Image Description

Pricing

React faster to price fluctuations and preserve margins

Understand pricing in real time and plan ahead with confidence

In today’s dynamic markets, capitalise on opportunity and limit exposure with a transparent view of pricing and the multiple factors influencing it.

Optimise your strategy setting, contract negotiations and business planning with ICIS pricing intelligence, covering historic, current and future price drivers, fundamentals, market fluctuations and trends, plus market commentary and analysis.

All key factors through the value chain are included in our forecast methodology, from spot price movements, supply, demand, trade flows and production margins to market sentiment, seasonality, inventory levels and feedstocks.

Integrate ICIS data into your pricing models with downloadable charts offering full cross-commodity and cross-regional trend analysis for your markets, accessible via our subscriber platform, ICIS ClarityTM on your desktop or on the go, or via our Data as a Service (DaaS) solutions.

Pricing for Chemicals, Fertilizers, and

Recycled plastics


Manage volatility with ICIS’ in-depth pricing reports covering over 300 chemical, fertilizer and recycled plastic commodity markets. Settle contracts based on benchmark prices no matter where you operate, with spot, contract, import, export and domestic prices of typically traded grades, broken down by country and / or region.

With our in-depth understanding of the entire chemical value chain, ICIS forecast models are fully integrated, from crude oil and feedstocks to downstream commodities. Understand the impact on global export markets of newer entrants such as China, with analysis in both English and Chinese.

Stay ahead of fast-moving markets with customised alerts when prices meet criteria; see how your market has moved, with price spreads from the previous month; and understand the relative cost competitiveness of alternative raw materials.

ICIS Supply and Demand Database

Optimise planning, production and investment with ICIS Supply and Demand Database. Benefit from a complete picture of the chemicals supply chain showing capacity for over 100 commodities in 160 countries, up to 2050.

Energy pricing


Identify new opportunities and mitigate risk with ICIS’ in-depth energy pricing intelligence covering natural gas, LNG, power and renewables, carbon, hydrogen, crude oil and refined products. Preserve operating margins and adapt faster to volatility with real-time news and expert market commentary.

Optimise trading decisions with reliable forecasts factoring in variables such as storage, import and export flows, outages, weather and temperature forecasts. Benefit from historic pricing data revealing patterns and trends, while gaining a complete understanding of what is driving your market today.

ICIS price forecast models are fully integrated, from European gas and power to carbon markets, and from crude oil and feedstocks to downstream commodities.

Why use ICIS pricing intelligence?

Manage risk

React faster with instant access to price assessments and forecasts covering spot, contract, import, export, international and domestic prices for feedstock and commonly traded commodities.

Strengthen your negotiating position

Safeguard against price fluctuations and lock in costs and income for the longer term, with ICIS’ industry-standard price assessments, plus arbitrage and netback calculations.

Respond to markets in real time

Benefit from global news coverage of sudden price shifts in key active trading regions alongside in-depth policy and regulation coverage.

Get an expert view

Learn about the impact of short- and long-term trends, with impact commentaries and analysis from experts embedded in key global markets.

Plan with confidence

Evaluate opportunities and risks with confidence, using cross-commodity, integrated data and cross-regional trend analysis to develop internal pricing models.

Understand market sentiment

Learn about reported and confirmed deals, bids and offers, to gain a sense of buyers’, traders and sellers’ willingness to transact.

Streamline processes

Optimise efficiency and accuracy with ICIS data and analytics seamlessly integrated into your modelling and forecasting.

Gauge the impact of capacity on prices

Access supply and demand data to assess the price impact of planned and unplanned plant shutdowns and maintenance, as well as new capacities.

ICIS news

Keep up to date, with all the latest news on pricing.

