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Chemicals and the Economy

Paul Hodges
Chart of the Year – CAPE Index signals negative S&P 500 returns to 2030
20th December 2020 by

Each year, it seems there is only one candidate for Chart of the Year. And 2020 is no exception. It ...

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Welcome to the New Normal – a look ahead to 2030
1st November 2020 by

10 years ago, I took a look ahead at what we could expect in the next decade, as discussed last week...

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Oil prices signal potential end to the V-shaped recovery myth
26th July 2020 by

Oil prices have moved into another ‘flag shape’ – which previously provided critic...

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Bankruptcies now the key risk as hopes for V-shaped recovery disappear
19th July 2020 by

Governments, financial markets and central banks all originally assumed the Covid-19 pandemic would ...

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Hertz goes bankrupt as non-essential consumer demand disappears
24th May 2020 by

The US Federal Reserve has now spent $7tn bailing out Wall Street. But it couldn’t save the 10...

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The bill for two decades of doomed stimulus measures is due
3rd May 2020 by

The Financial Times kindly made my letter on the risks now associated with central bank stimulus the...

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Financial markets enter their Convulsion phase
19th April 2020 by

Many companies and investors are still comparing today’s downturn to the 9-month hiccups seen afte...

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China’s property sector is at the epicentre of the crisis
29th March 2020 by

A branch of Centaline Property Agency in Hong Kong © Bloomberg Indebted Chinese property developers...

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Will stock markets see a Minsky Moment in 2020?
5th January 2020 by

Few investors now remember the days when price discovery was thought to be the key role of stock mar...

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Chart of the Decade – the Fed’s support for the S&P 500 will end with a debt crisis
22nd December 2019 by

Each year, there has been only one possible candidate for Chart of the Year.  Last year it was the ...

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