "concrete measures" to drive their move towards carbon neutrality such as replacing petroleum-derived resources with biomass feedstock and conversion to low-carbon fuel, while also studying optimal future production arrangements. In order to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 in accordance with the target set by the Japanese government, the three chemical giants have each adopted policies to become carbon neutral by reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets to effectively zero. "However, if initiatives are taken by each company individually, the speed of implementation and efficiency of GHG reduction are limited," they said. "This makes it increasingly necessary for multiple petrochemical manufacturers located nearby to cooperate with one another through mutual provision of technology and joint implementation of measures that contribute to carbon neutrality."

08-May-2024

Avient eyes further sales growth in defense, narrows 2024 earnings guidance

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Following a better-than-expected 2024 first quarter, US compounder and formulator Avient raised its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) by $5 million at the low end. Sales into the defense market, along with raw material deflation, were the key earnings drivers in Q1 and Avent expects both to support earnings through 2024, CEO Ashish Khandpur and CFO Jamie Beggs told analysts during the company’s Q1 earnings call on Tuesday. New 2024 guidance Previous 2024 guidance Pro forma 2023 adjusted EBITDA $505 to $535 million $510 to $535 million $501.8 million SALES IMPROVING IN MOST END MARKETSAvient sees demand conditions “generally improving across all regions”, with improved momentum in consumer, packaging, healthcare, defense and industrial end markets, the executives said. After a 35% year-on-year increase in Q1, defense sales amid the ongoing geopolitical tensions, Avient expects those sales to continue growing through 2024, albeit not at the first quarter’s hot pace, they said. Avient’s Dyneema-brand fiber technology is used in the personal protection of soldiers and law enforcement and border control officers. While Avient’s utilization rates in defense are high, the company is able to meet forecast demand growth and expects no capacity limitations this year. However, it may add capacities in the future, depending on demand, which can be “lumpy” in that market, they said. Defense accounted for 7% of Avient’s total 2023 sales of $3.14 billion, with more than half of those sales in the US. Avient acquired the Dyneema business from DSM in 2022. Telecommunications and energy, however, are among the weaker end markets, with first-quarter sales down double-digit and weakness continuing into the second quarter. Destocking in the capital-intensive telecommunications market continued in Q1, with no meaningful rebound in that market expected until 2025, the executives said. Telecommunications accounted for 4% of Avient’s 2023 sales. BY REGION Regionally, Avient sees good momentum in the US in markets such as consumer packaging, defense, building and construction, industrial and infrastructure. “Destocking in those markets is over”, Khandpur said. With the exception of telecommunications and energy, overall demand in North America is “coming back quite well”, he said. However, persistent inflation is delaying the timing of interest rate cuts, which could weigh on sales in end markets such as building and construction, transportation and industrial, the executives said. In China, about 70% of Avient’s sales go into the local market, putting the company into a good position as that country’s economic policies transition to focus on the domestic market, the executives said. In Europe, demand in packaging and healthcare is improving, but Avient expects the region’s overall year-on-year sales growth to be soft. Consumer confidence in Europe is weak and eurozone manufacturing continues to signal contraction, they noted. Meanwhile, the stronger US dollar has become a headwind, they added. Sales by region in 2023: RAW MATERIAL DEFLATION Raw material deflation will continue to support margin expansion in the second quarter, albeit to a lesser extent than in the first quarter, the executives said. In the first quarter, Avient saw better-than-expected pricing for non hydrocarbon-based raw materials such as pigments and certain performance additives. Primary raw materials used in Avient’s manufacturing operations include polyolefin and other thermoplastic resins, titanium oxide (TiO2), inorganic and organic pigments, specialty additives and ethylene. Pricing, net of raw materials, should help drive year-on-year earnings growth in 2024, the executives said. Also, the company expects additional margin expansion due synergies and plant closures related to its acquisition of Clariant’s masterbatch business back in 2020, Beggs noted. M&A NOT A PRIORITY In the near-term, Avient will focus on organic growth and margin expansion whereas growth through mergers and acquisitions (M&A) is not a priority. While Avient is not ruling out M&A, any deals would be “small and bolt-on in nature”, in areas like healthcare, sustainable solutions or composites, with focus on Asia and Latin America, Khandpur said. “Premiums are pretty high” in M&A, he added. Thumbnail photo of Ashish Khandpur, who took over as Avient's CEO and president on 1 December 2023; photo source: Avient

07-May-2024

PODCAST: APIC '24: Asia olefins up against upstream volatility, growing supply

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia's olefins brace for headwinds amid sustained weak demand in May, although some support is expected from curtailed supply in China. Lengthening supply from South Korea could continue to weigh on the market's outlook as it navigates upstream volatility amid tensions in the Middle East. Asia's olefins market to see increasing supply from South Korea in May Relatively low PDH run rates could lend support to NE Asia C3 Poor demand weighing on Asia C2 amid multiple supply options for June arrivals In this chemical podcast, ICIS editors Julia Tan and Josh Quah discuss recent market conditions with an outlook ahead in Asia.