Tampa continues to clean up from Milton; flooding biggest impact for ferts industry

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Entering day two of post-hurricane activities and as the community of Tampa and surrounding cities attempt to clean up and dry out, the fertilizer industry is still assessing damage with flooding appearing to have had the biggest impact on production sites. Striking as a Category 3 hurricane late 9 October the storm brought intense and life-threatening conditions to a section of Florida that had already faced such a threat less than two weeks before. It particularly impacted the Tamp, Florida area, which is a key hub of the US fertilizer industry. Market sources, based in this region, said most of the focus on Friday was cleaning up and trying to determine how much damaged had been caused. The extent of impacts to fertilizer facilities were not fully clear but producer Mosaic did say it had some issues because of the storm but that once it had the full updates about Hurricane Milton's impact on their facilities it would post on their website. As was the fear of environmentalists the gypstacks that are a fixture of phosphate production experienced problems with the water supporting the storage at the Mosaic Riverview facility having likely entered the Tampa Bay because of the extreme rainfall. “Back-to-back historic storms crossed our operational areas. Our sites withstood the conditions with few challenges. Our Riverview site, which has operated on Tampa Bay for the last century, received nearly 15 inches of rain during Hurricane Milton less than two weeks after Hurricane Helene,” said Mosaic. “A water collection system supporting our closed gypstack became overwhelmed, pushing excess water out a manhole on our property. At this time, we believe some of that impacted stormwater made its way to an outfall which discharges into Tampa Bay.” Mosaic said the issue was addressed on 10 October and is not continuing but added that the volume may have been greater than the 17,500-gallon reporting standard. “We expect water quality impacts, if any, to be modest. We’ve been in constant communication with regulators who are onsite today,” Mosaic said. Florida environmental authorities have not made any statement but ahead of the storm had said they were preparing and would have all resources available to oversee the regulated facilities and operations.

11-Oct-2024

October WASDE forecast increased corn production but a decline for soybeans

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Corn production is forecasted to increase by 17 million bushels while soybean output is expected to decline by 4 million bushels, according to the October World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) report from the US Department of Agriculture (USDA). In the monthly update the agency said the current outlook for corn is for smaller supplies, larger exports and reduced ending stocks. Projected beginning stocks for 2024-2025 are now 52 million bushels lower based on the Grain Stocks report. Corn production is now being forecasted at 15.2 billion bushels, up 17 million bushels from last month on a 0.2-bushel increase in yield to stand at 183.8 bushels/acre. Harvested area for grain is unchanged at 82.7 million acres. Total use is raised slightly to 15.0 billion bushels reflecting greater exports, and with supply falling and use rising, the ending stocks have been reduced by 58 million bushels to 2 billion bushels. The October WASDE said the season-average corn price received by producers is unchanged at $4.10/bushel. For soybeans, the USDA is showing that production is now being forecasted at 4.6 billion bushels, which is down 4 million bushels and is based on expectations of lower yields. Harvested area is unchanged at 86.3 million acres. The monthly update reveal that soybean yield is now projected at 53.1 bushels/acre, down 0.1 bushels from the September update. As lower production is being partly offset by slightly higher beginning stocks the USDA said supplies are lowered by 2 million bushels to stand at 4.9 billion bushels. With a slightly lower residual and no change to exports and crush, ending stocks are unchanged from last month at 550 million bushels. The season-average soybean price is unchanged at $10.80/bushel. The next WASDE report will be released on 8 November.

11-Oct-2024

SHIPPING: Asia-US container rates fall further; trend expected to continue post-ILA strike

