By John Richardson NOTHING that has happened over the last 24 hours should take you by surprise. Your petrochemicals company has had ample time to prepare for the US-China trade war that has now become a much stronger possibility following the US decision to impose $60bn of new tariffs on Chinese imports. Shortly after President […]
Asian Chemical Connections
Global Trade War: $12.4bn of US Petchems Exports At Risk
By John Richardson THE CUMULATIVE negative effect on global GDP as more and more countries became involved in a trade war is estimated by the above table on the left, from a research paper by economists as the Australian National University. The table shows the impact of each country imposing an extra 10% tariffs on […]
China And US On Collision Course As Trade Tensions Build
By John Richardson Yesterday, President Trump threatened to impose penalties on China for alleged abuse of intellectual property right rules. Below is the context behind way claims of abuses are likely to increase in the future. This suggests that China and the US are on a collision course over trade, with major negative implications for […]
Petchems Pricing Power, Operating Rates Tell Real Economic Story
By John Richardson PETROCHEMICALS and polymers pricing power – how easily petrochemicals producers can pass-on higher oil prices to their customers – is a great measure of the strength of the overall global economy. The reason is that petrochemicals are used to make a huge range of finished goods. In a booming economy, the pass-through […]
Peak Oil Demand Opportunities For Petchems Are Being Over-Hyped
By John Richardson THERE is a lot of excitement about new petrochemicals feedstock opportunities resulting from the approaching end of the road for the internal combustion engine, the rise of the electricity battery car and the related arrival of Peak Oil Demand. Here is some of the logic which supports the notion that the demise […]
China To Raise Ethylene Capacity By 71% In Major Self-Sufficiency Drive
By John Richardson CHINA could raise its ethylene capacity by as much as 71% and its propylene capacity by at least 21%, according to my latest analysis of a major new wave of naphtha, ethane and LPG crackers. The above chart is an update of the chart I first published back in June. In detail: […]
China, China And China: The Three Drivers Of Global Styrene
By John Richardson THE DATA on global polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) undermine the notion of booming emerging markets demand. In reality, it is only Chinese demand that has boomed and not the emerging markets as a whole. And when you look at all the commodity chemicals and polymers value chains, the headline data tells you […]
Hurricane Harvey Economic Risks Increase As Cost Estimates Soar
By John Richardson AGAIN, it’s the human cost that of course matters the most – and let’s hope it doesn’t keep on climbing. As of earlier today, the number of lives lost as a result of Hurricane Harvey had risen to 44. My sympathies and thoughts go out to all the families involved. But chemicals […]
Life Cycle Of Plastics Packaging Demand And Internet Sales
By John Richardson THERE is a huge amount of excitement out there right now about booming internet sales and how this also boosting packaging demand and so sales of polymers such as polyethylene (PE), polypropylene and polystyrene. China is, not surprisingly, the biggest growth market. Demand for foamed PE is, for example, booming in China […]
China: When Fake GDP Numbers Didn’t Really Matter
Do you need to be part of this discussion? Then join me for a free Webinar on 30 September. WE all like to be proved right, of course, as it gives us that warm feeling of satisfaction inside – that sense of approbation. And each us, even the most outwardly assured chemicals industry CEO, […]
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