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Global Economy Is Less Able To Withstand A New Oil Price Shock

By John Richardson

HISTORY has a tendency to move very slowly, inching forward incrementally, and then all of a sudden a flurry of events over an incredibly short space of time can change everything. This is where we are today.…

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China’s Accelerating War On Air Pollution: Latest Implications For Petchems

By John Richardson

CHINA has steadily increased the intensity of its war against pollution over the last three years – especially the war against pollution generated by burning coal. This has major implications for the petrochemicals industry, which we will …

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Asian Polyethylene Producers: What You Must Do Now $70 Crude Is More Likely

By John Richardson

THE facts on the ground in global crude markets have shifted even further in just two days. Now it seems more likely that oil prices will rise to $70 a barrel or above in Q1 of next …

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Crude Oil Prices In 2018: Impact On Naphtha-Based Polyethylene

 

By John Richardson

I WILL explain the full significance of the above charts for the Asian and global polyethylene (PE) industries later on this is post.

In short here, though, a great deal hinges on next year’s oil prices, …

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Benefits, Risks Of Petronas/Aramco Deals Serving As Template

By John Richardson

THE PETRONAS and Saudi Aramco joint ventures in the RAPID refining-to-petrochemicals project in Malaysia may serve as a template for further “win/win deals”. Whilst these deals will substantially benefit the companies and countries involved, there are broader …

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China’s Xi: Squaring Circle Of Poverty Alleviation, Environment

By John Richardson

THE ONLY China that most foreigners have visited, including myself, is the southern and eastern seaboard provinces where all the talk is about booming poylolefins and other polymers demand on the rise in middle class consumption.

So …

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How US Polyethylene Exports To China Could Come To A Halt

By John Richardson

THE US has abundant shale gas reserves that have in effect been solidified into new polyethylene (PE) capacity, which is largely for export as this is a cheap way of shipping ethane.

If you subscribe to the …

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Global Polypropylene In 2018-2025: What To Plan For

By John Richardson

THIS could be an excellent investment opportunity. Our ICIS Supply and Demand Database base case for Asian and global polypropylene (PP) operating rates sees the steady and steep climb that began in 2014 carrying on until a …

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Global Debt At Unsustainable Levels As We Wait For Trigger Factor

By John Richardson

THE whole point about debt is that it should be sustainable. You should only lend or borrower money if you are entirely convinced that future economic conditions – i.e. future demand – justify your commitments.

Nice theory, …

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Next Polyethylene Downcycle: Risk That History Will Repeat Itself

By John Richardson

WE can break the history of the global polyethylene (PE) business so far this century into four major phases, thanks to the above chart, which was compiled with the help of our excellent Supply & Demand Database:…

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