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Rates for shipping containers from east Asia and China to the US continued to fall after a lengthy strike was averted at US Gulf and East Coast ports and as peak season volumes have largely been pulled forward. The International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) strike lasted just three days, and market analysts expect backlogs created by the work stoppage to be cleared up in two to three weeks, or even less at the Port of New York/New Jersey. Some ports extended gate hours to allow more time for containers to be delivered or picked up. Nathan Strang, the US Southwest director of ocean freight for Flexport, said the company is seeing relatively fluid terminal operations and railroad operations. Strang said all detentions and demurrage rules from the Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) remain in effect but noted that time frames for detention and demurrage restarted on 7 October after the strike ended. CONTAINER RATES FALL Global average rates for shipping containers continued to fall, according to multiple analysts. Supply chain advisors Drewry has its World Container Index (WCI) at $3,349/FEU (40-foot equivalent unit), which is down by 4% and shown in the following chart. Drewry said Shanghai to Los Angeles container rates fell by 5%, and Shanghai to New York rates fell by 3%, as shown in the following chart. Following the tentative deal between the ILA and the ports, Drewry expects rates ex-China to continue to decrease marginally in the coming weeks. Online freight shipping marketplace and platform provider Freightos said rates fell by a larger degree, but its rates had been higher. Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, said carriers are also planning to reduce deployed capacity on the transatlantic trade lane later in the month in the hope of preventing rates from falling back to the $1,600-1,800/FEU level they had maintained for much of the year. “With the strike over and peak season demand largely behind us from a significant pull forward of volumes in the last couple months, transpacific container rates should continue to ease on the seasonal lull in volumes between peak season and Lunar New Year,” Levine said. Container ships and costs for shipping containers are relevant to the chemical industry because while most chemicals are liquids and are shipped in tankers, container ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), are shipped in pellets. They also transport liquid chemicals in isotanks. LIQUID TANKER RATES UNCHANGED US chemical tanker freight rates held steady again this week for most trade lanes, even though vessel demand is growing for some routes. Most rates from the major chemical hubs remain sideways as a good portion of the market were attending the European Petrochemical Association (EPCA) conference in Berlin. The USG to Asia lane was also quiet following holidays. Although it is likely that increased exports ex–USG will be seen going into Europe and Asia, primarily as clean petroleum products (CPP) tonnage continues to focus on alternative cargoes in the petrochemical space, thereby adding to spot availability, which is already well supplied. On the transatlantic front, the eastbound leg is expected to warm up with cargoes being quoted including styrene to ARA from several US Gulf ports. With additional reporting by Kevin Callahan Visit the ICIS Logistics – impact on chemicals and energy topic page

11-Oct-2024

Some Florida ports reopen while millions lack power after Milton

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Some ports in Florida have resumed operations while millions in the US state remain without power after Hurricane Milton made landfall earlier in the week, south of the fertilizer hub of Tampa. A few ports in Florida have maintained Port Condition Zulu, under which they are closed to inbound and outbound vessels. Others have reopened and have set Port Condition IV, which is a hurricane seasonal alert to which ports return after a storm. The following table summarizes the port conditions in Florida. Port Status Condition Port of Pensacola Open Normal Port Panama City Open Draft restrictions Port St Joe Open Normal Port Tampa Bay Closed Zulu SeaPort Manatee Closed Zulu PortMiami Open IV Port Everglades Open IV Port of Palm Beach Open IV Fort Pierce Open with Restrictions IV with restrictions Port Canaveral Open IV Jaxport Open IV Port of Fernandina Closed Zulu Source: US Coast Guard OUTAGESFlorida has more than 2.2 million reported outages, according to the website poweroutage.us. That is down by more than 1 million versus the immediate aftermath of the hurricane. Prolonged outages can disrupt economic activity and slow down demand for plastics and chemicals. CSX WARNS OF RAIL DELAYSThe railroad company CSX warned of delays while it works to clear tracks, install generators and conduct repairs. All routes north of Jacksonville, Florida are open with no anticipated issues, it said. The area south, from Callahan to the north end of Anthony, is also clear. Work continues in central Florida, and CSX is addressing washouts on the Carter and Vitis subdivisions. The CFR line should be open later Friday night, providing a potential route into Winter Haven. CSX is making contingency plans for possible issues with a gas pipe washout near the Miami area. IMPACT ON FERTILIZERS, PHOSPHATES, CHEMSFor chemicals, there is some epoxy resin, phenolic resin and unsaturated polyester resin (UPR) production in Lakeland and Kathleen, Florida. Milton will make landfall far from Pensacola, Florida, which has plants that make nylon and thermoset resins. Tampa is an important hub for the US fertilizer industry, hosting corporate offices, trading, product storage, shipping and other logistical operations. Fertilizer producer Mosaic has its headquarters in Tampa. The company has not issued any statements regarding its corporate operations. A source at the fertilizer company Yara said it was shutting down its Tampa offices to comply with the evacuation orders. Near Tampa is Florida's phosphate mining operations in Bone Valley, which covers parts of Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee and Polk counties. In all, Florida has 27 phosphate mines, of which nine are active, according to the Florida Department of Environmental Protection. Canadian fertilizer producer Nutrien has yet to restart its White Springs phosphate operations following Helene, an earlier hurricane that made landfall farther north in Florida’s Big Bend region. On 30 September, Mosaic said its Riverview operations were off line following water intrusion from a storm surge caused by Hurricane Helene. Thumbnail Photo: Hurricane Milton. (By Cira/Noaa/Planet Pix via ZUMA Press Wire/Shutterstock)

