By John Richardson CHINA’S official Lunar New Year postage stamp for 2019 shows a family of five happy pigs made up of two parents and three children. This is if course is the Year of the Pig and in Chinese culture pigs represent wealth and treasure. Nicholas Eberstadt, a political economist, is amongst others who […]
Asian Chemical Connections
China’s Urbanisation Myth Bites The Dust
By John Richardson THE blog would again be in the position of being able to afford a yacht in Monte Carlo if it had a dollar, even in an Australian dollar these days, for every time it has heard the phrase “urbanisation will underpin long-term growth in China”. But just as some of the other […]
It Is Now Down To Seven Guys In A Room
Source of picture: China Daily By John Richardson The famous investor, Jim Chanos, warned three years years ago that the West places an inordinate amount of trust in “nine guys in a room” (i.e. China’s Politburo Standing Committee) getting it right. Since last year’s leadership transition that trust now needs to be placed in just […]
China And Demographics
OUR last four blog posts have focused on some of the big challenges confronting China’s economy over the next 12-18 months. Today we again switch our focus to how major changes in demographics could adversely impact longer-term growth prospects. By John Richardson CONTINUING high rates of urbanisation are constantly cited by chemical industry executives […]
China Urbanisation Complications
By John Richardson EVERY time you come back to the subject of China, it becomes ever-more complex and uncertain. An excellent example is an article published in the academic journal, Eurasian Geography and Economics, in February, by University of Washington professor Kam Wing Chan. It questions to what extent China’s economy will benefit from further […]