Recycled polyolefins (R-PE, R-PP)

BARCELONA (ICIS)–Plastics and chemical producers need to find more effective ways to tackle the problem of plastic waste after UN treaty negotiations ended without agreement at the weekend. Consumer demand will drive improvements in plastic waste management Chemical companies need to reconnect with brands/consumers We will move out of current ‘trough of despair’ about recycling End of globalization may mean national/regional treaties are more effective UN Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee concluded in Busan, South Korea, on 1 December, with no definitive agreement Around 100 countries backed proposals, with a small number of hold-outs In this Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews ICIS market engagement executive Nigel Davis and Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting. Editor’s note: This podcast is an opinion piece. The views expressed are those of the presenter and interviewees, and do not necessarily represent those of ICIS. ICIS is organising regular updates to help the industry understand current market trends. Register here . Read the latest issue of ICIS Chemical Business. Read Paul Hodges and John Richardson's ICIS blogs.

03-Dec-2024

MUSCAT (ICIS)–Dow has attributed problems with plastics pollution to a lack of plastics recycling and not production, the US producer’s chair and CEO said at the 18th Annual Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) on Tuesday. Plastics are “essential” to the modern world, according to Jim Fitterling, and demand will only rise in the years ahead – but most countries have no roadmap to recycle plastics, let alone reduce production. Tensions between oil-producing nations, led by Saudi Arabia, and other nations advocating for a cut in plastics production, have stalled global treaty talks at the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee (INC-5) in South Korea. The session concluded on 1 December with no definitive agreement. “When policymakers take it upon themselves to decide one type of energy is right and another type of energy is wrong, rather than asking what is right for each unique situation, that's when progress stops.” Dow is embracing innovation in its energy transition goals, with Fitterling asserting that its energy transition is “here to stay”. Through the company’s plan to “decarbonize and grow”, Dow aims to boost underlying earnings by over $3 billion while reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 5 million tonnes by 2030. Dow is working to transform plastics waste and other alternative feedstocks to commercialize 3 million metric tons of circular and renewable solutions annually,  and generate an anticipated $500 million of incremental run rate EBITDA by 2030, said Fitterling. However, Fitterling added that there is a need to “combat” the notion that recycling does not work, that “success will come from elimination rather than innovation”, as he asserted that recycling simply “isn’t available” to over three billion people globally. “Because for a vast majority of the world, it's not that recycling hasn't worked. It's that recycling isn't available.” Globally, less than 10% of plastic is recycled and approximately one-third of plastic packaging escapes collection systems, said Fitterling. The 18th edition of the GPCA is being held for the first time in Muscat, Oman this year and will conclude on 5 December. Thumbnail photo: Waste plastic bottles (Source: Shutterstock)

