
Sulphuric acid
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As one of the most commercially important of all manufactured chemicals, sulphuric acid is used to make thousands of compounds needed by almost every industry. This vast market can be complex to navigate at a global and regional level. ICIS speak to traders, producers and buyers to capture the latest information.
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VIDEO: Central China gains larger acetic acid capacity share, trading activities rise
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–In this video, ICIS analyst Jady Ma shares insights on the expanding acetic acid capacity in China and the new price point published in the ICIS acetic acid daily report from 24 March. Central China’s share in domestic acetic acid capacity expected to rise to 17% following Handsome Chemical’s new plant start-up around May Trading activities in Central China on the rise amid intensive start-up of new downstream capacities in recent two years Inter-regional trade flows become more flexible, arbitrage margins between central China and other regions drawing more attention ICN
24-Mar-2025
Asia top stories – weekly summary
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 21 March. Bearish sentiment prevails in Asia petrochemicals amid oversupply By Jonathan Yee 17-Mar-25 14:39 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Weak downstream demand, exacerbated by economic and geopolitical uncertainties, keeps sentiment bearish and buyers cautious across petrochemical markets in Asia. China unveils consumption stimulus to safeguard growth By Fanny Zhang 17-Mar-25 16:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s State Council announced on Sunday a special action plan to boost consumption, in fresh efforts to help achieve its growth target of around 5% for 2025. Monthly price gaps between Asia rPET, PET remain wide in Q1 By Arianne Perez 17-Mar-25 17:07 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Average monthly spot prices between bottle-grade recycled polyethylene terephthalate (rPET) and polyethylene terephthalate (PET) pellets were persistently wide amid various factors in the Asian markets. Asia methanol in flux as Iran capacities expected to come onstream By Damini Dabholkar 17-Mar-25 17:26 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Asian methanol market has seen some price uncertainty over the last few weeks, with several market participants closely watching developments related to the start-up of methanol plants in Iran. INSIGHT: Asia chemical prices to soften in March amid crude oil losses – ICIS By Ann Sun 18-Mar-25 13:03 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s petrochemical prices in March are expected soften due to downward pressure from crude oil losses. This forecast is driven by bearish sentiment caused by concerns over OPEC and its allies’ (OPEC+) planned output increase and the US’ trade policies. China remains net SM importer in 2024, setting stage for active exports in 2025 By Luffy Wu 18-Mar-25 16:04 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Despite market players' rising focus on China's styrene monomer (SM) export market, the country remained a net SM importer in 2024 with an annual SM trade deficit of 159,719 tonnes. INSIGHT: China PET resin production growth to decelerate in 2025 By Jimmy Zhang 18-Mar-25 17:30 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–On an annual basis, China PET resin (mainly bottle grade) production growth remained quite high in both 2023 and 2024, at around 10% and 15% respectively. ICIS China February petrochemical index dips; March demand soft By Yvonne Shi 19-Mar-25 12:13 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s domestic petrochemical prices weakened in February amid a sluggish market, with downstream factories slow to resume operations after the Lunar New Year holiday. PODCAST: Volatility seen in Asia, Mideast isocyanates amid recent supply changes By Damini Dabholkar 19-Mar-25 13:25 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia and Mideast isocyanates prices climbed rapidly immediately after the Lunar New Year holiday, followed by sharp corrections in mid to end-February. Indonesia central bank keeps policy interest rate at 5.75% after market rout By Nurluqman Suratman 19-Mar-25 17:38 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Indonesia’s central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 5.75% on Wednesday, a day after local stocks closed nearly 4% lower, on concerns over the country’s economic growth prospects and government finances. Arbitrage widens for Asia-Europe acetic acid, etac spot trades By Hwee Hwee Tan 20-Mar-25 13:03 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Traders leveraging on easing freight rates and a stronger euro have fixed several spot cargoes for acetyl products bound for Europe from China, lifting Asia-Atlantic trade volume into March. INSIGHT: Persistent capro oversupply sees plant closures, consolidation in Asia By Isaac Tan 20-Mar-25 14:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The global caprolactam (capro) market is grappling with significant challenges, as oversupply from expanding Chinese production capacities, weak downstream demand, and rising margin pressures combine to create a pessimistic outlook for producers worldwide. Vopak's €1bn investments in energy transition projects underway – exec By Jonathan Yee 20-Mar-25 15:49 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Dutch storage and infrastructure firm Vopak is doubling down on its energy transition strategy, re-affirming its commitment to invest €1 billion in low-carbon infrastructure through to 2030, the company’s Asia and Middle East chief told ICIS. Japan Feb core inflation at 3.0%; upholds interest rate hike hopes By Nurluqman Suratman 21-Mar-25 12:18 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Japan's core consumer prices excluding fresh food in February rose by 3% year on year, remaining above the central bank's 2% target, reinforcing market expectations of further interest rate hikes this year. PODCAST: A tale of two olefins; C2, C3 to see diverging demand trends By Damini Dabholkar 21-Mar-25 13:32 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia propylene (C3) editor Julia Tan speaks with Asia ethylene (C2) editor Josh Quah about the impact of recent tariff wars on downstream market sentiment, along with the markets' outlook for the second quarter.