07-May-2024

NPE '24: SABIC eyes growth opportunities in Americas amid era of global overcapacity

ORLANDO (ICIS)–SABIC is looking for further opportunities for growth in the Americas as part of its strategy to navigate an era of excess capacity around the world, one that has led it and other producers to shutter capacity in high-cost regions, an executive said. "We are actively looking at our growth opportunities throughout North America as well as South America," said Sami Al-Osaimi, executive vice president, polymers, SABIC. He made his comments during a presentation at this year’s NPE: The Plastics Show. Al-Osaimi said the Americas is a very key strategic market for SABIC. The company has seen good momentum in North America. "We are definitely going to really make sure that we leverage what exactly our customers require," he said. About two years ago, SABIC and ExxonMobil started operations at an integrated polyethylene (PE) and ethylene glycols (EG) complex in Corpus Christi, Texas, US, under the Gulf Coast Growth Ventures (GCGV) joint venture. The startup marks SABIC's first US-based ethylene and PE production, albeit through a joint venture. At the same time, Al-Osaimi acknowledged the challenges facing the industry. The market is contending with the consequences of a surge in new ethylene capacity that has started up in recent years. ICIS estimates that up to 20 million tonnes/year may need to shut down to keep operating rates at healthy levels. High-cost regions are bearing the brunt. Earlier in April, SABIC announced plans to shut down a cracker in Geleen, the Netherlands. ExxonMobil revealed plans to shut down its cracker in France during that same week. Al-Osaimi did not rule out further capacity rationalizations during a question-and-answer session that followed his presentation at NPE. "SABIC always is looking to its operations in Americas, globally, and how to become more efficient and effective to support our customers to really develop the right solutions," he said. "This is going to be an ongoing process." OPPORTUNITIES IN CHEM RECYCLING, E-CRACKINGSABIC is further improving chemical recycling technology to make it more effective and efficient, he said. SABIC and Plastic Energy are developing a chemical recycling plant under a joint venture in Geleen. Completion had been expected in the fourth quarter of 2023. There are still challenges with scaling up the technology, Al-Osaimi said. Still, SABIC is open to expansion, with possible sites including the US, Saudi Arabia and other regions. In addition, SABIC, BASF and Linde recently started up a demonstration unit of an electric cracker (e-cracker). As the group demonstrates the technology, it would explore expanding the site and potentially building new units, Al-Osaimi said. STRATEGY OF COLLABORATION, INNOVATIONIn prepared remarks, Al-Osaimi elaborated on how SABIC was navigating the challenges in the market by stressing its focus on innovation and collaboration with customers. The company is focusing on end markets such as advanced packaging, automotive, transportation, building and construction, consumer goods, electrical components and health and hygiene, he said. Electric vehicles (EVs) have material challenges, that present opportunities for SABIC. The company is developing polymers to prevent thermal runaway – part of its larger BLUEHERO initiative, Al-Osaimi said. Companies that build automobiles powered by internal combustion engines (ICEs) still want to lower their weight to improve their fuel efficiency and reduce their greenhouse gas emissions, he said. That is creating demand for lighter weigh materials. Produced by Plastics Industry Association (PLASTICS), NPE: The Plastics Show takes place 6-10 May in Orlando, Florida. Focus article by Al Greenwood Thumbnail image shows polyethylene (PE), which is used in plastics bags. (Photo by Elaine Thompson/AP/Shutterstock)

07-May-2024

Saudi Aramco Q1 net income falls amid weaker refining, chemicals margins

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Saudi Aramco's net income fell by 14.4% year on year to Saudi riyal (SR) 102.3 billion in the first quarter amid lower crude oil volumes and weakening downstream margins, the energy giant said on Tuesday. in SR billions Q1 2024 Q1 2023 % Change Sales 402.04 417.46 -3.7 Operational Profit 202.05 222.18 -9.1 Net profit 102.27 119.54 -14.4 Early this year, Saudi Arabia’s government ordered Aramco to halt its oil expansion plan and to target a maximum sustained production capacity of 12m barrels/day, 1m barrels/day below the target announced in 2020. In the first quarter, Aramco's downstream income before interest, income taxes and zakat (annual Islamic tax) slumped by 64% year on year to SR4.62 billion. The drop in downstream earnings reflects weakening refining and chemicals margins, partially offset by inventory valuation movement, it said. The drop in group earnings was partially offset by lower production royalties, an increase in crude oil prices compared to the same period last year and lower income taxes and zakat. Despite having a capacity of 12 million barrels/day, Saudi Arabia currently produces about 9 million barrels/day as part of production cuts initiated by OPEC and its allies in October 2022 and further voluntary cuts by Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members in April 2023, all designed to stabilize oil prices. Following an OPEC+ meeting in June 2023, Saudi Arabia – the world's top crude exporter – announced a further oil production cut of 1 million barrels/day. “Looking ahead, I expect our portfolio to continue to evolve as we aim to contribute to an energy transition that offers solutions to climate challenges, but at the same time recognizes the need for affordable, reliable, and flexible energy supplies," added Amin Nasser, Aramco's President and CEO. Aramco's chemicals arm SABIC and China's Fujian Energy and Petrochemical Group Co held a groundbreaking ceremony to mark the start of construction at the SABIC Fujian Petrochemical Complex in China's Fujian province during the first quarter. The project will include a mixed-feed steam cracker with up to 1.8m tonne/year ethylene (C2) capacity and various downstream units producing ethylene glycols (EG), polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP) and polycarbonate (PC), among other products. Thumbnail photo : One of Aramco's US offices (Source: Saudi Aramco)

07-May-2024

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