By John Richardson IT important to be relentlessly realistic about the risks no confronting emerging markets in general, now that China is focusing much more on its own internal problems and needs. One of these risks – reduced funding of infrastructure and other projects in the emerging world by Chinese banks – was highlighted in this […]
Asian Chemical Connections
Narendra Modi’s Infrastructure Challenge
By John Richardson NARENDRA Modi looks as if he will end up leading the BJP-coalition to victory in India. This has led to a surge in optimism that he can repeat the “economic miracle” he achieved in Gujarat at a nationwide level. We wish him every success, but, of course, politics is the art of […]
China Faces Lower Growth In Q2
By John Richardson WE conducted another of our highly unscientific surveys amongst polyethylene (PE) producers and traders last week and the message remained the same: Persistently weaker-than-expected downstream demand in China. “Many downstream plastics processors have seen persistently weak orders for plastics finished and semi-finished goods,” added the commentary accompanying the ICIS pricing polypropylene (PP) […]
Free China Outlook Webinar On Wednesday
By John Richardson THE blog has spent the last three years focusing heavily on China’s economy. Our analysis, which predicted China’s about turn, has now gone mainstream. And now we are running two free webinars on Wednesday (23 April), which will provide our readers with our views on where we think China is heading over the […]
What Chinese Q1 GDP Growth Really Tells Us
By John Richardson ONE of the comments the blog often hears is that even though China’s GDP growth has clearly decelerated, when measured against anywhere else in the world its growth rates are still tremendous. This argument is deeply flawed and belongs to the world of “wishful thinking”. The key, instead, is to first of […]
Poverty Alleviation Matters More Than GDP
By John Richardson RICH people, relatively speaking, don’t buy that many chemicals and polymers – hence, poverty reduction matters from a dollars and cents as well as a moral perspective. Thus, a report released this week by the Asian Development Bank, Support for Inclusive Growth, makes for very disturbing reading. David Pilling from the FT, […]
China Identifies The Smart People
By John Richardson CHINA’S government, via a very important statement on the state-run newswire Xinhua, have identified the smart people. They are those who have already realised that China is not going to “blink”. There will be no big new economic stimulus package and the measures to stabilise growth, that were announced last week, were […]
US Shale Gas: Demand Is The Thing
By John Richardson Here is one way of looking at the shale gas industry in the US from a March Oxford Economics Report: While most of the companies that have made write-downs are not quitting, many players in this industry have already noted that the revolution is not as technically and financially attractive as they […]
US Petchems Risk Getting Only One Cookie
By John Richardson WALTER Mischel, the psychologist, carried out an experiment on four-year-old children in the late 1960s. “They were given a choice between a small reward (one Oreo cookie), which they could have at any time, or a larger reward (two cookies) for which they had to wait for 15 minutes under difficult conditions,” […]
China’s New Stimulus Package: What It Means For Chemicals
By John Richardson CHINA’S petrochemicals markets are likely to enjoy a confidence rally as a result of yesterday’s announcement of a mini economic stimulus package. The details of the stimulus package include: More railway construction. The State Council released plans on Wednesday to sell $24 billion US of bonds this year to build railways in […]
Jump to page: