Tag Archives | US economy

China To Follow In America’s Oil And Gas Footsteps

By John Richardson

DURING the economic Supercycle it all worked beautifully, as the above picture indicates.

China sold stuff to the West and then bought lots of US Treasuries from their earnings in order to keep US interest rates low. …

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Help Us Answer Some Very Important Questions

 

Sometimes two  graphs can be worth a thousand words.

IF the world economy is well and truly on the right course then why is that global chemicals operating rates have yet to return to their pre-crisis levels? (see the …

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US Shale Gas: Demand Is The Thing

By John Richardson

Here is one way of looking at the shale gas industry in the US from a March Oxford Economics Report:…

While most of the companies that have made write-downs are not quitting, many players in this industry

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What Yuan Depreciation Means

By John Richardson

THE truth is that nobody has ever entirely understood the nature of China’s chemicals and polymers demand.

During the good times, at the height of China’s credit Ponzi scheme, if you were a sales manager, why ask …

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China: “Just When I Thought I Was Out….”

By John Richardson

THE BLOG woke up this morning determined to write about something else, but, as Michael Corleone said in Godfather III, “just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in”.

What stopped us writing about …

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Central Banks Chase The Inflation Illusion

By John Richardson

IT was Milton Friedman who famously said “inflation is always and everywhere a monetary problem”.

This widely accepted economic wisdom is based on the following premise: Excessive expansion of the money supply is inherently inflationary.

And so …

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China: Do The Maths On 2014 GDP Growth

By John Richardson

DO the maths and you should be able to assess what could happen to China’s GDP growth in 2014:…

The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences wrote last week in the China Daily: If the PBOC loosens monetary

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China Targets Trade Finance

By John Richardson

AT the high inflation point of any financial bubble, you tend to get outlandishly dangerous and dodgy practices designed to make even more money because most people think that “this time will be different” – i.e. that …

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The US Patient Needs An Operation

By John Richardson

THE Fed’s quantitative easing (QE) programme hasn’t worked because, to use an analogy, it has been equivalent to pumping drugs into a patient that needs major surgery in order to fully recover.

A steady flow of drugs …

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China: Sweat The Lending Data

 

By John Richardson

AS business slowly gets back to normal following the Lunar New Year, everyone will be scrabbling around for indications about whether the January downturn in China was just a short-term blip, or something more significant.

Confidence …

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