Tag Archives | demographics

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China And Demographics

OUR last four blog posts have focused on some of the big challenges confronting China’s economy over the next 12-18 months.

Today we again switch our focus to how major changes in demographics could adversely impact longer-term growth prospects.

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China’s Demographic Crisis

          

           Chinese govt poster promoting the one-child policy  

 

 

By John Richardson

IF all you can remember is strong emerging markets growth, then it is easy to be misled into only building into your scenarios the notion that China and …

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A Call To Action

We are about to set out on a great journey as the world transitions to the New Normal.

The reason for the journey is that the world economy has changed irrevocably as a result of the financial crisis and the …

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France’s Difficult Future

By John Richardson

Francois Hollande, who has the won the French presidential election, talks about cutting the retirement age to 60 from 62 for people who have worked for 41 years.

This is a handy slogan for an election campaign.…

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A Road Map For Success

The new chapter of our free ‘Boom, Gloom and the New Normal’ ebook sets out a road map to success for companies in the New Normal. It also identifies 5 key areas where major change is already underway.

Demand-driven. Markets …

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New Policies Needed To Restore Growth

Politicians seem to be floundering as they seek to restore growth to the Western economy. Their prescriptions swing between austerity and economic stimulus as they argue over what has gone wrong.

But in chapter 10 of our Boom, Gloom & …

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US Petchems: The Bigger Picture

By John Richardson

Access to cheap feedstock, access to cheap feedstock and access to cheap feedstock might seem like the three most-important elements to any petrochemicals strategy.

Thus, for many in the US, adding capacity based on abundant and therefore …

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Morgan Stanley Bullish Again

By John Richardson

MORGAN Stanley has once again produced a very bullish forecast for China’s polyethylene (PE) market.

The investment bank was famous for devising the SuperCycle theory in late 2010. It failed to take into account clear signs that 2011 was going …

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America’s New Political Era

What follows is likely to be of little interest to those, like ourselves, who are obsessed by the week-by-week price of polyethylene (PE).

But a strong US economy is essential for a healthy global chemicals industry, and what is being …

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When I’m 64

Will you still need me? Will you still feed me? The Beatles asked the right questions back in 1967, when singing ‘When I’m Sixty-Four’ on their iconic Sergeant Pepper album.

What would happen to the Western BabyBoomers when they became …

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