11-Oct-2024

Risks rising for Germany’s chemical industry, say economists

LONDON (ICIS)–The risks for Germany’s chemical industry keep rising, economists said during a webinar hosted by chemical producers’ trade group VCI, and noted: Weak demand, domestically and abroad Investments stall Geopolitical uncertainty Contrary to hopes at the start of the year, Europe’s largest economy is likely to shrink for a second straight year in 2024, the government said this week in revising its previous 0.3% GDP growth projection to a 0.2% decline. The economy shrank 0.3% in 2023 and has not been able to generate strong growth since 2018. Weak or negative GDP trends translate into lower demand for chemicals. So far this year, demand for chemicals from nearly all domestic key customer industries, except food and paper, has been weak, said VCI economist Christiane Kellermann. Year-on-year % changes in domestic chemical sales, by major customer markets, January-August 2024: Construction: -3.9% Plastics: -4.5% Metal products: -7.4% Autos: -5.8% Food: +1.5% Glass, ceramics: -7.8% Paper: +0.9% Printing products: -7.3% Furniture: -7.3% Machinery: -8.3% Electrical equipment: -16.1% Source: VCI Many of the chemical industry’s customers in manufacturing are curbing their production, and in the important construction end market there is no noticeable recovery. Meanwhile, export sales of German chemicals were weak in most regions, with the exception of Asia, Kellermann said. Year-on-year % changes in chemical exports, by region, January-July: EU: -2.5% Non-EU Europe: -1.1% Asia: +1.8% North America: -3.6% Latin America: -3.4% Source: VCI INVESTMENTSThe low demand translates into low production rates and low capacity utilization. In fact, over the past two-and-half years chemical producers have been running plants at utilization levels that were below profitability thresholds, Kellermann said. As companies suffer low demand in Germany, with little prospect of improvement, and cannot run existing plants and equipment at profitable levels, it does not make sense for them to invest in new plants, she said. In a recent VCI survey, 74% of chemical companies said they were unlikely to invest in expanding production in Germany, she noted. Only 15% said they were likely to invest in expanding production while 9% were undecided, according to the survey. Companies cited the country’s bureaucracy and long project permitting processes, high energy and labor costs, and high and complicated corporate taxes as key obstacles to investing in Germany. Only 13% said that a lack of trained workers deterred them from investing in the country. With little or no new investment, “import pressures” rise and the chemical industry’s export capabilities will decline in coming years, she said. Germany’s chemical industry loses in international competitiveness, in particular in energy-intensive basic chemicals, she added. GEOPOLITICAL RISKS Michael Gromling, an economist from the German Economic Institute in Cologne, who was also presenting at the VCI webinar, estimated that in order to return to a meaningful growth path and achieve a recovery (“Aufschwung”), Germany needed to generate annual average GDP growth of 2.5% from 2025 through 2030. This, however, was “not realistic”, given the weakness across all industries and the geopolitical and structural challenges companies face, he said. The country’s industries were export-dependent and therefore sensitive to geopolitical tensions, trade conflicts and protectionism, he said. Geopolitical tensions were holding back investment decisions, and without a detente it would be very difficult for Germany to achieve its Aufschwung, he said. An end to the Ukraine war and peace in the Middle East would be a “game changer”, creating an opportunity for reviving the global investment cycle, he added. However, rather than relaxing, tensions could further sharpen after the 5 November US presidential election, he said. Gromling did not say which candidate – current Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump – he sees as the greater risk. For the time being, VCI maintains its 2024 growth forecast for the country’s chemical-pharmaceutical production unchanged at 3.5% (excluding pharma: +5.0%). If realized, the increase would only partially offset last year’s 7.9% production decline (excluding pharma: -10.4%). However, VCI may cut its 2024 sales forecast of 1.5% as exports were trending weaker than expected, Kellermann indicated. Focus article by Stefan Baumgarten Thumbnail image source: VCI

