Expandable polystyrene (EPS) and polystyrene (PS)

LONDON (ICIS)–Manufacturing output in the eurozone fell at its steepest rate this year in September to hit a nine-month low. Key measures of factory strength such as production, new orders, employment and procurement activity all declined at quicker rates, according to purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data on Tuesday. The HCOB (Hamburg Commercial Bank) eurozone manufacturing PMI fell to 45.0 in September from 45.8 in August, while manufacturing output declined to 44.9, also from 45.8 in the previous month. Both were at a nine-month low, said S&P Global which compiles the indexes. A figure above 50 indicates growth, and below 50 contraction. “Lower output volumes were a response to the prevailing demand environment, which deteriorated further during September,” the market intelligence group said in a statement. Growth in Spain and Greece was offset by weakness elsewhere, particularly in the eurozone’s largest manufacturing sector Germany, which recorded its most pronounced worsening of factory conditions for 12 months. Countries ranked by PMI: September Spain 53.0 4-month high Greece 50.3 12-month low Ireland 49.4 3-month low Italy 48.3 2-month low Netherlands 48.2 2-month high France 44.6 3-month high Austria 42.8 6-month low Germany 40.6 12-month low “While handling the global manufacturing downturn surprisingly well, Spain just does not have enough weight to lift the rest of the eurozone with it,” said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. “The worsening industrial slump in Germany, for example, is too big for Spain’s momentum in September to make much of a difference.” In the UK, the picture was brighter as solid expansion in the sector continued in September. Although the manufacturing PMI declined to 51.5 from August’s 26-month high of 52.5, it has remained above 50 for five successive months. The main drivers of September expansion were the consumer and intermediate goods sectors, both of which recorded stronger increases in output and new business.

01-Oct-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–More than 4 million outages were reported in the southeastern US on Friday after Hurricane Helene made landfall as a powerful Category 4 storm in northwestern Florida. The southeastern US does not have a lot of chemical production. But such widespread power outages, in addition to disruptions caused by flooding, will lower demand for plastics and chemicals more broadly. The power outages are concentrated in the US states of South Carolina, Georgia, Florida and North Carolina, according to the website poweroutage.us. Among the few chemical plants near Helene's landfall site are a crude sulphate turpentine refinery and a crude tall oil (CTO) refinery that Kraton owns in Panama City, Florida. Tall oil is a feedstock fatty acids, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Kraton has not returned requests for comment in regard to its preparations for Helene. Since Helene made landfall, it has weakened into a tropical storm, with maximum sustained wind speeds of 45 miles/hour (75 km/hour), according to the National Hurricane Center. The following map shows its projected path. Source: National Hurricane Center PORT CLOSURESInbound and outbound traffic at Port Tampa Bay ceased ahead of the storm, and the port's shipping channels were closed. Tampa is an important hub for the US fertilizer industry, hosting corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Other port closures include Panama City, St Joe, St Petersburg, Manatee and Key West on Florida's west coast, as well as Fernandina, Jacksonville and Canaveral on Florida's east coast. ENERGY DISRUPTIONS The following table shows the disruptions to US Gulf production that were caused by Helene, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Total % of US Gulf Oil, bbl/day 441,923 25.25% Gas, million cubic feet/day 363.39 19.81% Source: BSEE Total % of US Gulf Platforms evacuated 27 7.28% Rigs evacuated 1 20% Source: BSEE The Gulf of Mexico accounts for 14% of US production of crude oil and 5% of total dry gas production, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). RAIL DISRUPTIONS Railroad company CSX planned to close its TRANSFLO terminals in Tampa and Tampa Port on Thursday. Railroad company Norfolk Southern said that customers with shipments moving through the southeast and mid-Atlantic should prepare for delays. RECONSTRUCTION AND CHEM DEMANDHurricane Helene's current path could put $5.64 billion worth of housing at risk to storm surge flooding, an insurance data company said on Wednesday. Nearly 25,000 residential properties in the Tallahassee and Homosassa Springs metropolitan areas are at risk, said CoreLogic. “Helene has the potential to become a once-in-a-generation storm,” said Jon Porter, chief meteorologist for the meteorology firm AccuWeather. It estimates that most of Florida and much of the southeastern US will be exposed to winds reaching 40-60 miles/hour. AccuWeather expects that most of Florida and all of the states of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are at risk for tornados. For hurricanes in general, reconstruction can translate to increased demand for many chemicals and polymers. The white pigment titanium dioxide (TiO2) is used in paints. Solvents used in paints and coatings include butyl acetate (butac), butyl acrylate (butyl-A), ethyl acetate (etac), glycol ethers, methyl ethyl ketone (MEK) and isopropanol (IPA). Blends of aliphatic and aromatic solvents are also used to make paints and coatings. For polymers, expandable polystyrene (EPS) and polyurethane (PU) foam are used in insulation. Polyurethanes are made of methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI), toluene diisocyanate (TDI) and polyols. High density polyethylene (HDPE) is used in pipe. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) is used to make cladding, window frames, wires and cables, flooring and roofing membranes. Unsaturated polyester resins (UPR) are used to make coatings and composites. Vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) is used to make paints and adhesives. Thumbnail shows Helene before it made landfall. Image by National Hurricane Center.