03-Dec-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Global average container rates ticked lower last week, along with rates from Shanghai to the US West Coast, but rates from Asia-New York held steady during what is typically the slow season for transpacific ocean freight. Shipping analysts said rates remain elevated for several reasons, most significantly the frontloading of imports ahead of possible renewed labor strife at US Gulf and East Coast ports. The possible implementation of new tariffs proposed by the incoming Trump administration is also keeping upward pressure on rates. Global average rates fell by 2% for the week ended 29 November, as shown in the following chart from supply chain advisors Drewry. The following chart from Drewry shows the rates from Asia to both US coasts. Drewry expects spot rates to be relatively stable this week. Judah Levine, head of research at online freight shipping marketplace and platform provider Freightos, said inland truck and rail rates could also face upward pressure as tariffs aimed specifically at Canada and Mexico could lead to increased cross-border volumes. Levine said congestion remains minimal at US ports, including the main West Coast port of Los Angeles/Long Beach. Kip Louttit, executive director of the Marine Exchange of Southern California (MESC), said container ship traffic through the port continues to be steady with 67 container ships enroute and 12 scheduled to arrive in the next three days. Container ships and costs for shipping containers are relevant to the chemical industry because while most chemicals are liquids and are shipped in tankers, container ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), are shipped in pellets. They also transport liquid chemicals in isotanks. LIQUID RATES STEADY Overall, US chemical tanker freight rates were largely stable this week for several trade lanes, with the exception being the USG-to-Brazil trade lane, as that market picked up this week following activity during the APLA conference in Colombia. Part space has limited availability as most owners are awaiting contract of affreightment (COA) nominations. The USG-Asia trade lane remains steady as spot tonnage remains readily available and multiple cargoes of glycol and styrene are interested in December and January loadings, supporting the market. Similarly, on the transatlantic front, the eastbound leg remains steady as there was limited space available which readily absorbed the few fresh enquiries for small specialty parcels stemming from the USG bound for Antwerp. Various glycol, ethanol, methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) and methanol parcels were seen quoted to ARA and the Mediterranean as methanol prices in the region remain higher. Additionally, ethanol, glycols and caustic soda were seen in the market to various regions. However, it is also clear that space is becoming very tight until the end of the year, keeping rates firm. The CPP market firmed, limiting the number of tankers offering into the chemical market, thus keeping rates stable. Additional reporting by Kevin Callahan

02-Dec-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News from the week ended 29 November 2024. ICIS Economic Summary: US election uncertainty over, policy impact to begin Much of the uncertainty surrounding the US election has been lifted, but there remain questions about the extent that stated policy goals will be achieved and their impact on the economy next year and beyond. INSIGHT: Deloitte expects more chem M&A as industry remains in flux The chemical industry is entering the new year amid an especially large amount of flux, with China receding as a demand driver, Europe contending with plant shutdowns and producers rearranging businesses through mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Canadian manufacturers fear ‘devastating’ impact from Trump's proposed 25% tariff New US tariffs on US-Canada trade would have a devastating impact on manufacturers, workers and consumers on both sides of the border, trade group Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters (CME) said on Tuesday. INSIGHT: LatAm chemicals face threats of US tariffs, global oversupply Chatter on challenges permeated the Latin American Chemical and Petrochemical Association (APLA) Annual Meeting as delegates faced down threats of global oversupply and the potential for new tariffs from the US. INSIGHT: US refiners to face higher oil, catalyst costs with Trump's tariffs The tariffs proposed by President-Elect Donald Trump on imports from Mexico, Canada and China would raise costs for the heavier grades of oil needed by US refineries as well as rare-earth elements used to make catalysts for downstream refining units. Argentina’s petchems prices to take time to fall despite import tax withdrawalArgentina’s decision to eliminate the so-called PAIS import tax earlier than planned is unlikely to have any impact on petrochemicals prices for now, sources said this week. LatAm PE domestic prices fall in Argentina, Brazil and MexicoDomestic polyethylene (PE) prices were assessed as lower in Argentina, Brazil and Mexico on the back of competitive offers from abroad and weak demand. In other Latin American (LatAm) countries, prices were unchanged.

02-Dec-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Here are some of the top stories from ICIS Europe for the week ended 29 November. Europe methanol supply shortages worsen for December, prices at 2022 highs Europe's methanol market is expected to tighten further as production outages in US and Europe apply pressure on supply. India’s Adani Group access to foreign capital at risk amid US bribery charges India’s Adani Group may run into difficulty accessing external funding and may see an increase in its capital costs as global rating agencies have downgraded the outlook for several of the group’s companies, citing escalating legal and governance risks. Soda ash annual contract talks progress as players prepare for another challenging year Soda ash demand in November is overall stable in Europe, but the lack of any pick-up has prompted some furnace closures at glass manufacturers, although some plants that were shut last year may restart next year. Deloitte expects more chem M&A as industry remains in flux The chemical industry is entering the new year amid an especially large amount of flux, with China receding as a demand driver, Europe contending with plant shutdowns and producers rearranging businesses through mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Europe PE/PP spot prices stable to soft as year ends with a limp Polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) spot prices were stable to lower in the week to 22 November, with limited business done.