24-Mar-2025
AFPM ’25: Summary of Americas market stories
SAN ANTONIO (ICIS)–Here is a summary of chemical market stories, heading into this year’s International Petrochemical Conference (IPC). Hosted by the American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM), the IPC takes place on 23-25 March in San Antonio, Texas. AFPM ‘25: US tariffs, retaliation risk heightens uncertainty for chemicals, economies The threat of additional US tariffs, retaliatory tariffs from trading partners, and their potential impact is fostering a heightened level of uncertainty, dampening consumer, business and investor sentiment, along with clouding the 2025 outlook for chemicals and economies. AFPM '25: New US president brings chems regulatory relief, tariffs The new administration of US President Donald Trump is giving chemical companies a break on regulations and proposing tariffs on the nation's biggest trade partners and on the world. AFPM ’25: Shippers weigh tariffs, port charges on global supply chains Whether it is dealing with on-again, off-again tariffs, new charges at US ports for carriers with China-flagged vessels in their fleets, or booking passage through the Panama Canal, participants at this year's IPC have plenty to talk about. AFPM ’25: LatAm chemicals face uncertain outlook amid oversupply, trade policy woes Latin American petrochemicals face ongoing challenges from oversupplied markets and poor demand, with survival increasingly dependent on government protectionist measures. AFPM ’25: US propane supply long; ethane prices rising The US petrochemical industry is seeing a glut of upstream propane supply and rising prices for key feedstock ethane. AFPM ’25: Weak demand takes toll on US ethylene as supply concerns ease Persistently poor demand, underpinned by worries over global tariff policies and a sluggish US economy are putting downward pressure on US ethylene prices. AFPM ’25: US propylene demand weak despite recent supply disruptions Weak demand in the US propylene market has counterbalanced recent supply disruptions, pushing spot prices and sentiment lower. AFPM ’25: US BD supply lengthening; rubber demand optimistic US butadiene (BD) has been rather balanced in Q1 despite a couple of planned turnarounds and cracker outages limiting crude C4 deliveries, but supply is expected to lengthen, and demand is cautiously optimistic. AFPM ’25: US aromatics supply ample amid low demand Domestic supply of aromatics is ample and demand is relatively poor. AFPM ’25: US methanol exports, bunker fuel demand to grow, but domestic demand sentiment low US methanol participants’ outlook on the key downstream construction and automotive sectors has dimmed, but optimism continues for export growth and bunker fuel demand. AFPM ’25: Tariffs, weak demand weigh on US base oils Uncertain US trade policy paired with already weak finished lubricant demand weighs on base oil market sentiment. AFPM ’25: Trade policies dampening outlook for Americas PE The US polyethylene (PE) industry started 2025 with some early successes amid the backdrop of lower year-on-year GDP growth. Now, with the impact of volatile tariff policy on top of the aforementioned lower GDP forecast, the outlook for PE has fallen. AFPM '25: Tariffs to shape the trajectory of caustic soda in US and beyond The North American caustic soda market is facing continued headwinds coming via potential tariffs, a challenged PVC market and planned and unplanned outages. US President Donald Trump has threatened to implement tariffs on Mexico, Canada and the EU as well as on products that are directly tied to caustic soda but has delayed enactment on multiple occasions. These delays have bred uncertainty in the near-term outlook, impacting markets in the US and beyond. AFPM '25: US PVC to face headwinds from tariffs, economy The US polyvinyl chloride (PVC) market is facing continued headwinds as tariff-related uncertainties persist. The domestic PVC market is expected to grow between 1-3% in 2025 but continues to face challenges in housing and construction. Meanwhile, export markets continue to wrestle with the threat of protectionist policies and tariffs at home and abroad. AFPM ’25: US spot EG supply balanced-to-tight on heavy turnaround season; EO balanced Supply in the US ethylene glycols (EG) market is balanced-to-tight as the market is undergoing a heavy turnaround season. The US ethylene oxide (EO) market is balanced as demand from derivatives including surfactants is flat. AFPM ’25: US PET prices facing upward price pressure on tariffs, China’s antimony exports ban, peak seasonUS polyethylene terephthalate (PET) prices continue to face volatility as the market assesses the impacts of potential tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico. AFPM ’25: US PP volatility persists amid weak demand The US polypropylene (PP) market is facing weak demand, raw material volatility and tariff uncertainty. AFPM ’25: US ACN rationalization inevitable amid declining demand Production of acrylonitrile (ACN) in the US is being reduced or shuttered as already weak demand continues to fall and as downstream plants are shutting down. Changes to the supply/demand balance, trade flows and tariff uncertainties are weighing on market participants. AFPM ’25: US nylon trade flows shifting amid global capacity changes, tariff uncertainties US nylon imports and exports are changing as capacity becomes regionalized and geographically realigned. The subsequent changes to trade flows, price