27-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–A quarter of US oil production in the Gulf of Mexico remains shut in as Helene becomes close to becoming a major hurricane. The following table shows the disruptions to US Gulf production that were caused by Helene, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Total % of US Gulf Oil, bbl/day 441,923 25.25% Gas, million cubic feet/day 363.39 19.81% Source: BSEE Total % of US Gulf Platforms evacuated 27 7.28% Rigs evacuated 1 20% Source: BSEE Hurricane Helene has maximum sustained wind speeds of nearly 110 miles/hour (175 km/hour), which is 1 mile/hour below becoming a major hurricane. It is on track to make landfall in the Big Bend, a sparsely populated region of northwestern Florida. The following map shows the forecasted path of Helene. Source: National Hurricane Center FLORIDA CHEMS AT RISKHelene could threaten Panama City, Florida, where Kraton operates a crude sulphate turpentine refinery and a crude tall oil (CTO) refinery. Tall oil is a feedstock for the production of fatty acids, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Helene's path is too far east to threaten Pensacola, which is home to some nylon and thermoset resin plants. Helene is moving on the opposite side of Texas and Louisiana in the Gulf of Mexico. Those two states are home to most of the refineries, petrochemical plants and LNG capacity of the US. Operations at those plants will not be threatened by Helene. Helene will not make landfall near Tampa Bay, an important hub for the US fertilizer industry. Tampa hosts corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Nonetheless, Helene will disrupt operations at the port of Tampa Bay. PORTS CLOSED TO TRAFFIC ALONG EASTERN GULF COASTInbound and outbound traffic has ceased among numerous ports along Florida's Gulf Coast, including Port Tampa Bay, an important entrepot. Tampa is in the region that could see a peak storm surge of 5-8 feet (1.5-2.4 meters), as shown in the following map. Source: National Hurricane Center The following table shows some of the other ports in Florida that are closed. Panama City, Florida Port St Joe, Florida St Petersburg, Florida Manatee, Florida Source: US Coast Guard The following ports are open with restrictions. Pensacola, Florida Mobile, Alabama Source: US Coast Guard RAIL DISRUPTIONS Railroad company CSX plans to close its TRANSFLO terminals in Tampa and Tampa Port on Thursday. Railroad company Norfolk Southern said that customers with shipments moving through the southeast and mid-Atlantic should prepare for delays. RECONSTRUCTION AND CHEM DEMANDHurricane Helene's current path could put $5.64 billion worth of housing at risk to storm surge flooding, an insurance data company said on Wednesday. Nearly 25,000 residential properties in the Tallahassee and Homosassa Springs metropolitan areas are at risk, said CoreLogic. “Helene has the potential to become a once-in-a-generation storm,” said Jon Porter, chief meteorologist for the meteorology firm AccuWeather. It estimates that most of Florida and much of the southeastern US will be exposed to winds reaching 40-60 miles/hour. AccuWeather expects that most of Florida and all of the states of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are at risk for tornados. For hurricanes in general, reconstruction can translate to increased demand for many chemicals and polymers. The white pigment titanium dioxide (TiO2) is used in paints. Solvents used in paints and coatings include butyl acetate (butac), butyl acrylate (butyl-A), ethyl acetate (etac), glycol ethers, methyl ethyl ketone (MEK) and isopropanol (IPA). Blends of aliphatic and aromatic solvents are also used to make paints and coatings. For polymers, expandable polystyrene (EPS) and polyurethane (PU) foam are used in insulation. Polyurethanes are made of methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI), toluene diisocyanate (TDI) and polyols. High density polyethylene (HDPE) is used in pipe. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) is used to make cladding, window frames, wires and cables, flooring and roofing membranes. Unsaturated polyester resins (UPR) are used to make coatings and composites. Vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) is used to make paints and adhesives. Thumbnail photo: Helene. (By the National Hurricane Center) (adds missing world "Gulf" in headline)

26-Sep-2024

NEW YORK (ICIS)–The lack of a meaningful recovery in volumes amid a weak macroeconomic backdrop along with geopolitical uncertainty are key factors hindering mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity, panelists said at a recent meeting of the Societe de Chimie Industrielle in New York. “Right now, it’s all about volume in our businesses. That’s the number one issue, because we have operating leverage in our businesses where small increases in volume will lead to meaningful increases in profitability,” said Scott Wolff, managing director at private equity firm American Securities. “Fortunately, our portfolio companies – mostly specialties businesses – have maintained real pricing power during this inflationary period. So, our margins across portfolio companies are really strong,” he added. Wolff is also chairman of US-based specialty chemical companies Hexion, Meridian Adhesives and Vibrantz (combination of former Ferro, Chromaflo and Prince businesses). On the macroeconomic front, “China is struggling and is not going to hit 5% growth while Europe is clearly struggling with Germany potentially in recession. The US has been remarkably resilient,” said Peter Young, CEO of investment bank Young & Partners. Panelists at the Societe de Chimie Industrielle meeting from American Securities, DC Advisory, Young & Partners and ICIS. COMMODITY VS SPECIALTY“Demand is soft but there’s a bit of a split personality. If you talk