02-Dec-2024

MUSCAT (ICIS)–Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) petrochemical players must formulate strategic international partnerships and invest in optimization and innovation to remain competitive, according to the secretary general of the Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA). “In the short term, the [GCC petrochemicals] industry needs to urgently adapt to shifting market dynamics and explore new opportunities within products and markets,” Abdulwahab Al Sadoun told ICIS ahead of the 18th Annual GPCA Forum in Muscat, Oman on 2-5 December. "Formulating the right strategic partnerships, particularly with regards to the region’s top export market – China – will also be important in securing growth," he said. The GCC comprises six Middle Eastern countries: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. The forum took place outside the UAE for the first time in 2022, when it was held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia; in Doha, Qatar the following year; and in Muscat, Oman this year. The GCC petrochemical industry’s performance is closely interlinked with the health of the global economy, including changes in consumer demand patterns, regulatory and policy updates and demand fluctuations in end markets, Al-Sadoun said. “Aligning itself with key global objectives and ensuring their products and services provide meaningful solutions to the challenges we face will be vital in securing the industry’s future.” Al-Sadoun said that the forum’s theme of “Industry’s Next Chapter: Driving Sustainable Advancement for Global Progress” was timely as the GCC petrochemicals industry now stands at a crossroads in the chemical industry’s evolution. The world today is faced with "insurmountable challenges", Al-Sadoun said. Geopolitical turmoil, climate change, food insecurity, supply chain disruptions, and waste management are some of the megatrends impacting the chemical industry, society and planet, according to Al-Sadoun. “As the external environment around us continues to be in a state of change, so does the chemical industry need to evolve apace…The chemical and petrochemical sector plays an instrumental role as a solutions provider to some of these key challenges,” he said. “At the heart of our chemistry solutions lies the vision to contribute to global sustainable advancement – simultaneously enhancing our contributions to socio-economic prosperity, while at the same time preserving our planet and developing solutions that contribute to the energy transition and the circular economy.” DUAL CHALLENGE As the global population is projected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050, the industry will be faced with the dual challenge of meeting growing chemicals demand driven by an expanding, urbanized population, while at the same time meeting its obligations to decarbonize and preserve the environment, Al-Sadoun said. “As global discussions intensify around renewable energy sources and low-carbon technologies, major GCC players have announced net-zero emissions goals and are investing in green technologies, such as hydrogen production and renewable energy integration.” Advancing the circular economy is also an important factor in driving the sustainable transition, he said. Notable innovations across the GCC industry include Kuwait producer EQUATE’s Viridis 25, the region's first food-grade polyethylene terephthalate (PET) incorporating 25% chemically recycled material, reducing reliance on virgin PET, Al-Sadoun noted. Similarly, UAE polymers major Borouge has advanced recyclability through mono-material laminates and flexible packaging solutions, while Saudi Arabia chemicals giant SABIC continues to lead with its certified circular polymers made from 100% recycled plastic. Government-driven initiatives, such as Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 and the UAE’s Net Zero by 2050 Strategy, will also provide a supportive policy framework for industry-wide sustainability transitions, he noted. “However, industry players are under no illusion that the road to sustainability is long and ridden with challenges,” Al-Sadoun said. “It requires true collaboration, Public Private Partnerships (PPP) and the entire value chain to pull their weight to chart a viable pathway to sustainability,” he said. “The journey to achieving big goals is often a series of small, consistent steps…And this is what the industry needs to focus on – taking impactful, consistent actions every day." Interview article and infographic by Nurluqman Suratman Thumbnail image: GPCA secretary-general Abdulwahab Al-Sadoun (Source: GPCA)

02-Dec-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 29 November. Final round of UN plastics treaty talks begin in South Korea By Nurluqman Suratman 25-Nov-24 12:23 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The fifth and final round of United Nations (UN)-led negotiations for a global plastics treaty to combat plastic pollution kicked off in Busan, South Korea, on Monday. INSIGHT: China cuts PV export tax rebate; EVA sector faces margin squeeze By Joanne Wang 25-Nov-24 18:04 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation announced on 15 November a reduction in export tax rebate rate for solar products, including photovoltaic (PV), batteries and other certain products, from 13% to 9%. Asia petrochemical shares slip; Trump eyes 10% new tariffs for China By Nurluqman Suratman 26-Nov-24 12:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asian petrochemical shares were mostly lower on Tuesday after US President-elect Donald Trump threatened to impose an additional 10% tariffs on Chinese goods. Asia fatty alcohol mid-cuts demand weighed down by feedstock PKO volatility By Helen Yan 27-Nov-24 10:23 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s fatty alcohol mid-cuts market is likely to see a lull in spot activities in the near term as a widening buy-sell price gap has hampered trades. World Plastics Council, Global Plastics Alliance urge governments to secure UN plastics treaty By Nurluqman Suratman 27-Nov-24 12:12 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The World Plastics Council (WPC) and Global Plastics Alliance (GPA) members are urging governments to finalize a landmark treaty to end plastic pollution through scaled-up waste management and recycling, while respecting countries’ differing needs. Thailand to compete for spot Asia ACN, MMA as PTTAC plants close By Jonathan Yee 27-Nov-24 15:22 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Thailand will have to tap the spot Asian markets for acrylonitrile (ACN) and methyl methacrylate (MMA) for its domestic requirements starting 2025 following closures of PTT Asahi Chemical (PTTAC)’s plants in Map Ta Phut. S Korea central bank cuts key interest rate anew; trims GDP forecasts By Jonathan Yee 28-Nov-24 11:56 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–South Korea’s central bank on Thursday made a surprise cut to its key interest rate, following a similar move in the previous month, amid concerns over economic implications of the US’ impending tariffs on all foreign goods. Asia butac, etac markets languish in slow demand By Melanie Wee 29-Nov-24 13:44 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia-Pacific butyl acetate (butac) markets were undermined by slowing demand entering the year-end lull against a backdrop of ample regional supply.

