Tag Archives | oil prices

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Is the risk of staying long worth it?

 

Source of picture: Time.com

 

 

Yesterday I talked about lack of willingness by western banks to lend money because their focus was on rebuilding reserves.

But Steven Major, Global Head of HSBC’s Fixed Income Strategy Team, puts a …

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We are heading for $45 a barrel crude this year

SWIMMING IN OIL?

 

Source of Picture: fashionfunky.com

 

 

The threat posed by Iran test-firing its Shahab-3 missiles and a rally in US equities on increased M& activity in the drug and technology industries pushed crude slightly higher yesterday …

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All At Stake And At Sea For October

A bit like the fund managers who are anxious to keep the equities rallies going until the end of the year in order to protect bonuses, there must be a lot of petrochemicals people hoping pricing in our sector will …

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Taking Back Control Of Crude Markets

Goldman Sachs is talking about crude oil at $85 a barrel by the end of the year.

Sound familiar? Not quite forecasts of $200 a barrel, but is there a danger of repeating the mistake that the James A Baker …

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Excessive Confidence A Risk

Confidence along all the chemicals value chains is always a key issue because of the ability to aggressively manage inventories, according to the London-based chemicals analyst Paul Satchell.

So there’s the ever-present risk of sudden and very disruptive de-stocking. The …

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China’s commodity stockpile gamble

Source of Picture: Australiannews.com

In this article in the South China Morning Post (you can register for free for 14 days if you are not already a subscriber) Michael Pettis makes the argument that China is taking a big risk …

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Chemicals company H2 complacency?

Chemical companies as a whole displayed “dangerously complacent” views about second-half 2009 prospects when they released their Q2 results late last week, argues chemicals analyst Paul Satchell in his blog.

“They believe that demand has bottomed. Although they can’t see …

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Futures, Recycling Behind China PE Mystery?

Picture: The China Daily

“I’ve given up trying to read the polyolefin market in China. I just can’t figure out what’s going on,” said a senior source with a major North American producer late last week.

“I keep returning to …

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China petchem imports soar on false confidence

They always say the best form of flattery is immitation and so thanks to my colleague Paul Hodges for this graph indicating a huge surge in China’s polyethylene imports – courtesy of data from Edwin Pang of Credit Suisse.

I …

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Artificial price support about to disappear

Source of picture: gilesbowkett.blogspot.com

The excellent daily energy and shipping report, The Schork Report said today that the bottom had “fallen out of the entire (energy) complex.”

With the Bulls on the defensive, the authors believe that crude could retreat …

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