about specialty chemicals, weaker demand is not helping but at least they’re not facing overcapacity,” said Young. “Commodity chemicals is a very different story. There is a massive increase in capacity in China of commodity chemicals and plastics, coupled with the Middle East trying to add capacity because they want to diversify away from [fuel], he added, pointing out that an “irrational amount of capacity” is coming online. He doesn’t see global capacity utilization improving for commodity chemicals until 2028. “For specialty chemicals businesses, the lower cost in commodities works to our advantage because our companies are buying those raw materials at favorable prices,” said Wolff from American Securities. DEALS PUT ON HOLDThis widespread weakness in volumes has curbed M&A activity as many potential sale processes were delayed or put on hold. “Profits in 2023 dipped for a number of companies, so a number of processes that were started in 2023 got pushed back or put on hold because people were concerned about lower 2023 results and did not have enough visibility on 2024 numbers,” said Federico Mennella, managing director and US head of chemicals at investment bank DC Advisory, a unit of Japan’s Daiwa Securities. Today, in contrast, players are now focused on improved 2024 results and have more confidence in 2025 figures, he noted. “At the beginning of the year, we expected volumes in 2024 to be significantly higher than in 2023. In fact, the M&A market was weaker than expected in H1 2024, although we still expect an increase in transactions in the months ahead and in 2025,” said Mennella. The banker attributes the slowdown to difficult credit conditions, geopolitical factors – including elections in a number of countries, the war in Ukraine and Middle East uncertainty – high energy costs and logistics considerations. Data from Young & Partners show chemical M&A activity market is down significantly, with only 20 deals above $25 million in size closing in H1 2024 versus 75 for all of 2023 and 86 for all of 2022. And among the 20 deals closed in H1 2024, 55% were in Asia – mainly in China with Chinese buyers. “That makes the accessible market even smaller for Western players because private equity firms are not lining up to do LBOs (leveraged buyouts) in China,” said Young. “Chemical deal volume has gone down, mainly because of uncertainty. And Europe volume has just plunged because Europe is in trouble. Their energy sources have changed and are much higher cost, and in general it is a high-cost place to make chemicals,” he added. On a geographic basis, Europe is certainly being eyed more cautiously and critically in terms of investment by private equity firms, Mennella from DC Advisory pointed out. There are less cross-border deals coming from China while the US remains a key area of interest. M&A activity in the US could pick up with interest rates easing, he added. “We are also seeing increased M&A activity in and from Japan, as well as from Southeast Asian and Middle Eastern companies and entities,” said Mennella. Meanwhile, chemical companies themselves are more active in restructuring, repositioning and refocusing their businesses, which in turn drives M&A activity among strategic players as well as private equity groups, he added. PROCESSES TAKING LONGERPrivate equity firms bought “a lot of companies in the 2015-2019 period which they need to sell soon. Other private equity groups are raising funds and want to show good returns on prior investments,” said Mennella. “But processes often take longer because of gaps between sellers and buyers. We expect a catch-up once we have confidence in 2024 earnings and projections for 2025.” he added. “You see that every time we go through a peak and valuations start to come down – volumes start to drop because buyers and sellers can’t agree on price,” said Young from Young & Partners. In 2023, for American Securities, in approximately 75% of the deals evaluated by the investment team, there was no transaction. This compares to around 30% in a typical year, Wolff pointed out. “Broadly speaking, there has been a buyer-seller disconnect, and there are various factors [contributing to this] including interest rates and destocking in 2023. So while we were able to close a number of transactions, there is no question that the pace of dealmaking has been slower for us and the industry at large,” said Wolff. GOOD TIME FOR BOLT-ONSCertain private equity firms are continuing to make bolt-on acquisitions to existing platform companies rather than taking on major new deals on the buy side. “From an M&A perspective, the market is active right now. That’s not necessarily the case for platform investments. But for add-on deals, there continues to be an abundance of opportunities. We are really active on that front,” said Wolff. In August 2024, American Securities’ portfolio company Vibrantz acquired US-based Micro Abrasives, a producer of specialty alumina for automotive refinishing, optics polishing and industrial lapping markets. In June 2024, portfolio company Meridian Adhesives acquired specialty adhesives producer Bondloc UK, which makes anaerobic adhesives, cyanoacrylates, epoxies, UV cure adhesives, and structural acrylics. On the sell side for American Securities, Hexion in April 2024 announced the sale of its PVA and EPI Emulsions business to Franklin International, a US-based producers of adhesives, sealants and polymers that supplied that Hexion business for over 40 years. Also in April, Vibrantz sold its Onda, Spain ceramic floor and wall tile manufacturing operations to Xphere Global Specialities, an affiliate of Vidres India Ceramics. TARGETED PROCESSES AND FLEXIBLE DEAL STRUCTURESIn a challenging deal environment, players are engaging in more targeted buy or sell processes rather than putting an asset out for auction. Deal structures