02-Dec-2024

TORONTO (ICIS)–Shipments in Canada’s chemistry sector are expected to grow between 1-4% in 2025 and in the plastic sector they are expected to grow 2-3%, David Cherniak, policy manager, Business and Transportation, at the Chemistry Industry Association of Canada (CIAC), said in a webinar. Trade disputes and tariffs Canadian elections bring political uncertainties Renewed labor disruptions CIAC’s projections assume a pick-up in the global economic growth in 2025, he said but also warned of downside risks, in particular from possible US tariffs and Canada’s elections next year. The Ottawa-based trade group speaks for both Canada’s chemical and plastic industries. In chemicals, the 2025 growth would come after projected growth of about 2% for 2024, which was weaker than CIAC initially expected as interest rates did not fall by as much as had been anticipated, Cherniak said. The higher rates affected demand for chemicals from interest-sensitive end markets, in particular housing and auto, “which take up a lot of chemicals”, he said. TAILWINDS IN 2025 For 2025, CIAC sees a number of tailwinds for the industry, Cherniak said: Interest rates coming down, driving up demand for chemicals and plastics from housing, autos and other interest-rate sensitive markets, probably more towards the second half of the year. Increased diversification as Canada ships chemicals from its West Coast ports to new markets. Shutdowns of older plants in the global chemical industry. Canada’s “structural advantage” in production costs, due to low natural gas and energy prices. A weak Canadian dollar, which is “definitely a tailwind” for Canada’s highly export-dependent chemicals sector. New investments, with CIAC tracking 26 projects that could move to final investment decisions. HEADWINDS However, the industry is also facing “high political uncertainties” as Canada is heading into an election year, Cherniak said. A change in government could affect programs and incentives for investments in low-emission chemical projects, he noted. Another major headwind for the chemical industry is trade tensions, Cherniak said and went on to note the threat earlier this week by US President-elect Donald Trump to put a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico. The US is the largest market by far for Canada’s chemicals industry. CIAC, for its part, will be making the case that the US-Canada chemical industry is integrated and that both the Canadian and the US economies are relying on the industry to perform well, he said. If implemented, Trump’s tariffs would not just harm the chemical and plastics industries but would have broad impacts across the overall economy, he added. However, tariffs were not just a US issue, he said. Rather, trade tensions related to chemicals were increasing globally, he said. In the past year alone, countries such as China, India, South Korea or Brazil targeted chemical products in trade disputes, he said. Brazil plans an investigation into polyethylene (PE) arriving from Canada and the US. According to CIAC data, Canada exports about Canadian dollar (C$) 4 million/month (US$3 million/month) of PE resin products to Brazil. Domestically, labor disputes and disruptions at Canada’s freight railroads or ports could yet again pose challenges for chemical producers in 2025, following this year’s disruptions, he said. A labor union has already obtained a mandate for a strike at freight rail carrier Canadian National that could begin on 1 January, and it is planning a strike vote at Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC), it said this week. Taken together, trade tension and transport disruptions have made it harder to move chemicals around the world. Combined with weakness in key end markets, the entire global market could become unstable, he said. “A lot of different clouds are circling on the horizon, a lot of different things" could slow down what CIAC otherwise expects to be "a decent year", he said. (source: CIAC) (US$1=C$1.40) Thumbnail image show logo of Ottawa-based Chemistry Industry Association of Canada/Association canadienne de l’industrie de la chimie

29-Nov-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Click here to see the latest blog post on Asian Chemical Connections by John Richardson: The US has gained an estimated $2.2 billion in linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) sales turnover in China since the 1992-2021 Chemicals Supercycle came to an end. It has gained $859 million in high density PE (HDPE). And its exports in tonnes have also surged. This has occurred as Saudi Arabia, Iran and South Korea, etc have lost a lot of ground. The US gains are the result of a big drop in import tariffs in February 2020, thanks to a trade deal, and of course the strong US ethane-based cost position. In a deflationary or disinflationary Chinese economy, cost is the king. But Donald Trump’s election victory has pushed us into a world of uncertainty. Almost anything might now happen. This brings to my mind the fabulous science fiction series of books and TV and radio shows, "The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy", and its Infinite Improbability Drive. This is defined as such: The infinite improbability drive is a wonderful new method of crossing interstellar distances in a mere second, without all that tedious mucking about in hyperspace. As soon as the ship's drive reaches infinite improbability, it passes through every conceivable point in every conceivable universe simultaneously. In one of any number of scenarios, let’s assume that China responds to increased US tariffs with increased tariffs on imports of US PE, as it did in 2017. Then the US loss could be to the gain of South Korea, Iran, etc. But, as we saw in 2017, the US might not lose out as whole. Its export flows to southeast Asia, Europe and Latin America might increase as other countries fill the gap created in China. Here’s some advice: Put the ICIS data into something akin to an Infinite Improbability Drive and you might get the answers you need. Editor’s note: This blog post is an opinion piece. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent those of ICIS.

29-Nov-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–November’s polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) prices have eased in the face of dispiriting demand and as maintenance season comes to a close in Europe. ICIS senior editors Vicky Ellis and Ben Lake weigh up what's behind the November trends, how forex and logistics might be affecting the markets and what’s in store for December. They also discuss ICIS coverage of European PE, PP players adapting value propositions in the face of an evolving market, and Think Tank’s podcast episode: Trump trade war will drive end of globalization for chemicals. Editing by Will Beacham

25-Nov-2024