Offsetting the risk of being over-optimistic? Source of picture: thetradingpit.net MAYBE there should futures contracts in realism versus recklessness. That way any senior company executive who wants to take a punt on next year being better than 2009 can offset the risk by going “realistic” on the futures markets – and, of course, vice […]
Asian Chemical Connections
China’s Renewed Deflation Threat
“THIS IS RIDICULOUS. I WAS SITTING AROUND UNSOLD FOR MONTHS AND THEN WAS FORCED TO JOIN A SANTA FLEET-HIRE SCHEME. HOW HUMILIATING” Source of picture: www.diytrade.com BEWARE the prophets of recovery in exports of Chinese manufactured goods during the current Christmas buying season. Labour markets in the key export-processing provinces, such as Guangdong, are reported […]
A Generational Shift In Attitudes To Debt?
Britain’s last generational shift: The 1980s Miners Strike: Source of picture: www.wsws.org My late parents hated even the concept of debt – let alone the insanely irresponsible error of actually borrowing money. This is not surprising as my father could remember, when he was a boy, queuing for free food handouts during the Great Depression. My […]
Waiting for the cheques to clear….
…..and a January collapse PERHAPS commodity and equity markets will continue to keep denying the weak fundamentals until bonus cheques for fund managers etc have been signed and are in the bank. Fund managers, because of the way they are benchmarked, will be desperate to stick close to the performance of stock market indices, said […]
Thai project delays good news for markets, but…..
….what do these environmental issues mean for Thailand as an investment destination? The Map Ta Phut refinery-petrochemicals complex Source of picture: Pattaya News By Malini Hariharan (Malini is now joint blogger for Asian Chemical Connections) Here’s yet another unexpected project delay that could prop up markets in the fourth quarter. […]
Is the risk of staying long worth it?
Source of picture: Time.com Yesterday I talked about lack of willingness by western banks to lend money because their focus was on rebuilding reserves. But Steven Major, Global Head of HSBC’s Fixed Income Strategy Team, puts a different spin on the problem. In the Fragile Recovery video from the Financial Times’ View […]
We are heading for $45 a barrel crude this year
SWIMMING IN OIL? Source of Picture: fashionfunky.com The threat posed by Iran test-firing its Shahab-3 missiles and a rally in US equities on increased M& activity in the drug and technology industries pushed crude slightly higher yesterday after last week’s steep declines. This is yet further evidence that the oil market is […]
Correction On China Economy Piece
I thought I would publish Michael Pettis’s reply to my piece yesterday here rather than approve as a comment: Good piece but one correction. I don’t think 8-9% growth this year and next is impossible. On the contrary, I think that if the government keeps up its stimulus they can force high levels of growth […]
The Threat from Dark Pools
Source of picture: zerohedge.blogspot.com It might seem a little melodramatic (and it’s a wonderfully melodramatic name), but what kind of threat do dark pools – and other off-exchange trading mechanisms – present to all our livelihoods? You can see that the World Federation of Exchanges might have a financial motive in making their complaint to […]
China’s consumption growth challenge
“China, please please do what we did and spend what you might not be able to afford…” Source of picture: The Daily Maily Whether or not China’s pace of economic recovery will be maintained would have become an intensely boring topic of discussion if it wasn’t so important for all our livelihoods. More data specific […]
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