are also becoming more flexible to bridge any gaps. “A number of transactions include targeted processes that do not involve a broad auction. In other cases, a strategic or private equity group with sector knowledge targets a specific asset and approaches the owner directly,” said Mennella from DC Advisory. One case in point was Germany-based Henkel proactively approaching Arsenal Capital Partners for the acquisition of US-based protective coatings and sealants producer Seal For Life industries ($250 million in 2023 sales) and closing the deal in April 2024, he noted. “In another situation, instead of a broad auction, we targeted five logical buyers before going through any process. Two of the five submitted bids, and one was accepted. It never went to the broader market,” said Mennella. Earnings growth and macro assumptions are much fuzzier today, often requiring flexible or hybrid M&A models to get deals done. “A lot of the acquisitions made in the past were based on a variety of optimistic assumptions – the EBITDA was going to increase, the exit multiple was going to remain or even increase, interest rates would continue to stay low, and everything was going to be on a consistent and predictable trajectory,” said Mennella. “Given the recent post-pandemic market dynamics, many buyers are more flexible and innovative in structuring and executing their deals,” he added. In certain private equity sell-side deals, the seller is retaining a portion of its stake rather than exiting 100%. In August 2024, H.I.G. Capital announced a deal to sell water treatment solutions company USALCO to private equity firm TJC (formerly The Jordan Company) while retaining a minority stake. “The willingness of private equity and strategics to utilize flexibility and inventiveness helps bridge gaps and gets transactions done,” said Mennella. Or private equity firms could simply stand pat and hold onto their portfolio companies for longer, especially for those firms with longer fund lives. “We’re excited about the investment thesis of our companies and their long-term potential. Fortunately, we can be patient,” said Wolff from American Securities. “We’d rather realize the earnings growth we see in these companies before exit, and if that means holding for longer, that’s fine,” he added. CHALLENGE FOR MANAGEMENTSAmid all the uncertainty and weak demand backdrop, what should other chemical company managements do? “It really depends on who you are and where you are because the nature of the problem and the opportunity and the solution are going to be dramatically different,” said Young of Young & Partners. “First, take a real look at the asset and try to characterize it. And then the solution will be driven by the nature of that asset – in terms of its competitiveness, who and where its customers are, etc.,” he added. Obviously, a commodity chemical producer in the US will have very different options than those in Europe and Asia because of cost competitiveness. “Most CEOs are quite nervous these days because the landscape has changed dramatically and become much more uncertain. In the US presidential election, there is going to be a huge difference in policy depending on who becomes president – on tariffs and so forth,” said Young. “It used to be CEOs could do a base case, have two or three scenarios, and plan around them. Now they don’t know what their base case is, much less what the scenarios are to consider,” he added. The path to zero carbon emissions and greater circularity are additional challenges for managements, as technologies are all over the place and return on investment is far from certain, the banker pointed out. “Most of these CEOs are saying – I’ve got to do it. I may not get a return on capital, but I don’t really have much choice because if I don’t do anything, five years down the road… I’m going to be in trouble,” said Young. LYONDELLBASELL EXAMPLESome companies are taking decisive action. US-based LyondellBasell, for example, is using strong cash flows from its core cost-advantaged commodity businesses to invest in plastics recycling and bio-based chemicals – its Circular and Low Carbon Solutions business – both organically and through M&A. LyondellBasell in August 2024 agreed to acquire full ownership of Germany-based APK which uses solvent-based technology to recycle low density polyethylene (LDPE). Earlier in February, it bought US mechanical recycling operations from PreZero. The company has a goal of producing over 2m tonnes/year of recycled and renewable-based polymers by 2030 and taking 20%+ market share in North America and Europe for these plastics. In the meantime, LyondellBasell is also conducting strategic reviews of six European assets in its Olefins & Polyolefins (O&P) and Intermediates & Derivatives (I&D) segments for potential sale. By the end of the decade, if the company follows through on its strategy, it will look very different from where it is today. Insight article by Joseph Chang Thumbnail photo source: Photo source: Taidgh Barron/ZUMA Press Wire/Shutterstock

25-Sep-2024

