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Chemicals and the Economy
US Treasury benchmark yield heads to 4% as 30-year downtrend ends
22nd January 2018 by

The US 10-year Treasury bond is the benchmark for global interest rates and stock markets.  And for...

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Chart of the Year: Bitcoin, the logical end for stimulus policies
18th December 2017 by

Last year it was the near-doubling in US 10-year interest rates.  In 2015, it was the oil price fal...

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China’s central bank governor warns of ‘Minsky Moment’ risk
13th November 2017 by

The world is coming to the end of probably the greatest financial bubble ever seen.  Since the fina...

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US tax cuts will fail as Trump’s demographic deficit replaces Reagan’s demographic dividend
6th November 2017 by

No country in the world now has a top quality pension system.  That’s the conclusion from the...

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Interest rates and London house prices begin return to reality
2nd October 2017 by

Global interest rates have fallen dramatically over the past 25 years, as the chart shows for govern...

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Investors ponder further shocks after North Korea jolt
14th August 2017 by

Interviewed for this Reuters article, I suggest today’s low levels of market volatility coul...

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London housing market hit by Brexit, China’s capital controls
6th March 2017 by

London’s housing market was always going to have a difficult 2017. As I noted 2 years ago, dev...

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Chart of the Year: US$, 10-year US interest rates begin to rise
21st December 2016 by

Last year it was the oil price fall.  This year, there is no doubt that the US dollar has taken cen...

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London house prices start their collapse
12th December 2016 by

London’s house market has been slowing for some time, as I noted last year.  The issue is aff...

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S&P 500 volatility close to 43-year lows as uncertainty rises
2nd November 2016 by

Something very strange is happening in US stock markets, as the above chart highlights:   It sho...

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