increase initiatives and tariff uncertainties are weighing on market participants. AFPM ’25: US ABS, PC face headwinds from closure and oversupply The US acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) and polycarbonate (PC) markets are lackluster and oversupplied. Demand remains soft kicking off the year, and the closure of INEOS’s Addyston, Ohio, ABS facility and tariff uncertainties continue to pressure ABS and PC markets. AFPM ’25: US styrene market facing oversupply amid weak demand, trade uncertainty The US styrene market is transitioning from a period of supply tightness to one of potential oversupply, driven by weak derivative demand and the recent restart of Styrolution’s Bayport, Texas, unit. This return to full operation, coupled with subdued demand, suggests ample supply in the short term. AFPM ’25: US PS faces slow start to 2025 amid weak demand Domestic polystyrene (PS) demand started the year off weaker than expected, with limited restocking and slower markets. AFPM ’25: US phenol/acetone face challenging outlook heading into Q2 US phenol and acetone are grappling with a lot of moving pieces. AFPM ’25: US MMA facing new supply amid volatile demand heading into Q2 US methyl methacrylate (MMA) is facing evolving supply-and-demand dynamics. Roehm's new plant in Bay City, Texas, is in the final stage of start-up, but is not in operation yet. There is anticipation of sample product being available in Q2 for qualification purposes. AFPM ’25: US epoxy resins in flux amid duties, tariffs heading into Q2 US epoxy resins is grappling with changes in duties and trade policies. AFPM ’25: Acetic acid, VAM eyes impact of tariffs on demand, outages on supply The US acetic acid and vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) markets are waiting to see what impact shifting trade and tariff policy will have on domestic and export demand, while disruptions are beginning to tighten VAM supply. AFPM '25: US etac, butac, glycol ethers markets focus on upcoming paints, coatings demand US ethyl acetate (etac), butyl acetate (butac) and glycol ethers market participants are waiting to see if the upcoming paints and coatings season will reinvigorate demand that has been in a long-term slump. AFPM ’25: Low demand for US oxos, acrylates, plasticizers countering feedstock cost spikes US propylene derivatives oxo alcohols, acrylic acid, acrylate esters and plasticizers have been partly insulated from upstream costs spikes by low demand, focusing outlooks on volatile supply and uncertain demand. AFPM ’25: N Am expectations for H2 TiO2 demand rebound paused amid tariff implementations After initial expectations of stronger demand for titanium dioxide (TiO2) in the latter half of 2025, the North American market is now in flux following escalating tariff talks. AFPM ’25: US IPA, MEK markets look to supplies, upstream costs US isopropanol (IPA) market has an eye on costs as upstream propylene supplies are volatile, while the US methyl ethyl ketone (MEK) market is evaluating the impact of global capacity reductions. AFPM ’25: US melamine prices continue to face upward pressure on duties, tight supply US melamine is experiencing upward pricing pressure, thanks in large part to antidumping and countervailing duty sanctions and tight domestic supply. AFPM '25: US polyurethane industry braces for cascade effect of tariffs US polyurethane prices for toluene diisocyanate (TDI), methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI) and a variety of polyether and polyester polyols continue to see increase pressure as the market assesses the impacts of potential tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico. AFPM ’25: US BDO market eyes costs, demand outlook uncertain US 1,4 butanediol (BDO) production costs have been mounting, and margins have been crunched. Supply is ample and demand has been lackluster. AFPM ’25: US propylene glycol demand begins softening after prior feedstock-driven uptick After a cold winter with strong demand for seasonal propylene glycol (PG) end-uses in antifreeze and de-icers in many parts of the US, demand is starting to cool. AFPM ’25: US MA sentiment cautious ahead of potentially volatile Q2 US maleic anhydride (MA) is facing a volatile economic backdrop. Spot feedstock normal butane has fallen below $1/gal in March due to the end of peak blending season and strong production. AFPM ’25: US PA, OX face trade uncertainty, production constraints US phthalic anhydride (PA) and orthoxylene (OX) demand remains relatively weak. Prices have been remaining flat and are expected to settle lower this month after losing mixed xylene (MX) price support and underlying crude oil price declines. AFPM '25: Tight feedstock availability to keep US fatty acids, alcohols firm despite demand woes Tight supplies and high prices for oleochemical feedstocks are expected to keep US oleochemicals prices relatively firm, as continued macroeconomic headwinds, including escalating trade tensions between the US and other countries, only further weigh on consumer sentiment and discourage players from taking long-term positions. AFPM '25: Historic drop in biodiesel production to keep US glycerine relatively firm A drop in US biodiesel production to levels not seen since Q1 2017 is likely to keep the floor on US glycerine prices relatively firm through at least H1 as imports of both crude and refined material fail to fully offset the short-term shortfalls in domestic supply. PRC ’25: US R-PET demand