BARCELONA (ICIS)–Initial purchasing manager index (PMI) figures for the eurozone reveal that the region’s economy is contracting, with the previously resilient services sector weakening and the manufacturing recession deepening. The HCOB Flash eurozone composite PMI by S&P Global fell to 48.9 in September, showing that overall regional private sector business activity contracted for the first time in seven months; with a reading below 50 denoting a decline. There was a sustained reduction in new orders with new business decreasing at the sharpest pace since January. New orders and volumes of outstanding business fell at a sharper rate and business confidence hit a ten-month low. Companies scaled back their workforce numbers for the second month running while demand weakness resulted in slower inflation of both input costs and output prices. The reduction in overall business activity was driven by a deepening downturn in eurozone manufacturing, where production decreased for the eighteenth month running and at the fastest pace year-to-date. Although services business activity continued to rise, the latest expansion was only marginal and the weakest since February. After an Olympics-related boost in August, output in France returned to contraction in September, joining Germany where the pace of decline was the most pronounced since February. The rest of the euro area saw output rise again, although the pace of expansion was only modest and the softest since January. MANUFACURING MALAISE DEEPENS The downturn in eurozone manufacturing output extended to an eighteenth consecutive month, and showed signs of deepening in September. Production decreased at the sharpest pace in 2024 so far. Declines in manufacturing were particularly marked in Germany and France, but the rest of the eurozone also posted a fall. Services grew marginally, but at the slowest pace since February. A renewed decline in France contrasted with continued services growth in Germany and the rest of the euro area. Services new business decreased for the first time in seven months, alongside a further contraction in manufacturing new orders, which quickened for the fourth successive month. OUTLOOK DEPRESSED Business confidence continues to wane, dropping for the fourth consecutive month to the lowest since November last year. Sentiment was also weaker than average, particularly among manufacturers. Euro area confidence was dragged down by a pessimistic outlook in Germany, where companies predicted a fall in output for the first time in a year. It ticked slightly higher in both France and the rest of the eurozone. As well as cutting employment, eurozone manufacturers reduced purchasing activity and stocks of raw materials and finished products during September. PRICE INFLATION WEAKENS A weakening demand environment contributed to softer inflationary pressures in September. The rate of input cost inflation slowed sharply, easing to the lowest since November 2020. Manufacturing input prices decreased for the first time in four months, while service providers posted the weakest rise in costs for three-and-a-half years. Output prices increased only slightly, and to the least extent since February 2021 when the current period of inflation began. A slower rise in service inflation was accompanied by a renewed fall in manufacturing selling prices. Slower increases in output prices were seen in Germany and the rest of the eurozone, while charges in France decreased for the first time since February 2021. Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, said, “The eurozone is heading towards stagnation. After the Olympic effect had temporarily boosted France, the eurozone economy fell in September to the largest extent in 15 months. Considering the rapid decline in new orders and the order backlog, it doesn't take much imagination to foresee a further weakening of the economy.” He added, “Manufacturing is getting messier by the month.  The recession has now dragged on for 27 months and even worsened in September. Looking ahead, the sharp drop in new orders and companies' increasingly bleak outlook for future output suggest that this dry spell is far from over.” UK PMI SHOWS ECONOMY STILL EXPANDING The S&P Global Flash UK PMI for September, also released today, shows that the private sector economy is still expanding, albeit at a slower rate than in August. The UK PMI stood at 52.9 compared with 53.8 the previous month. There was a sustained upturn in business activity during September, marking 11 months of continuous expansion. However, output growth slowdowns in both manufacturing and services meant that the overall speed of recovery moderated for the first time since June. Price inflation eased to a 42-month low in September. A weaker rise in prices charged by service providers more than offset an acceleration in factory gate price inflation. Thumbnail photo: Installation of solar photovoltaic panels in Germany (Source: Jochen Tack/imageBROKER/Shutterstock)

23-Sep-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–The Brazilian government’s committee on foreign trade Gecex-Camex approved late on Wednesday an increase in import taxes on more than 80 chemical and fertilizers products, with the new rate up to 20% for most materials. Among some of the products affected are widely used chemicals such polypropylene (PP), polyethylene, (PE), polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polystyrene (PS), and polyethylene terephthalate (PET). See bottom list for details. Previous rates stood between 7.6% and 12.6%. The new rates will apply from October and are valid for one year. The decision is yet to be approved by Mercosur, the trading common area formed by Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay, as well as Brazil, which is the dominant economy in Mercosur. The cabinet, thus, gave in partly to the pressure by chemical producers in Brazil. Earlier this year, individual companies as well as the trade group representing producers, Abiquim, had proposed to increase tariffs in more than 100 chemicals. The decision was widely anticipated by analysts, and it is expected to immediately prop up earnings for some of Brazil’s largest producers such polymers major Braskem or chlor-alkali major Unipar. Brazil has been the recipient of large amounts of imports from Asia and, to a lesser extent, the US which have greatly dented domestic producers’ market share. Sectors that opposed increasing tariffs, including plastic transformers represented by Abiplast, expressed their disappointment after Wednesday’s measure by Gecex-Camex. “[The decision was taken even though] Abiplast and other trade groups