11-Oct-2024

Evonik plans major restructure of two business units as global competition intensifies

BARCELONA (ICIS)–German specialty group Evonik plans to restructure two of its business units, putting non-core assets up for sale, closure or partnerships. The Coating & Adhesive Resins and Health Care businesses will be extensively reorganized, with operations generating sales of €350 million slated for strategic changes, the company said on Friday. In Health Care, production of keto acids for pharmaceutical applications in Hanau, Germany, is to be discontinued at the end of 2025, with the loss of around 260 jobs. For the sites in Ham (France) and Wuming (China) active in the same business, partnerships or divestments are being evaluated. The amino and keto acids business generates sales of around €100 million. In future, the Health Care business line will focus on what Evonik considers to be its growth areas: lipids for mRNA and gene therapies, drug delivery systems, and cell culture ingredients. Caspar Gammelin, head of the Nutrition & Care division, said: “Our amino and keto acids businesses in Ham and Wuming are strong and offer great potential. With investments in these sites, these businesses could reach their full potential and flourish. We are therefore examining options such as partnerships or divestments that would allow the businesses to prosper.” COATINGS RESTRUCTURE Evonik’s Coating & Adhesive Resins business line will focus on two core areas for growth: liquid polybutadienes as additives for adhesives and sealants or tires, and specialty acrylics for medical technology and the packaging industry. The business line’s existing polyolefins business, with sales of around €100 million, will be transferred to the C4 chain business at Evonik. In the future, the business will be sold as part of the C4 chain business. The €150 million turnover polyester business for coating and adhesive applications is to be sold. It has around 330 employees in Germany and China. The largest site, with around 250 employees, is in Witten (Germany). A smaller plant in Shanghai has around 30 employees. Lauren Kjeldsen, head of the responsible division Smart Materials, said: “To be successfully competing in the long term globally and to generate the necessary margins, investments are needed – and other companies for which polyester is a core business can realize these better than we can.” Evonik, like many of its peers in the European chemical sector, is under intense pressure from mainly China-driven global overcapacity, with companies under pressure to take radical action to focus on core assets and close or sell other operations. As well as the ramp-up in global production capacity, the region is being battered by a global slump in demand and a high cost base, which has led to collapsing margins and a wave of capacity closures across Europe. Thumbnail photo: Evonik's Essen, Germany, campus. Source: Evonik

11-Oct-2024

VIDEO: Europe R-PET demand still not impacted by 2025 target

LONDON (ICIS)–Senior Editor for Recycling Matt Tudball discusses the latest developments in the European recycled polyethylene terephthalate (R-PET) market, including: UK colourless flake range widens in October Eastern Europe bale, flake price views divided Frustration around single-use plastics directive (SUPD) uncertainty Food-grade pellet demand weak ahead of January SUPD target

11-Oct-2024

INSIGHT: Understanding waste is the key to understanding recycling chain volatility