to fall short of 2025 expectations, but still see slow growth As the landmark year, 2025, swiftly passes, many within the US recycled polyethylene terephthalate (R-PET) industry doubt the demand and market growth promised by voluntary brand goals and regulatory post-consumer recycled (PCR) content minimums will come to fruition. PRC ’25: US pyrolysis recycling players churning through regulatory, economic uncertainty As both regulatory and economic landscapes continue to change, production and commercialization progress among pyrolysis based plastic recyclers continues to be mixed. Pyrolysis, a thermal depolymerization/conversion technology which targets polyolefin-heavy mixed plastic waste, or tires, is expected to become the dominant form of chemical recycling over the next decade. Visit the US tariffs, policy – impact on chemicals and energy topic page Visit the Macroeconomics: Impact on chemicals topic page Visit the Logistics: Impact on chemicals and energy topic page Visit the Recycled Plastics topic page
22-Mar-2025
INSIGHT: US sustainability companies hit by two bankruptcies
HOUSTON (ICIS)–US sustainability companies are starting to buckle, with a chemical recycling plant and a bioplastic producer both going bankrupt. Brightmark's Indiana operations filed for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 11, a move that will protect it from creditors while it tries to sell its underutilized chemical recycling plant. The bankruptcy will not affect the other operations of the parent company or its plans to build another chemical recycling plant in Georgia. Danimer Scientific is winding down operations at its plants in Bainbridge, Georgia, and Winchester, Kentucky. Danimer makes polyhydroxyalkanoates (PHA) and formulates polylactic acid (PLA). DANIMER GOES BANKRUPT AFTER ANNOUNCING PLANT CLOSUREDanimer had bet big on PHA, a renewable polyester made by fermenting natural oils. It became the owner of the world's first commercial scale PHA plant in 2022 after it expanded capacity at its site in Winchester, Kentucky, to 55 million lb/year (25,000 tonnes/year), said Frank Pometti, a partner of AlixPartners, the proposed financial advisor for the company. He made his comments in a court filing. By then, Danimer had already broken ground on another plant in Bainbridge that would have produced another 125 million lb/year of PHA. However, Danimer was increasing capacity faster than its customers were enacting sustainability initiatives. Since 2020, Danimer's operating rates never exceeded 15% of capacity. Moreover, Danimer was expanding capacity right when inflation was taking off. Companies like Phillips 66 were revising cost estimates for capital projects by 50%. Danimer would later suspend work on the new PHA plant after a prospective customer indicated that it wasn't ready to switch to the company's bioplastics. To date, Danimer has sunk nearly $190 million into the project. For years, Danimer had courted what it described as a new and significant customer that would have purchased the company's bioplastic to supply an internationally recognized quick-service restaurant with cutlery for all of its locations in North America. By 2025, securing a firm commitment from that customer became critical. Danimer was facing liquidity challenges, and its shares were taken off the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in January 2025. A firm volume commitment from that customer could allow Danimer to attract fresh capital from a potential investor, from which the company received a non-binding indication of interest. The customer would not provide the commitment. In March, Danimer reached out to its lenders and another customer in a last-ditch effort to secure a deal to keep the business running. That effort also failed. In mid-March, Danimer announced the shutdown of its operations in Bainbridge, home to the company's corporate headquarters, its PHA demonstration plant and its PLA reactive extrusion plant. It also plans to wind down operations at its plant in Kentucky. Days later, Danimer filed for bankruptcy protection in Delaware Bankruptcy Court. It plans to sell its plants and liquidate the uncompleted project in Bainbridge. The case number is 25-10518. BRIGHTMARK'S CHEM RECYCLING PLANT RUNS AT 5%Brightmark's chemical recycling plant in Indiana has required substantial re-engineering and re-design after starting up in 2023, said Craig Jalbert, chief restructuring officer. He made his comments in court filings. The plant needs $800,000/week just to maintain operations and fund improvement projects – all while working under $172 million of senior debt. To date, the plant's upgrade system has not worked, according to Jalbert. That system was made up of a hydrotreater that cleaned the pyrolysis oil (pyoil) and a fractionator that separated the cleaned oil. After starting up in 2023, the plant only managed to produce 10 million lb (4,500 tonnes ) of pyoil, or 5% of its 100,000 tonne/year capacity. So far, three petrochemical producers have bought its pyoil, which it sold under the brand name PyBright. Pybright did command a premium, but it was not high enough to offset the low run rates and the capital needs of the company. That plant will need more than $100 million in capital investments before it can operate at a high enough rate to be profitable, Jalbert said. Brightmark's parent company had been funding the plants operations and capital expenditures through equity contributions. These have totalled more than $210 million. By February, the parent company determined that it could no longer make the contributions. A $12.9 million payment was due on 1 March. The recycling company defaulted on the payment and filled for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on 14 March. Brightmark will continue to operate the Indiana plant while it tries to sell it. If necessary, Brightmark will hold an auction on 7 May. Meanwhile, Brightmark continues to work on its second chemical recycling plant that it is developing in Thomaston, Georgia. The next step is to file for air permits, the company said. The Georgia plant will have a capacity of 400,000 tonnes/year. Brightmark has not said when operations will start. Brightmark filed bankruptcy in Delaware. The case number is 25-10472. Insight article by Al Greenwood