have exhaustively demonstrated to the government the harmful impacts of increases in import tariffs on raw materials,” said Jose Ricardo Roriz Coelho, president of Abiplast, in a letter to the trade group’s members seen by ICIS. “We will continue to fight to ensure that these unreasonable measures are reversed.” Product Current Tax Rate Proposed Tax Rate Plaintiff Phosphoric acid with iron content less than 750 ppm 9% 17.5% Abiquim Sodium hydrogen carbonate (bicarbonate) 9% 20%* Abiquim Isobutyl alcohol (2-methyl-1-propanol) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Isobutyl alcohol (2-methyl-1-propanol) 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Phenol (hydroxybenzene) and its salts 7.20% 12.6%* Abiquim Phenol (hydroxybenzene) and its salts 7.20% 12.6%* Rhodia Brasil SA Butanone (methyl ethyl ketone) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Ethyl acetate 10.80% 20% Abiquim n-butyl acetate 10.80% 20% Abiquim n-butyl acetate 10.80% 20% Rhodia Brasil SA Other saturated acyclic monoalcohol acetates, c atom <= 8 10.80% 20% Abiquim Methacrylic acid methyl esters 10.80% 20% Abiquim Methacrylic acid methyl esters 10.80% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Adipic acid 9% 20% Abiquim Adipic acid 9% 20% Rhodia Brasil SA Maleic anhydride 10.80% 20% Abiquim Maleic anhydride 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Fumaric acid, its salts and esters 10.80% 20% Abiquim Dioctyl orthophthalates 10.80% 20% Abiquim Dioctyl orthophthalates 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Dinonyl or didecyl orthophthalates 10.80% 20% Abiquim Hexamethylenediamine and its salts 10.80% 20% Abiquim Monoethanolamine and its salts 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other anionic organic surface-active agents, whether or not put up for retail sale, not classified under previous codes 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene with a density of less than 0.94, with filler 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene with a density of less than 0.94, without filler 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other unfilled polyethylenes, density >= 0.94, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other copolymers of ethylene and vinyl acetate, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Copolymers of ethylene and alpha-olefin, with a specific gravity of less than 0.94 12.60% 20% Abiquim Unfilled polypropylene in primary form 12.60% 20% Abiquim Propylene copolymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Expandable polystyrene, unfilled, in primary form 12.60% 18% Abiquim Other styrene polymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other styrene polymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Polyvinyl chloride, unmixed with other substances, obtained by suspension process 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene terephthalate of a viscosity index of 78 ml/g or more 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene terephthalate of a viscosity index of 78 ml/g or more 12.60% 20% Alpek Polyester Pernambuco SA Other unsaturated polyethers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Ex – Surfactant polymer class preparation, silicone free 12.60% 12.60% Abiquim Ex – Solvent-free modified polyester class preparation 12.60% 12.60% Abiquim White mineral oils (vaseline or paraffin oils) 3.60% 35% Abiquim Silicon dioxide obtained by chemical precipitation 9% 18% Abiquim Silicon dioxide obtained by chemical precipitation 9% 17% Rhodia Brasil SA Other silicon dioxides 0% 18% Abiquim Commercial ammonium carbonates and other ammonium carbonates 9% 18% Abiquim Styrene 9% 18% Abiquim Styrene 9% 18% Unigel Holdings Inc. Butan-1-ol (n-butyl alcohol) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Butan-1-ol (n-butyl alcohol) 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Propylene glycol (propane-1, 2-diol) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Dipropylene glycol 12.60% 20% Abiquim Triacetin 10.80% 20% Abiquim Triacetin 10.80% 20% Denver Specialty Chemicals 2-Ethylexanoic acid (2-ethylexoic acid) 10.80% 20% Abiquim 2-Ethylexanoic acid (2-ethylexoic acid) 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Salts and esters of adipic acid 10.80% 20% Abiquim Other esters of orthophthalic acid 10.80% 20% Abiquim Other esters of orthophthalic acid 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Phthalic anhydride 10.80% 20% Abiquim Phthalic anhydride 10.80% 20% Petrom Petrochemicals Mogi das Cruzes S/A Ammonium nitrate, even in aqueous solution 0% 15% Abiquim Pigments and preparations based on these pigments 12.60% 20% Abiquim Linear alkylbenzene sulfonic acids and their salts 12.60% 23% Abiquim Organic surface-active agents, non-ionic 12.60% 23% Abiquim Alkylbenzene mixtures 10.80% 20% Abiquim Stearic acid (industrial monocarboxylic fatty acid) 5.40% 35% Abiquim Stearic alcohol (industrial fatty alcohol) 12.60% 20% Abiquim Sodium methylate in methanol 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other ethylene polymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Filled polypropylene, in primary form 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polystyrenes in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polystyrenes in primary forms 12.60% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Polyvinyl chloride, unmixed with other substances, obtained by emulsion process 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polymethyl methacrylate, in primary form 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polymethyl methacrylate, in primary form 12.60% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Other polyether polyols, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polyesters in liquids and pastes 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polyurethanes in liquids and pastes 12.60% 20% Abiquim Carboxymethyl cellulose with content >=75%, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Carboxymethyl cellulose with content >=75%, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Denver Specialty Chemicals Styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR), food grade according to the Food Chemical Codex, in primary forms 10.80% 22% Abiquim Acrylonitrile-butadiene rubber in sheets, plates, etc. 10.80% 35% Abiquim Latex of other synthetic or artificial rubbers 10.80% 35% Abiquim  