LONDON (ICIS)–Imagine you sold a product with no control over how much of it was produced at any one time; that you had to sell it within weeks of it being produced regardless of what the demand for it was like; and that the demand was constantly changing. For most waste managers, no imagination is required, this is their daily reality. And it’s one of the biggest drivers of volatility throughout the recycling chain globally. Waste originates from both the general public and industry, and as a result, the composition and quantity of waste generated at any one time varies continuously depending on consumer behaviour and industrial production trends. Waste managers typically hold contracts for waste collection with municipalities. They cannot turn material away. Because of variations in consumer and industrial production trends, different countries can have vastly different supply at any one time. The quality of that input waste (how contaminated it is, the tensile strength etc.) depends on a variety of factors including how it's been treated and stored before its entered the chain, the type of additives it contains, what other materials it has come into contact with (because contact with substances such as polyvinyl chloride (PVC) causes contamination), level of discolouration, gel content, and odour. Coupled with this, the more times a polymer has been recycled, the lower its tensile strength, and typically end-use suitability becomes increasingly limited. How many cycles it takes before the waste material becomes unusable varies from polymer-to-polymer, process to process, and level of other degradation. The longer you store waste (this is typically, but not exclusively, in the form of bales) without reprocessing it – or selling it on for reprocessing – the more it degrades. This can be due to a number of things, including the contaminants it contains, thermolytic degradation (from heat – typically the sun), and hydrolytic degradation (from water – common in the case of polyethylene terephthalate (PET). Meanwhile, new (and perhaps more valuable) strains of waste are constantly entering the chain, and warehouse space is limited. If the waste quality is too low, then waste managers either need to dispose of the material, sell it to the burn-for-energy sector, or use it captively for energy creation. Burn-for-energy bales typically sell at negative values, whereby sellers pay for the removal of waste based on cost saving against alternative disposal methods. As a result, most waste managers look to offload bales within a timeframe of around 4-6 weeks (although this varies from market to market). Reprocessed recycled material, meanwhile, serves a huge variety of end-use markets. Major offtake markets include, but aren’t limited to, packaging, construction, automotive, outdoor furniture, refuse bags, strapping, and horticulture. Demand between the end-uses also varies dramatically, and players in each market purchase for differing reasons. Some markets, such as packaging, are heavily driven by brand sustainability targets and regulation, other markets, such as construction, mostly purchase on cost saving against virgin. This has huge impacts on willingness to pay, Intensifying legislative and consumer pressure on sustainability in packaging over the past few years has seen a significant pricing gap develop between display packaging suitable, and non-display packaging suitable grades across most global recycled polymer markets. There is currently, for example, a spread of up to €1,500/tonne between the highest priced grade of Europe recycled polypropylene (R-PP) pellet (which is a post-consumer natural grade predominantly used in domestic goods and cosmetic applications), and the lowest priced grade (which is black injection-moulded pellets, which typically serves non-packaging applications). Ideally (from their point of view) waste managers and recyclers would primarily serve applications driven by sustainability targets where premiums are typically highest. Nevertheless, each downstream market has differing technical requirements  – with display packaging and automotive typically having the strictest technical requirements and construction, bin bags and outdoor furniture the lowest. This means that there is typically a higher volume of material sold into non-packaging applications. While sorting allows waste managers to extract the valuable fractions and, to an extent, control contaminants etc. it doesn’t control the input waste mix. So the type of material suitable to serve each application is changing constantly. There is also a direct correlation between feedstock waste quality and reprocessed output quality for both mechanical and chemical recycling. This creates a continuous supply/demand mismatch that is often underappreciated by players newly entering the market. This mismatch coupled with the need to offload material relatively quickly is the reason, for example, 90% mixed polyolefin bale prices have traded as high as €600/tonne ex-works NWE (northwest Europe) and as low as €0/tonne ex-works NWE since July 2022. Because waste fractions typically produce a variety of different flake and pellet grades depending on what is extractable from individual bales – especially for recycled polyolefins – they typically react to system wide demand in each locality. Individual flake and pellet prices, though, often react to demand from specific end-use markets. This can result in periods where waste bale prices are high but prices for some flake and pellet grades those bales serve are low, resulting in squeezed margins. This is especially true for grades that are purchased for cost-saving reasons, meaning that they need to aggressively compete with virgin and off-spec material. The reverse also regularly occurs, whereby bale prices can be low because demand in key end-uses such as construction is weak and general availability of waste is high, but volumes extracted for packaging suitable grades are limited and demand from that particular sector is firm. It is also increasingly common for material with broadly identical specifications to trade at different price levels depending on which sector it is being sold into. Further distortions in the chain are created because reprocessed material such as flakes and pellets can be stored for long-periods of time, and flake and pellet producers are not forced to offload material as quickly as waste managers. This leads to fragmented and localised downstream markets where spreads against feedstock costs and profitability are constantly shifting. Volatile feedstock costs also results in challenges for investment. This is particularly true for emerging technologies such as chemical recycling and bio-based plastics. Thatis because new producers seeking private investment are often required to project future costs (typically for a period of at least 5 years), with waste feedstock typically their largest variable cost. The unpredictability of waste values make this a herculean task. When players first explore circular plastic markets, they are often surprised by the variability and fragmentation of prices through the chain. In the majority of cases the direct cause can be traced back to the feedstock waste markets. ICIS assesses more than 100 grades throughout the recycled plastic value chain globally – from waste bales through to pellets. This includes recycled polyethylene (R-PE), recycled PET (R-PET), R-PP, mixed plastic waste and pyrolysis oil. On 1 October ICIS launched a recycled polyolefins agglomerate price range as part of the Mixed Plastic Waste and Pyrolysis Oil (Europe) pricing service. For more information on ICIS’ recycled plastic products, please contact the ICIS recycling team at recycling@icis.com