20-Mar-2025
Asia petrochemicals under pressure from China oversupply, US trade risks
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Sentiment in Asia’s petrochemical markets remains cautious with prices of some products – particularly in the southeastern region – were rising on tight supply, amid escalating trade tensions between the US and its major trading partners, including China. China’s oversupply-driven exports weigh on markets; post-Lunar New Year demand weaker than expected US tariff fears cause jitters across downstream industries Methanol supply constraints persist TRADES REMAIN SUBDUED Market activity in key chemical segments remains muted as buyers were staying on the sidelines, waiting for clarity on US trade policies and overall demand recovery. In the benzene market, South Korea’s January exports to the US slumped by 81% year on year to 15,000 tonnes, according to ICIS data. The decline was attributed to increased European supply to the US. “The market is cautious as everyone is waiting for more clarity on US tariff policies,” a trader said. South Korea faces potential hefty tariffs under the US’ plan to impose reciprocal tariffs from 2 April, even though the two countries have an existing free trade agreement. In the caprolactam (capro) market, producers are grappling with poor margins while supply within China continues to grow. “Capro margins have been bad for six months now, and demand didn’t pick up post-Lunar New Year,” said a Chinese producer. Chinese producers were exporting more to southeast Asia and Europe, in view of a general oversupply of petrochemicals and muted demand in the domestic market and following the US’ new 20% tariffs on all Chinese goods. For polypropylene (PP), China has ramped up exports to Vietnam and other southeast Asian nations which were exerting downward pressure on prices. With more Chinese capacity coming online, this trade flow is likely to continue. Chinese producers are increasingly willing to accept lower margins to capture market share in the polyolefin markets, creating ripple effects across Asia and beyond, forcing regional producers to adjust pricing strategies to remain competitive. However, these actions could be met with antidumping duties (ADD) as southeast Asian governments act to protect domestic producers. SHIPPING SECTOR WARY OF US POLICIES US protectionism is on the rise again under President Donald Trump’s administration, with an ongoing probe being conducted on China’s shipbuilding industry, which may be slapped with potential duties of up to $1.5 million per vessel. This move aims to deter reliance on Chinese-built ships and, instead, encourage investment in the US shipbuilding sector. China dominates the global shipbuilding industry, with over 81% of new tankers being built in the country, according to shipbroker Xclusiv in a November report. The fear is that if these tariffs come through, immediate cost impacts will be felt, especially on long-haul trades. Meanwhile, weaker freight demand post-Lunar New Year has also softened freight rates. Most downstream producers in China resumed operations in H2 February, after an extended holiday break. China was on official holiday from 28 January to 4 February. The northeast Asia winter was milder than expected, which reduced seasonal trade flows. DISRUPTIONS TIGHTEN SUPPLY While some chemical markets struggle with oversupply, others are experiencing tight supply due to plant outages. For methanol, supply is constrained in Malaysia, with Petronas’ unit experiencing operational issues, and Sarawak Petchem’s unit shut from late January. Iranian methanol plants have also been offline due to winter gas shortages, pushing Indian import prices up by $60/tonne within a week. Meanwhile, Russian supply disruptions due to drone attacks have tightened naphtha availability, strengthening prices. On the acetic acid front, plant turnarounds in China, Malaysia, and Japan initially tightened supply, but these units have since restarted, thereby improving availability of the material. OUTLOOK MIXED Market players remain wary of near-term price movements as supply and demand fundamentals shift across regions. March shipments for PE and PP in southeast Asia have largely been sold out, while Indonesian buyers are reluctant to commit to April purchases amid the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan, which started 1 March. Ramadan is observed in most parts of southeast Asia including Indonesia, southeast Asia’s biggest economy with a predominantly Muslim population. With uncertainties surrounding US’ trade policies, Chinese exports, and geopolitical risks, market sentiment remains mixed. Players are closely monitoring tariff developments and the potential impacts of further supply disruptions in key markets. Focus article by Jonathan Yee Additional reporting from Seng Li Peng, Isaac Tan, Tan Hwee Hwee, Angeline Soh, Jasmine Khoo, Julia Tan, Josh Quah, Damini Dabholkar, Doris He, Jackie Wong Thumbnail image: At Qingdao Port in Shandong province, China on 6 March 2025. (Costfoto/NurPhoto/Shutterstock)