19-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Mineral development company First Phosphate announced it has the results of its initial mineral resource estimate for its Begin-Lamarche project, located in the Saguenay-Lac-St-Jean Region, Quebec. The MRE was undertaken by P&E Mining Consultants and it showed favorable results with there being an inferred pit-constrained mineral resource of 214 million tonnes at a phosphate grade of 6.01%, with an indicated pit-constrained mineral resource of 41.5 million tonnes with a grade of 6.49%. First Phosphate said the Begin-Lamarche deposit also presents the potential for recovering two additional primary mineral products which are a magnetite concentrate, iron and an ilmenite concentrate, titanium. It added that it contains very low levels of potentially deleterious elements. “We have demonstrated that the company benefits from a substantial strategic phosphate deposit located at only 70 km from the deep-sea port of Saguenay and Canadian Air Forces NATO Base Bagotville,” said John Passalacqua, First Phosphate CEO. “Our goal will be to bring this mineral resource into preliminary economic assessment later this year to then be able to evaluate the commencement of a feasibility study.”

18-Sep-2024

NEW YORK (ICIS)–It has been a long time coming and there is plenty more time before the chemical industry finally sees a meaningful upturn in the durable goods cycle, in turn giving a much-needed boost to commodity chemicals, according to Jefferies. “We expect demand stabilization in 2025, with a restock cycle and a rate-driven durables goods cycle in 2026-2027 to set the stage for the next period of tight commodity chemical supply/demand balances – MDI (methylene diphenyl diisocyanate) and methanol first, in our view, then acetyls, then olefins,” said Laurence Alexander, analyst at Jefferies, in a research note. In his base case scenario, the analyst sees US durable goods demand flat to down 3% in 2025 and up around 10% in 2026. The anticipated turn in the cycle for housing and durable goods would be a strong catalyst for shares of Eastman, Huntsman, Avient and DuPont, he pointed out. For chemicals in the near term, Alexander expects Q3 2024 to show a return to “normal seasonality” and Q4 volume outlooks to be trimmed 1-2% on more caution on the Christmas spending season – especially in Europe – as well as automotive production this winter. TRIMMING OUTLOOK FOR CELANESEGiven the softer near-term outlook, the Jefferies analyst also trimmed his earnings per share (EPS) estimates on Celanese for Q3 (by $0.06 to $2.84), Q4 (by $0.05 to $3.09) and for 2025 (by $0.10 to $10.40). “Credit easing is likely needed to trigger a demand rebound, and any tailwind from an improved credit environment will likely not be evident until mid-2025 at the earliest,” said Alexander. “Although destocking has faded, demand trends remain broadly sluggish with few signs of a recovery. European demand has yet to trough, North America is flattish and the recovery in Asia has been muted,” he added. By end-market, he sees electronics likely rebounding but at a slower pace until consumer confidence improves and automotive production accelerates. Consumer durables and construction demand is likely to remain soft into next summer. And automotive demand is muted overall, with headwinds to production schedules likely in the near term. Longer term, he expects better momentum in electric vehicle (EV) sales in China. Focus article by Joseph Chang

16-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News from the week ended 6 September. Brazil’s manufacturing sharply slows in August on higher costs, lower demand Brazil’s manufacturing PMI index for August sharply slowed down from July on the back of output falling for the first time in several months due to subdued sales, and elevated cost pressures, analysts at S&P Global said on Monday. INSIGHT: Brazil’s natgas overhaul to benefit chems but crude players push indispensable The Brazilian government’s decree changing natural gas regulations could potentially overhaul the market and, along the way, benefit the chemicals industry by providing it with cheaper energy and eventually with ethane-based feedstocks. INSIGHT: LatAm chemicals needs to be as plural as society to reach full sales potential For years, Latin American petrochemicals companies have been trying to increase diversity within to better represent the consumers they want to sell their products to – without much success. Canada government wobbles amid fallout from rail labor dispute Canada’s Liberal-led minority government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is paying a heavy price for its decision last month to end the labor dispute at freight railroads Canadian National (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) through binding arbitration. SHIPPING: Union, USWC ports at impasse as strike deadline looms; container rates keep falling A strike by union dock workers at East Coast and US Gulf ports seems more likely after International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) Wage Scale Delegates voted unanimously at the end of their two-day meeting to support leadership’s intentions to walk off the job if a new labor deal is not agreed to when the contract expires on 30 September.