11-Oct-2024

Hurricane Milton inundates US Tampa region with impact to fertilizer infrastructure unclear

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Roaring ashore as a Category 3 hurricane late 9 October and bringing fierce winds, heavy rainfall and significant inland storm surge Hurricane Milton inundated the Tamp, Florida area, which is a key hub of the US fertilizer industry. In the aftermath of the storm there were market sources, based in this region, who were reporting being unharmed but that they were now facing considerable flooding, which was causing property damage in places and overall restricting public movement. The section of Florida pounded by Milton is the location of not only production sites but also storage and logistic operations as well as corporate office facilities and the home to the numerous employees of the local fertilizer industry. The Port of Tampa, which handles about 25% of domestic fertilizer exports, said on their website that recovery efforts have begun, and that staff is working with the US Army Corps of Engineers, US Coast Guard and other maritime partners to assess landside and seaside operations. “Our port is currently without power. Some damage was observed to buildings but there has been no significant damage to docks, so far. The port is accessible through main gates, but please be advised there are road closures and flooding concerns in the surrounding roadways to our port,” the Port of Tampa announced. “We are working with our fuel terminal operators to assess their facilities and learn when they will be able to return to service. Individual port tenants will make independent decisions on when to resume their operations.” The extent of impacts to the fertilizer industry were not yet clear but Canadia fertilizer producer Nutrien, who only has the White Springs phosphate facility within Florida, said the company is still dealing with the impacts of the last storm but was able to avoid further issues from this hurricane. “While Nutrien’s White Springs phosphate facility was not impacted by Hurricane Milton, we are continuing to assess the timeline for White Springs’ restart following Hurricane Helene.  Nutrien’s nitrogen facilities were not impacted by Hurricane Milton,” said a Nutrien spokesperson. Fertilizer titan Mosaic, who not only has their headquarters within Tampa but also has numerous assets for production and logistics, said their immediate focus is on their workforce. “As Hurricane Milton has now passed through central Florida, we are working to contact our employees and confirm their safety. When conditions allow, we'll begin assessing the impacts on our operations,” said Mosaic. There were concerns ahead of the storm over the potential environmental consequences of Milton as Florida has 25 stacks of slightly radioactive phosphogypsum waste that are a by-product of phosphate fertilizer production. The fear that the winds and rains could release the material across the land and water resources that are nearby as has occurred in past hurricane events. There was no immediate report of the conditions of the stacks as of late 10 October but ahead of the storm Florida environmental officials had said they were preparing and would have all resources available to oversee the regulated facilities and operations. Sources said the areas that were more south of Tampa were apparently struck harder but there has not been full confirmation of the damages inflicted with a source saying it is a “different story down there”. There were weather reports of over 18 inches of rain having been received in nearby St Petersburg, Florida. The hurricane also generated several strong tornadoes as it approached which are being blamed for some of the physical damage to structures. A market participants said that with it being less than 24 hours since landfall it was going to take some time for the fertilizer industry to assess the scale of the impacts from Milton, saying it is “too soon for that”. Federal and state officials have not yet projected an estimated amount of damages as assessments were just barely getting underway. It likely did great harm to the Florida citrus industry with orange groves bearing fruit and drawing close to their harvest period. It is feared that it will be determined in the coming days that the storm’s intensity will result in a substantial decline in production this season, with others crops having also been exposed to harm like sugarcane and strawberries.