10-Mar-2025
Asia top stories – weekly summary
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 7 March. China Feb manufacturing activity rebounds on seasonality By Fanny Zhang 03-Mar-25 11:47 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) in February marked a return to expansion territory after a soft January reading as factories resumed operations after the Lunar New Year (LNY) holiday. INSIGHT: China set to maintain "around 5%" growth target By Nurluqman Suratman 04-Mar-25 11:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's "Two Sessions" this week will be closely watched as the government work report is released, outlining the country's policy priorities for the year amid escalating trade tensions with the US. UPDATE: ADNOC, OMV agree on polyolefins JV worth $60 billion By Jonathan Yee 04-Mar-25 16:45 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Austria’s OMV and the UAE’s Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC) on Tuesday agreed to form a $60 billion joint venture (JV) by combining polyolefins businesses Borouge and Borealis following two-year talks. Asia acetic acid market softens on easing supply, downstream turnarounds By Hwee Hwee Tan 05-Mar-25 14:05 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asian spot prices for acetic acid imports and exports are being dampened by lengthening supply and softening demand tied to a downstream sector. China targets record 2025 budget deficit to rev up economy By Fanny Zhang 05-Mar-25 14:50 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China has set its 2025 fiscal deficit target at a record yuan (CNY) 5.66 trillion ($780 billion), equivalent to around 4% of GDP, to fund the government’s stimulus measures and ensure the world’s second-biggest economy would post a 5% growth. Thai central bank lowers interest on slower economic growth, global trade tensions By Jonathan Yee 05-Mar-25 15:34 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Slower than expected economic growth and downside risks such as escalating global trade tensions spurred by US trade policy led Thailand’s central bank to cut its key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to 2.00 on 26 February, the Bank of Thailand (BOT) said. PODCAST: Asia propylene demand curbed by weaker PO margins By Damini Dabholkar 06-Mar-25 00:07 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The northeast Asian propylene import markets have been weighed down by lengthening supply amid restarts at propane dehydrogenation (PDH) units. However, lower affordability levels from derivatives such as propylene oxide (PO) have also curbed import demand. China PP suppliers persist with export end goal amid margin challenges By Jackie Wong 06-Mar-25 11:08 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Despite poor margins for polypropylene (PP), suppliers in China are expected to continue to persevere with their plans to expand their export sales network and win market shares in southeast Asia. South Korea Feb inflation eases amid growing economic headwinds By Nurluqman Suratman 06-Mar-25 13:50 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–South Korea's headline inflation eased in February, giving the central bank flexibility to loosen monetary policy to boost economic activity amid a slowdown. Thai PTTGC hopes to snap out of losses; eyes US ethane feed for crackers By Nurluqman Suratman 07-Mar-25 14:46 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Imports of US ethane feedstock will be a key component of Thai producer PTT Global Chemical's (PTTGC) broader strategy to recover from recent losses, alongside initiatives to enhance competitiveness and expand into high-value businesses.
10-Mar-2025
Chem shares plunge as US proceeds with 25% Canadian, Mexican tariffs
HOUSTON (ICIS)–US-listed shares of chemical companies fell sharply – many by more than 5% – on Monday as the US proceeds with plans to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China, its three biggest trading partners. The selloff in chemical shares was sharper than that for the general market. The following table shows the stock indices followed by ICIS. Index 3-Mar Change % Dow Jones Industrial Average 43,191.24 -649.67 -1.48% S&P 500 5,849.72 -104.78 -1.76% Dow Jones US Chemicals Index 851.42 -17.99 -2.07% S&P 500 Chemicals Industry Index 901.32 -17.93 -1.95% Shares of every US-listed company followed by ICIS fell. TUESDAY'S TARIFFSUnless the nations reach last-minute deals, the US will impose 25% tariffs on all imports from Mexico, 10% tariffs on all energy imports from Canada and 25% tariffs on all other imports from Canada. The US will also proceed with an additional 10% that it proposed on all imports from China, according to a post from the White House’s Rapid Response account on social media platform X. This is on top of the 10% in new tariffs that the US already imposed earlier in 2025 on imports from China. EFFECT ON US MARKETSWhile the US has large trade surpluses in polyethylene (PE), it still imports large amounts of the plastic from Canada. Many