Tag Archives | Russia

China Overlooked Lending Data Down 64% As Economic Slowdown Continues

By John Richardson

FAR too little attention is still being paid to China’s lending data even though this has long been the key measure of whether its economy is accelerating or slowing down.

In January 2014, lending in China started …

Continue Reading

US-China Trade Dispute: Pause For Breath Does Not Mean End In Sight

By John Richardson

Confused? You might well be if you’ve read the news reports following the US-China trade meeting in Washington last week.

The immediate threat of a trade war looks as if it has been averted. China’s top envoy …

Continue Reading

China Emerges As Winner In New Multipolar World

By John Richardson

TODAY’S headline should be written on your petrochemicals company boardroom wall, in several inch-high capital letters, and should then be used as the basis for a deep discussion about the consequences of this outcome for your business. …

Continue Reading

Crude Drives Asian Polyethylene Spreads To Three-Year Low As 2018 Risks Build

By John Richardson

IN MARCH 2016 we gave three scenarios for crude-oil prices:

Collapsing Demand where we saw crude falling to $25/bbl on weak global demand that would make it impossible to repay much of the huge debts that had…

Continue Reading

Asian Polyethylene Producers: What You Must Do Now $70 Crude Is More Likely

By John Richardson

THE facts on the ground in global crude markets have shifted even further in just two days. Now it seems more likely that oil prices will rise to $70 a barrel or above in Q1 of next …

Continue Reading

Economic And Geopolitical Chaos In 2017

By John Richardson

MOST of the experts believed that Remain was going to win the vote on whether or not Britain would stay in the EU. Such was the strength of the consensus that even Nigel Farage, then leader of …

Continue Reading

Oil Supply Rising On Efficiency Gains, Govt Policy

By John Richardson

FOR most of the time from 2009 until the end of H1 2014, understanding what was going on in petrochemicals markets was pretty easy.

The price of oil was stable in the region of $100 a barrel …

Continue Reading
Poorandageing

China Deals With Demographics In The Right Way

CHINA’S approach to its challenging demographics are in complete contrast to the Russian approach, which we outlined yesterday.

In the case of China, its strategy involves:

Providing manufacturers with strong incentives to relocate from high labour cost coastal provinces to…

Continue Reading

Russian Sanctions Too Little, Too Late

By John Richardson

“A common orthodoxy in Western thought – the notion of  a globalising world in which greater prosperity was ultimately analogous to stability – has  been again thrown into contention,” wrote the Financial Times, in an article worth …

Continue Reading

Germany Needs To Follow The Example Of Its Footballers

By John Richardson

WHAT a fantastic World Cup and Germany were deserved winners. Their flair, dedication, organisation, attention to detail and team spirit were great to see.

But in Gideon Rachman’s very thoughtful piece in Tuesday’s Financial Times, he highlights …

Continue Reading