10-Oct-2024

SHIPPING: Backlog at US Gulf, East Coast ports could last 2-3 weeks after 3-day ILA strike

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Backlogs created by the three-day strike at US Gulf and East Coast ports could last for two to three weeks, although there are indications that operations could return to normal sooner rather than later at the Port of New York/New Jersey. Judah Levine, head of research at online freight shipping marketplace and platform provider Freightos, said many industry analysts were predicting two to three weeks to clear the backlog of container ships created when the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) went on strike. Levine estimated there were 45-60 vessels at anchor off US Gulf and East Coast ports from the strike. But he said officials at the Port of New York/New Jersey, the largest on the East Coast, said the work stoppage was more akin to short weather-related closures they see with winter storms and expect operations could return to normal in a matter of days, and maybe even by the end of the week. Levine said the larger impact could be from a build in containers at the ports. Some ports extended gate times to allow customers extra time to collect or deliver containers. “In the meantime, shippers with containers at the ports or on vessels at anchor or vessels arriving quite soon will probably continue to experience some delays, and for some that could impact inventory availability in the next couple weeks,” Levine said. The strike did not impact the movement of liquid chemical tankers as most terminals that handle those vessels are privately owned and do not necessarily use union labor. Also, tankers do not require as much labor as container or dry cargo vessels, which must be loaded and unloaded with cranes and require labor for forklifts and trucks. Container ships and costs for shipping containers are relevant to the chemical industry because while most chemicals are liquids and are shipped in tankers, container ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), are shipped in pellets. They also transport liquid chemicals in isotanks. IMPACT OF STRIKE, HURRICANES ON TRUCKING Market participants are also watching for tight supply or shortages of inland trucking services because of the work stoppage and because of two hurricanes in succession that hit Florida and other southeastern states. Downstream chemical buyers and compounders could begin to see issues with road freight in terms of higher costs and lower availability. Rates could see upward pressure given the severity of the damage to roads and highways in the East Tennessee and North Carolina regions as the US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) works to assist in the recovery. FEMA also gets precedence on trucking to be able to move goods or equipment needed for the recovery efforts. UPDATE ON ILA/USMX NEGOTIATIONS While the work stoppage ended after three days, the terminology was that it was suspended until 15 January, with only the salary part of a future deal agreed to by both parties. Levine said the union remains steadfast in its opposition to any kind of automation at the ports – full or semi – that would replace jobs or historical work functions. Levine said the union has continued to state its case against automation even as they returned to work. Levine said shippers will keep 15 January in mind as there is a chance another work stoppage could occur if no definitive agreement is reached by then. Visit the ICIS Logistics – impact on chemicals and energy topic page

10-Oct-2024

Contact us

Partnering with ICIS unlocks a vision of a future you can trust and achieve. We leverage our unrivalled network of industry experts to deliver a comprehensive market view based on trusted data, insight and analytics, supporting our partners as they transact today and plan for tomorrow.

    We would like to keep you up-to-date with what’s happening at ICIS* and tell you about our latest products and other services. We may email you about information we think you’ll be interested in, including selected articles and reminders about forthcoming events. If you do not wish to receive such information please tick the box to opt out of these emails