of these imports go to processors in the bordering states of Illinois, Michigan and Ohio. These states are far from most of the plastic plants in the US, which are concentrated in Texas and Louisiana. Processors in these states that border Canada will need to pay the tariffs or pay higher shipping costs to secure material from suppliers farther away. The US also imports notable amounts of purified terephthalic acid (PTA) from Canada and Mexico as well as methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI) from China. The US receives large Canadian shipments of ammonia and potassium chloride, which is also known as muriate of potash (MOP). At least one company, Canada's Chemtrade Logistics, said it expected to pass a larger part of the tariffs to its customers. Chemtrade Logistics exports sodium chlorate, chlorine and sulfuric acid to the US. RETALIATIONChina already has retaliated by imposing tariffs on US imports of coal, liquefied natural gas (LNG), crude oil, farm equipment and some vehicles. China has restricted exports of antimony and bismuth. Antimony is used to make catalysts for polyethylene terephthalate (PET), and bismuth is used to make catalysts for polyurethanes. Canada had proposed retaliatory tariffs of 25% on Canadian dollars (C$) 155 billion ($107 billion) worth of US imports. The tariffs would be imposed in two phases. The first phase would cover C$30 billion of US imports of beverages, cosmetic, paper products and some finished plastics products, among others. Canada was preparing a second list, worth C$125 billion. All three countries could impose retaliatory tariffs on the substantial exports of PE, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and other ethylene derivatives from the US. OTHER POSSIBLE US TARIFFSThe US has threatened to impose tariffs of 25% on imports from the EU. On 12 March, the US will impose tariffs of 25% on all imports of steel and aluminium, a move that will remove exemptions that it granted to some countries. The US will expand the tariff to cover more products made of steel and aluminium. In early April, the US said it would introduce retaliatory tariffs on imports from the rest of the world. These tariffs will consider what the US considers non-tariff trade barriers, such as value added tax (VAT) systems. CHEM STOCK PERFORMANCEThe following table shows the performances of US-listed shares followed by ICIS. Symbol Name $ Current Price $ Change % Change ASIX AdvanSix 26.82 -1.10 -3.94% AVNT Avient 41.23 -1.54 -3.60% AXTA Axalta Coating Systems 35.1 -1.11 -3.07% BAK Braskem 3.52 -0.17 -4.61% CC Chemours 13.86 -1.09 -7.29% CE Celanese 47.02 -3.92 -7.70% DD DuPont 78.83 -2.53 -3.11% DOW Dow 36.06 -2.05 -5.38% EMN Eastman 94.46 -3.39 -3.46% FUL HB Fuller 55.73 -1.01 -1.78% HUN Huntsman 16.04 -0.89 -5.26% KRO Kronos Worldwide 8.43 -0.32 -3.66% LYB LyondellBasell 73.41 -3.42 -4.45% MEOH Methanex 41.47 -2.57 -5.84% NEU NewMarket 562.65 -7.46 -1.31% NGVT Ingevity 45.24 -2.42 -5.08% OLN Olin 23.87 -1.52 -5.99% PPG PPG 111.72 -1.50 -1.32% RPM RPM International 123.09 -0.80 -0.65% SCL Stepan 58 -3.375 -5.50% SHW Sherwin-Williams 356.73 -4.75 -1.31% TROX Tronox 7.02 -0.615 -8.06% TSE Trinseo 4.62 -0.30 -6.10% WLK Westlake 108.71 -3.59 -3.20% ($1 = C$1.45) Please also visit the US tariff, policy – impact on chemicals and energy topic page Thumbnail shows money. Image by ICIS.
04-Mar-2025
US to proceed on Mexican, Canadian tariffs; raise China rate by another 10%
HOUSTON (ICIS)–The US will proceed with its proposed 25% tariffs on most goods from Canada and Mexico, and the nation will increase tariffs on imports from China by another 10%, all effective on 4 March, the president said on Thursday. In addition, the US will proceed with its proposed reciprocal tariffs on 2 April, President Donald Trump said on social media. The 4 March date still leaves time for the US to reach some agreement with Canada or Mexico to cancel or delay the proposed tariffs. The US agreed to a 30-day delay with Canada and Mexico on 3 February, the day before it had initially planned to impose the tariffs. On Wednesday, 26 February, Mexico's president said such an agreement was in the works. No agreement was reached with China, so the 10% tariffs went into effect. China retaliated by imposing tariffs on US imports of coal, liquefied natural gas (LNG), crude oil, farm equipment and some vehicles. RATIONAL FOR THE TARIFFSThe US will proceed with the tariffs, because Trump said illegal drugs that are made in China continue to enter the country from Canada and Mexico. "Drugs are still pouring into our Country from Mexico and Canada at very high and unacceptable levels. A large percentage of these Drugs, much of them in the form of Fentanyl, are made in, and supplied by, China," Trump said on social media. "We cannot allow this scourge to continue to harm the USA, and therefore, until it stops, or is seriously limited, the proposed TARIFFS scheduled to go into effect on MARCH FOURTH will, indeed, go into effect, as scheduled. China will likewise be charged an additional 10% Tariff on that date." THE PROPOSED TARIFFSUnder the proposal, the US will impose tariffs of 25% on all imports from Mexico. It would impose tariffs of 25% on all Canadian imports except energy. Energy imports from Canada would receive tariffs of 10%. Canada had already proposed retaliatory tariffs of 25% on Canadian dollar (C$) 155 billion ($108 billion) worth of US imports. The tariffs would be imposed in two phases. The