09-Sep-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Europe chemicals shares and public markets slumped on Wednesday in the wake of sell-offs in Asia and the US on the back of growth fears and a crude oil sell-off. Stock exchanges in Asia and the US crashed on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning for the second time in less than a month after another market rout, with weak economic data from the US and China once more ringing alarm bells. BEARISH US INDICATORS As was the case during the early August rout, bearish economic data from the US stoked market fears of a slowdown in the country, which has proven the most resilient large mature economy during the slump of the last few years. The US manufacturing sector contraction deepened in August, according to purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data collected by S&P Global, showing a drop from 49.6 in July to 47.9, with future indicators pointing to potential further deterioration ahead. “There is a worrying narrowing of the pockets of strength,” said ING chief international economist James Knightley, commenting o the numbers. “Just 22% of industry is experiencing rising orders and just 17% are seeing rising production. Historically, this weakness in output and orders points to a sharp slowing in GDP growth,” he added. The August figures are the latest warning signal on economic momentum in the country, following an unexpected decline in manufactured goods orders in June, according to the US Census Bureau in early August, the most recent data available. As was the case in last month’s market crash, tech stock slumps led the US declines on Tuesday.  While sector declines last month had been driven by growing scepticism over the potential of artificial intelligence, Nvidia saw one of the sharpest falls declines this month. The chipmaker reportedly received a government subpoena as part of an antitrust investigation wiped over 9% off its market value, a loss estimated at $279 billion. ASIA SLUMPS With global microchip supply chains strongly connected to Asia, the Nvidia sell-off also ripple through the region’s technology stocks, with core players including Samsung, Tokyo Electro and Taiwan Semiconductor suffering sharp losses by Tuesday’s close. Economic data for China released late last week showed the first decline in export orders in eight months, while the manufacturing sector I the country remained in contraction for the fourth consecutive month in August, and house prices seeing the slowest pace of growth in 2024 so far. Industrial indicators for Europe, where manufacturing has been on recessionary footing for over two years, new order volumes are continuing to decline, potentially signalling a period in autumn where manufacturing demand is shrinking in US, China and the eurozone. OIL SUPPLY LENGTHENSCrude oil prices also slumped, falling to the lowest level in  to the lowest levels of the year, on the back of expectations that the OPEC+ coalition will begin to unwind their 2.2 million bbl/day production cuts next month. Expectations that Libya will begin to restart crude production and exports after a political agreement was reached. These two factors point to a substantial increase in supply despite ongoing sluggish demand, driving Brent and WTI futures down to $74.19/bbl and $70.79/bbl respectively in midday trading on 4 September. The US Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ indices closed down 1.51%, 2.12% and 3.26% respectively on Tuesday evening, while Japan’s Nikkei 224 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng bourses concluded trading down 4.24% and 1.10% on Wednesday. In Europe, Germany’s DAX index was down 0.84% in midday Wednesday trading, while France’s CAC 40 and the STOXX Europe 50 index had lost 0.97% and 1.19% respectively. Aggregate chemicals sector losses were more modest, with the STOXX 600 index for the sector down 0.15% as of 13:29 BST. EMS-Chemie and Umicore had suffered the sharpest declines as of that time, dropping 1.49% and 1.31%. Linde and Yara shares both dropped 0.97% compared to Tuesday’s close, while Brenntag, Bayer and OCI saw falls of over 0.50%. Focus article by Tom Brown. Thumbnail photo: Traders in Seoul, South Korea, on 4 September, The South Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) closed down 3.15% on the day. Source: Jeon Heon-Kyun/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

04-Sep-2024