first phase would cover C$30 billion of US imports of beverages, cosmetic, paper products and some finished plastics products, among others. Canada was preparing a second list, worth C$125 billion. EFFECT ON CHEMICALSCanada is a large source of imports of polyethylene (PE) to plastic processing hubs in the bordering states of Michigan, Illinois and Ohio. In addition, Canada exports PE to Texas. Canada also exports notable amounts of polypropylene (PP) and ammonia to the US. The nation accounts for nearly 90% of all US imports of potassium chloride, also known as muriate of potash (MOP). Mexico and Canada export meaningful amounts of purified terephthalic acid (PTA) to the US. China exports notable amounts of methylene diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI). Mexico and China are important sources of the main feedstock used to make fluorochemicals and fluoropolymers. OTHER TARIFFS PROPOSALS The US has threatened to impose tariffs of 25% on imports from the EU. On 12 March, the US will impose tariffs of 25% on all imports of steel and aluminium, a move that will remove exemptions that it granted to some countries. The US will expand the tariff to cover more products made of steel and aluminium. Please also visit the US tariff, policy – impact on chemicals and energy topic page ($1 = C$1.44) Thumbnail photo: Containers. (By XINHUA/Shutterstock)
27-Feb-2025
Any new ethylene for VCM expansion would require cost review – US Westlake
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Before Westlake would consider expanding ethylene capacity at a joint-venture cracker, it would need to conduct a cost analysis that would take into account higher labor and material costs caused by inflation, the chief financial officer said on Monday. The additional ethylene could be used by Westlake's vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) plant in Geismar, Louisiana, which it is expanding. Westlake has not provided an update on when that VCM expansion project could start operations. The additional VCM capacity would require ethylene from the merchant market. Westlake could reduce its exposure to the merchant market by increasing its ethylene capacity. One option for Westlake would be to expand its joint-venture cracker in Westlake Louisiana. Westlake has a 50% stake with Lotte Chemical in the LACC joint venture. "It is important that we find a way to cost effectively be able to try to shorten that merchant position in ethylene," said Steven Bender, chief financial officer. He made his comments during an earnings conference call. "But we want to do this in a cost-effective, value-added way," he said. Westlake could achieve that through a number of ways, including a debottlenecking project at the joint venture cracker, Bender said. The joint venture cracker could be expanded by about 40%, Bender said. If Lotte participates, Westlake would be entitled to half of the ethylene produced by the expansion project. Westlake would then need to get a fresh estimate about the cost of the project on a dollar per pound investment basis, Bender said. "As we all know, there has been labor inflation and materials cost inflation, so I would not want to rely on anything that we have done in the last couple of years as an indicator of capital cost for that," he said. Bender did not provide any estimates about cost inflation, and he did not specify any causes of the cost increases. OTHER PROJECTS SAW COST INFLATIONOther companies reported in 2023 large cost increases that led some to delay or cancel projects. Alpek, Indorama and Far Eastern New Century (FENC) temporarily halted work on an integrated polyester plant because of high costs. Phillips 66 said the project costs for its renewable diesel project in California rose by more than 40%. Chemtrade Logistics put on hold its ultrapure sulfuric acid plant project after costs rose by 50%. RESUMPTION OF STEEL, ALUMINUM TARIFFSConstruction costs could rise further after tariffs of 25% go into effect on 12 March on imports of steel and aluminum products. The following will take place under the tariff order: The US will withdraw the exemptions to the 25% steel tariffs that it granted to South Korea, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Mexico, the EU, Japan, the UK and Ukraine. More steel products will fall under the tariff. The US will restrict the ability for companies to seek exemptions from the duties. The US will raise its tariff on imports of aluminum to 25% from 10% while terminating agreements it had reached with Argentina, Australia, Canada, Mexico, the EU and the UK. The 25% tariff will cover more aluminum products. Thumbnail shows pipe composed of polyvinyl chloride (PVC), which is made from VCM. Image by Shutterstock.
24-Feb-2025
PODCAST: Europe MX and PX chemical demand braces for headwinds
LONDON (ICIS)–In this podcast, market editors Zubair Adam (MX) and Miguel Rodriguez Fernandez (PX) discuss the challenges for future demand. MX are traded in two grades. The isomer-grade xylene is mainly used as a feedstock for PX and OX production, while the main application for solvent grade is as a raw material for dye, organic pigment, perfume and medicines, as well as a general solvent for paint and agricultural pesticides. PX is widely used as a building block to manufacture other industrial chemicals, notably DMT and purified terephthalic acid (PTA), which is used in the production of PET.
19-Feb-2025
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